NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	115		Excitement	9.3 [148]		MVP	Luke Kennard (MEM): +83.4%
Memphis Grizzlies	122		Comeback	1.6 [846]		LVP	Isaiah Collier (UTA): -16.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Collins	0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.07	0.01	12	71%	0.27	1	-0.08	7	71%	0.02
Collin Sexton	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.03,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.07	-0.01	17	56%	0.22	4	-0.13	5	60%	0.02
Kyle Filipowski	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.07	0.00	7	50%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Brice Sensabaugh	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	9	61%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Walker Kessler	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	5	75%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Lauri Markkanen	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.04	0.00	-0.06	-0.01	14	48%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Cody Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	10	48%	0.10	5	-0.16	5	80%	0.01
KJ Martin	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Collier	-0.16	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.04	0.01	8	55%	0.03	7	-0.20	4	50%	-0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.51,0.51,0.83	0.83	0.27	0.57	0.01	14	103%	0.93	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.02
Ja Morant	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.29,0.18,0.09,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.05	-0.02	17	62%	0.24	2	-0.05	11	73%	-0.05
Desmond Bane	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	-0.00	14	57%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Clarke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	0.00	7	57%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Edey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.00	7	53%	0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
GG Jackson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jay Huff	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Stevens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Scotty Pippen Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.02	-0.09	0.02	8	55%	-0.03	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Vince Williams Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Wells	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	7	21%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.6	24.5	14.6	30.7	2.5	32.9	132.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +63.2%

UTA -11.2%

UTA -48.3%

MEM +42.9%

MEM +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MEM	NBA	UTA	MEM	NBA
this game	13.7	13.0	14.4	104.5	115.1	113.1
season	14.8	13.3		109.6	116.5
opponent	14.3	13.7		112.0	119.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.0	13.2	13.2	13.2	13.7
MEM	10.1	13.5	15.0	13.5	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brice Sensabaugh	38	37	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.00	5	-12	17	12.8	14.1	-1.32	13.5	12.7	0.87
Isaiah Collier	64	63	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.08	3	-10	13	13.4	14.1	-0.77	12.8	13.2	-0.44
Kyle Filipowski	38	37	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.00	-3	-4	1	13.0	14.0	-1.00	12.4	13.3	-0.83
John Collins	63	61	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.29	1	-8	9	14.3	12.8	1.49	13.1	12.8	0.38
KJ Martin	29	28	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	4	-15	13.8	13.7	0.10	12.7	13.1	-0.30
Jordan Clarkson	54	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	6	-19	14.2	13.1	1.10	12.8	13.1	-0.25
Walker Kessler	65	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.36	1	-8	9	13.9	13.4	0.51	13.9	11.6	2.26
Collin Sexton	69	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.29	-3	-4	1	14.0	13.1	0.89	12.9	13.1	-0.21
Cody Williams	65	60	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.13	-11	4	-15	13.0	14.6	-1.55	12.4	13.7	-1.20
Lauri Markkanen	65	63	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.40	-4	-3	-1	13.8	13.4	0.40	12.8	13.2	-0.32

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Desmond Bane	69	73	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.36	10	-3	13	13.5	11.9	1.58	14.1	12.9	1.23
Luke Kennard	67	71	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.05	19	-12	31	12.4	13.9	-1.42	14.0	13.1	0.94
Brandon Clarke	40	44	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.42	5	2	3	12.1	13.5	-1.36	13.3	13.9	-0.61
Scotty Pippen Jr.	59	62	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.33	4	3	1	12.4	13.7	-1.31	13.2	14.3	-1.05
Ja Morant	68	72	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.29	3	4	-1	12.8	13.2	-0.41	13.9	13.3	0.64
Lamar Stevens	28	29	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.09	9	-2	11	11.8	13.4	-1.61	12.8	14.0	-1.21
Jay Huff	21	22	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.09	8	-1	9	12.1	13.2	-1.09	12.8	13.9	-1.08
Vince Williams Jr.	40	42	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.15	-4	11	-15	13.0	12.9	0.09	13.0	14.1	-1.18
Jaylen Wells	54	54	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.13	2	5	-3	13.4	12.6	0.81	14.1	13.2	0.92
Zach Edey	45	44	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.04	-6	13	-19	14.1	12.1	2.02	14.5	13.2	1.33
GG Jackson	39	37	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.22	-15	22	-37	14.3	12.2	2.07	13.4	13.8	-0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.63,0.48,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.64,0.8,0.6,0.52,0.46,0.77,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 103, CHI 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.68,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.76,0.72,1	90.1%
SAC 102, DAL 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.78,0.69,0.8,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.71,0.8,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.53,0.69,0.64,0.77,0.84,1	90.1%
DET 101, IND 102	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.91,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.64,0.81,0.83,0.69,0.48,0.55,0.72,1	89.9%