NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	119		Excitement	5.1 [801]		MVP	Tyler Herro (MIA): +17.5%
Miami Heat	104		Comeback	1.1 [717]		LVP	Haywood Highsmith (MIA): -6.4%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ivica Zubac	0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.15	0.04	0.02	16	74%	0.23	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Amir Coffey	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.06	0.03	7	93%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.15	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.03	16	83%	0.25	5	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Derrick Jones Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	80%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.05
Drew Eubanks	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Miller	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	-0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	0.01	0.03	20	45%	0.04	3	-0.09	13	69%	0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Herro	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.05	0.01	23	63%	0.18	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Duncan Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.02	0.03	9	83%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	17	56%	0.13	4	-0.11	5	40%	-0.02
Pelle Larsson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.03	8	56%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kel'el Ware	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	8	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davion Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	4	60%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	37%	-0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Haywood Highsmith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	2.8	25.2	14.5	24.6	2.4	31.5	128.7
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +46.7%

LAC +7.6%

LAC +13.2%

MIA -14.8%

MIA -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIA	NBA	LAC	MIA	NBA
this game	15.7	15.1	14.4	126.6	111.8	113.0
season	14.9	15.0		113.8	111.5
opponent	14.6	14.4		112.2	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.0	13.9	16.1	18.3	15.7
MIA	16.3	14.3	13.9	16.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bogdan Bogdanovic	75	73	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.03	19	-4	23	15.7	15.9	-0.19	15.7	12.6	3.13
James Harden	73	73	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.02	15	0	15	16.3	13.9	2.43	15.0	15.3	-0.38
Jordan Miller	14	15	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.05	9	6	3	14.4	16.0	-1.55	16.1	14.9	1.21
Derrick Jones Jr.	50	50	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.15	5	10	-5	14.4	17.2	-2.79	14.2	16.0	-1.76
Drew Eubanks	18	19	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.06	8	7	1	15.2	15.9	-0.71	15.8	14.9	0.99
Amir Coffey	48	50	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	10	-5	16.4	15.0	1.42	14.2	16.1	-1.93
Ivica Zubac	75	72	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.04	5	10	-5	16.0	14.6	1.46	15.1	14.9	0.19
Nicolas Batum	64	61	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.02	4	11	-7	16.0	15.2	0.75	15.5	14.2	1.27
Kris Dunn	47	45	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.01	4	11	-7	15.6	15.9	-0.38	15.6	14.5	1.06
Kobe Brown	1	2	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	13	-11	4.0	15.9	-11.87	6.0	15.3	-9.25
Patty Mills	5	5	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	16	-17	17.2	15.7	1.54	10.2	15.3	-5.13

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pelle Larsson	56	56	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.13	5	-20	25	14.1	16.5	-2.42	16.0	15.3	0.68
Terry Rozier	32	33	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-15	15	15.3	14.9	0.44	14.5	16.4	-1.99
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	13	13	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-14	13	15.4	15.0	0.38	14.1	16.0	-1.94
Kel'el Ware	36	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	-5	-5	16.8	14.0	2.81	14.7	16.3	-1.60
Davion Mitchell	32	34	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.04	-11	-4	-7	16.0	14.5	1.49	15.5	15.9	-0.34
Andrew Wiggins	68	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-6	-3	14.9	15.4	-0.47	16.2	14.6	1.56
Haywood Highsmith	27	27	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-4	-7	15.8	14.7	1.07	15.9	15.7	0.15
Duncan Robinson	54	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	-5	-5	14.5	15.9	-1.41	16.2	15.2	0.92
Bam Adebayo	67	70	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.04	-14	-1	-13	14.6	16.2	-1.53	16.0	15.0	0.94
Tyler Herro	80	81	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	-1	-13	15.0	15.4	-0.38	16.0	14.1	1.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.33,0.21,0.14,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 105, CHI 89	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.05,0,0,0,0	94.4%
PHX 108, HOU 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.23,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.1,0.05,0.12,0.05,0.12,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.3%
ORL 104, CHI 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.33,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%