NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	119		Excitement	5.6 [688]		MVP	Tidjane Salaun (CHA): +18.3%
Charlotte Hornets	101		Comeback	1.0 [1266]		LVP	Nick Smith Jr. (CHA): -15.9%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Buddy Hield	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.17	0.02	0.05	14	76%	0.15	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.01	14	58%	0.15	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.00
Brandin Podziemski	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	16	53%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Jimmy Butler III	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.02	7	65%	0.09	3	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Gary Payton II	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	7	64%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Knox II	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Spencer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trayce Jackson-Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.00	0.04	15	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Quinten Post	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gui Santos	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moses Moody	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tidjane Salaun	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.08	-0.01	3	111%	0.19	1	-0.01	3	33%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.22	-0.00	0.16	20	71%	0.12	3	-0.08	9	100%	0.02
Mark Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	60%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.00
Moussa Diabate	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Flynn	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	22%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	42%	0.00	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.04
DaQuan Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMelo Ball	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	21	50%	0.07	6	-0.16	8	62%	-0.04
Damion Baugh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	10	30%	-0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nick Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.03	-0.02	12	25%	-0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.5	31.4	14.5	38.5	1.8	28.5	143.7
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +28.4%

GSW +3.4%

CHA -5.0%

GSW +26.5%

CHA -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	CHA	NBA	GSW	CHA	NBA
this game	13.7	13.8	14.4	112.3	97.1	113.0
season	14.5	15.0		112.9	106.2
opponent	14.2	14.5		115.2	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.2	12.2	11.8	17.4	13.7
CHA	13.5	12.2	14.4	15.3	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandin Podziemski	67	67	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.01	17	1	16	13.9	13.3	0.57	14.4	12.6	1.77
Draymond Green	64	62	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.10	20	-2	22	13.4	14.1	-0.67	13.7	13.8	-0.08
Jimmy Butler III	68	69	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	8	2	13.1	14.6	-1.50	14.1	13.1	0.97
Buddy Hield	65	65	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.01	9	9	0	14.5	12.3	2.25	14.2	13.1	1.05
Stephen Curry	71	68	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.13	13	5	8	13.5	13.9	-0.41	12.8	15.6	-2.79
Moses Moody	49	50	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.13	11	7	4	12.9	14.3	-1.36	13.0	14.4	-1.39
Gary Payton II	26	23	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.02	6	12	-6	12.2	14.2	-2.01	12.9	14.0	-1.14
Kevon Looney	27	27	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	14	-10	16.7	12.6	4.02	15.1	13.3	1.83
Gui Santos	40	39	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	16	-14	13.9	13.5	0.45	14.3	13.4	0.88
Quinten Post	41	38	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	20	-22	13.0	14.1	-1.01	13.0	14.2	-1.24
Kevin Knox II	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	13.7	13.7	0.08	14.2	13.7	0.51
Pat Spencer	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	13.7	13.7	0.08	14.2	13.7	0.51
Trayce Jackson-Davis	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	13.7	13.7	0.08	14.2	13.7	0.51

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moussa Diabate	5	4	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-18	18	11.6	13.9	-2.27	13.7	13.7	0.08
Malachi Flynn	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-18	18	14.2	13.7	0.51	13.7	13.7	0.08
Damion Baugh	60	62	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.08	-5	-13	8	13.8	13.7	0.02	14.6	12.4	2.23
LaMelo Ball	74	74	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.12	0	-18	18	13.4	14.7	-1.32	14.1	12.7	1.36
Tidjane Salaun	32	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-20	22	13.7	13.8	-0.10	13.0	14.0	-1.00
DaQuan Jeffries	34	33	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-18	18	14.9	13.2	1.76	13.7	13.6	0.08
Jusuf Nurkic	31	34	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.17	0	-18	18	14.3	13.5	0.76	12.5	14.2	-1.72
Seth Curry	17	18	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.09	-10	-8	-2	14.8	13.6	1.27	12.8	13.8	-1.01
Mark Williams	68	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.19	-18	0	-18	13.7	13.9	-0.24	14.2	12.6	1.62
Josh Green	59	61	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.12	-16	-2	-14	13.1	14.6	-1.48	12.7	14.9	-2.20
Miles Bridges	74	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.19	-20	2	-22	13.6	14.0	-0.38	13.7	13.6	0.06
Nick Smith Jr.	62	63	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.08	-23	5	-28	14.0	13.4	0.64	13.7	13.6	0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.22,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.24,0.32,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 111, DAL 86	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
OKC 104, LAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
MIA 130, MIL 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.29,0.38,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.8%