NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	116		Excitement	10.3 [49]		MVP	Walker Kessler (UTA): +21.2%
Utah Jazz	117		Comeback	4.0 [202]		LVP	Mike Conley (MIN): -13.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luka Garza	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.04	0.01	7	70%	0.15	0	0.00	9	56%	-0.04
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.08	0.00	10	55%	0.13	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jaylen Clark	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	5	50%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rob Dillingham	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.00	4	50%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,-0.01	0.07	-0.06	0.02	16	62%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Shannon Jr.	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.06	0.01	16	52%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Naz Reid	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.07	-0.01	25	52%	0.07	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Donte DiVincenzo	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.24,-0.08	0.02	-0.10	-0.00	13	46%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13	-0.02	-0.10	0.01	5	30%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walker Kessler	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,-0.06,0.21	0.21	0.03	0.19	0.01	7	56%	0.21	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
KJ Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.08	0.10	-0.02	5	92%	0.20	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Collin Sexton	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	11	57%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Cody Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	-0.00	7	64%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.16	-0.14	0.03	18	74%	0.22	3	-0.23	3	67%	-0.01
Keyonte George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	8	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kyle Filipowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.04	0.00	10	52%	0.17	5	-0.19	1	0%	-0.04
Brice Sensabaugh	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.07	-0.07	0.09	-0.16	0.01	10	85%	0.16	3	-0.23	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Juzang	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Springer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Collier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	8	55%	0.08	6	-0.20	4	75%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.3	22.5	15.3	24.5	2.7	32.3	122.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +63.8%

UTA +9.7%

UTA +37.3%

MIN -67.7%

UTA +6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	UTA	NBA	MIN	UTA	NBA
this game	13.5	14.5	14.4	113.7	113.6	113.1
season	14.7	14.8		115.4	109.6
opponent	13.7	14.6		119.0	110.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.5	13.3	14.0	13.3	13.5
UTA	17.0	16.1	11.2	14.4	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luka Garza	39	39	0.34	-0.84	1.18	0.02	11	-12	23	12.1	14.5	-2.38	14.7	14.5	0.20
Jaylen Clark	35	35	0.33	-0.83	1.16	-0.08	14	-15	29	12.3	14.2	-1.88	14.3	14.6	-0.30
Rob Dillingham	41	42	0.18	-0.68	0.87	-0.14	11	-12	23	12.5	14.2	-1.73	13.6	15.2	-1.52
Donte DiVincenzo	55	58	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.47	14	-15	29	12.5	14.8	-2.30	14.8	14.2	0.65
Terrence Shannon Jr.	58	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.10	-6	5	-11	14.2	12.6	1.61	15.0	13.9	1.12
Naz Reid	88	89	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.53	-5	4	-9	13.7	12.6	1.05	14.4	15.6	-1.19
Mike Conley	49	50	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.31	-16	15	-31	14.5	12.7	1.85	14.5	14.6	-0.12
Jaden McDaniels	73	73	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.37	-14	13	-27	14.2	11.8	2.41	14.5	14.5	0.01
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	72	71	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.37	-14	13	-27	14.3	11.8	2.43	14.7	14.2	0.56

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walker Kessler	54	54	1.08	-0.58	1.66	0.41	23	-22	45	14.0	15.1	-1.10	14.9	12.0	2.85
KJ Martin	46	44	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.93	-8	9	-17	14.5	14.6	-0.16	13.6	13.5	0.03
Isaiah Collier	65	64	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.15	16	-15	31	14.4	14.8	-0.43	13.6	13.5	0.12
John Collins	59	59	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.23	11	-10	21	14.6	14.4	0.23	13.4	13.8	-0.38
Johnny Juzang	46	46	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.12	12	-11	23	13.8	15.2	-1.41	14.5	12.8	1.73
Collin Sexton	37	35	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	-12	25	14.8	14.4	0.37	14.2	13.2	0.99
Jaden Springer	24	23	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.06	-1	2	-3	13.7	14.8	-1.03	11.3	14.2	-2.95
Keyonte George	52	51	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.56	-23	24	-47	15.2	13.9	1.35	12.9	14.2	-1.29
Cody Williams	37	37	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.14	-10	11	-21	15.2	14.2	0.97	13.0	13.9	-0.90
Brice Sensabaugh	45	48	-0.45	0.95	-1.41	-0.28	-6	7	-13	14.6	14.5	0.14	14.5	12.7	1.72
Kyle Filipowski	50	49	-0.52	1.02	-1.55	0.12	-22	23	-45	15.0	14.1	0.85	12.1	14.9	-2.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.31,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.74,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.73,0.9,0.84,0.68,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 89, CHA 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.78,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.9,0.69,0.58,1	90.3%
SAS 90, UTA 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.6,0.69,0.75,0.55,0.55,0.42,1	90.0%
PHI 102, MIN 107	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.39,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.55,0.42,1	88.9%