NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	96		Excitement	7.6 [350]		MVP	Klay Thompson (DAL): +28.1%
Dallas Mavericks	103		Comeback	1.8 [920]		LVP	Damion Baugh (CHA): -23.8%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Williams	0.08	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	18	60%	0.15	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.01
Nick Smith Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	14	43%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.10	0.09	-0.04	24	42%	0.14	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Green	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Moussa Diabate	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	53%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Seth Curry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
KJ Simpson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07	-0.00	-0.08	-0.01	10	55%	0.06	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
DaQuan Jeffries	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	8	33%	-0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Damion Baugh	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.15	-0.09	-0.00	8	12%	-0.14	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.13	0.14	-0.02	12	67%	0.28	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	4	92%	0.15	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Moses Brown	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.02	0.03	14	65%	0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.11,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.09	0.01	24	51%	0.19	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.01	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Max Christie	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	8	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kessler Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Hardy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	9	40%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Naji Marshall	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.18	-0.07	-0.02	11	12%	-0.19	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.8	28.6	15.4	23.6	2.3	31.6	126.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +20.2%

DAL +5.5%

DAL +9.5%

DAL +17.3%

CHA -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	DAL	NBA	CHA	DAL	NBA
this game	14.1	14.1	14.4	95.0	100.0	113.1
season	15.0	14.3		106.2	113.3
opponent	14.4	14.2		114.4	115.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.1	13.7	15.2	13.6	14.1
DAL	14.7	13.5	14.2	14.1	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	10	10	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-8	9	12.7	14.3	-1.59	14.8	14.0	0.77
Seth Curry	27	29	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-10	13	13.2	14.5	-1.29	16.0	13.4	2.59
DaQuan Jeffries	35	37	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.25	3	-10	13	13.8	14.3	-0.55	14.9	13.6	1.31
Mark Williams	65	65	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-5	3	14.5	13.5	0.98	13.9	14.4	-0.54
Moussa Diabate	26	27	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	-1	-5	13.8	14.2	-0.43	14.9	13.8	1.01
Damion Baugh	44	45	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.10	-5	-2	-3	13.9	14.3	-0.47	15.1	13.3	1.74
KJ Simpson	66	66	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	1	-9	14.6	13.2	1.38	13.3	15.5	-2.15
Josh Green	78	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.12	-7	0	-7	14.3	13.4	0.95	13.6	15.6	-1.97
Miles Bridges	82	85	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-3	-1	13.8	15.5	-1.66	14.3	13.3	1.00
Nick Smith Jr.	72	73	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	3	-13	14.5	13.2	1.29	13.2	16.4	-3.28

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyrie Irving	82	80	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.12	21	-14	35	13.8	15.3	-1.54	14.3	13.4	0.88
Moses Brown	65	65	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.17	14	-7	21	14.5	13.4	1.13	14.4	13.7	0.67
Naji Marshall	72	71	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.23	8	-1	9	13.5	15.6	-2.11	14.3	13.8	0.52
Max Christie	74	73	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.16	10	-3	13	13.5	15.6	-2.11	14.6	13.0	1.61
Klay Thompson	60	59	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.13	6	1	5	13.1	15.5	-2.33	15.0	12.9	2.18
Dante Exum	53	52	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.23	-1	8	-9	15.0	13.2	1.76	13.6	14.7	-1.02
Spencer Dinwiddie	51	49	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.19	-4	11	-15	14.9	13.3	1.54	13.1	15.1	-1.99
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	9	8	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	8	-9	18.6	13.7	4.87	10.2	14.5	-4.21
Dwight Powell	35	34	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	12	-17	13.5	14.4	-0.94	14.1	14.2	-0.11
Kessler Edwards	9	9	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.03	-5	12	-17	16.9	13.8	3.05	12.8	14.3	-1.48
Jaden Hardy	5	5	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.08	-8	15	-23	17.8	13.9	3.88	13.0	14.2	-1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.52,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.72,0.68,0.74,0.62,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.69,0.54,0.72,0.89,0.79,0.85,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 74, MEM 85	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.59,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.44,0.56,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.63,0.84,0.98,1	92.1%
UTA 94, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.69,0.98,1	91.6%
CLE 85, MIA 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.97,0.99,1	91.4%