NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	131		Excitement	7.1 [446]		MVP	Jaden McDaniels (MIN): +31.9%
Oklahoma City Thunder	128		Comeback	2499.0 [1]		LVP	Luguentz Dort (OKC): -31.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaden McDaniels	0.32	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.17	0.21	0.06	16	66%	0.34	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.12
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.09	0.10	0.07	0.09	12	70%	0.11	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.03
Jaylen Clark	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Terrence Shannon Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.11	0.00	0.09	10	74%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Mike Conley	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	5	80%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Naz Reid	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.19,-0.26,-0.1,-0.01	-0.02	0.08	0.07	21	46%	0.02	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.18
Luka Garza	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rob Dillingham	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16,-0.16	0.02	-0.14	0.04	10	52%	-0.16	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Anthony Edwards	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.22	-0.11	-0.13	-0.02	15	42%	-0.19	4	-0.03	10	60%	-0.03

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.14	0.14	-0.05	0.16	-0.04	8	31%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.02	-0.02	16	56%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.06
Isaiah Joe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	7	64%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cason Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.05	-0.01	11	55%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	4	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kenrich Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.06	0.03	3	100%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	0.01	23	52%	0.04	3	-0.10	6	83%	-0.01
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0,0.14,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.16	-0.16	0.20	-0.27	0.09	20	68%	-0.06	4	-0.11	17	82%	0.05
Luguentz Dort	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.32	-0.32	-0.11	-0.24	-0.03	10	23%	-0.13	1	-0.18	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.1	1.7	26.4	14.5	30.6	1.7	35.4	2.3	18.2	154.9
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	2.3	15.6	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC -50.9%

MIN +56.8%

MIN +12.8%

MIN +24.3%

MIN +7.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	OKC	NBA	MIN	OKC	NBA
this game	14.1	13.5	14.4	112.9	112.3	113.1
season	14.7	13.7		114.8	117.9
opponent	14.7	14.7		105.5	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIN	16.3	15.6	13.3	10.8	15.7	14.1
OKC	12.3	13.2	13.3	15.9	11.5	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	77	76	0.87	-0.37	1.25	0.20	23	-20	43	13.4	15.5	-2.07	13.9	12.8	1.16
Naz Reid	89	86	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.46	3	0	3	14.2	13.7	0.58	13.7	13.0	0.76
Terrence Shannon Jr.	63	63	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	-9	21	13.0	15.4	-2.40	14.2	12.7	1.54
Jaden McDaniels	92	91	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.60	-3	6	-9	14.5	12.5	2.03	13.6	13.1	0.56
Rob Dillingham	55	55	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.18	19	-16	35	13.7	14.5	-0.84	14.5	12.7	1.81
Anthony Edwards	80	77	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.41	-7	10	-17	14.3	13.6	0.69	12.9	14.8	-1.85
Joe Ingles	12	12	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	2	-1	13.9	14.1	-0.22	11.2	13.8	-2.55
Luka Garza	18	18	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.06	-7	10	-17	15.1	13.9	1.12	12.9	13.6	-0.70
Mike Conley	31	29	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.07	-8	11	-19	15.3	13.7	1.56	13.2	13.6	-0.44
Jaylen Clark	63	63	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.28	-18	21	-39	14.6	13.6	1.01	12.6	14.6	-2.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Hartenstein	33	33	0.29	-0.79	1.07	-0.09	13	-16	29	13.2	13.7	-0.50	16.1	13.3	2.77
Kenrich Williams	27	27	0.16	-0.66	0.83	0.13	1	-4	5	13.4	13.6	-0.12	14.4	14.0	0.34
Jaylin Williams	37	38	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.09	5	-8	13	12.9	13.9	-0.99	15.3	13.5	1.79
Isaiah Joe	42	41	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.30	11	-14	25	12.3	14.3	-1.98	13.7	14.3	-0.63
Cason Wallace	73	73	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-3	3	13.9	12.9	0.95	14.4	13.6	0.88
Aaron Wiggins	65	65	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.18	-9	6	-15	13.1	14.2	-1.10	13.8	14.5	-0.67
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	89	93	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.59	2	-5	7	13.6	13.4	0.22	14.0	14.5	-0.51
Jalen Williams	92	92	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.47	-5	2	-7	13.7	12.8	0.94	13.9	15.1	-1.22
Luguentz Dort	59	63	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.03	-22	19	-41	14.6	12.4	2.19	14.0	14.3	-0.31
Alex Caruso	53	55	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.37	-11	8	-19	13.8	13.3	0.48	12.9	15.2	-2.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.75,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.98,0.46,0.68,0.46,0.45,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 133, MIN 129	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.54,0.55,0.7,0.67,0.41,0	91.5%
MEM 126, SAS 120	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.77,0.89,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.57,0.09,0	90.3%
MIN 105, DEN 97	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.97,0.91,0.46,0.55,0.29,0.11,0.01,0	90.0%