NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	107		Excitement	9.5 [85]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (DAL): +59.7%
Dallas Mavericks	111		Comeback	1.8 [246]		LVP	Kessler Edwards (DAL): -20.9%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.05,-0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.17	-0.02	0.17	-0.02	23	50%	0.28	4	-0.11	4	75%	-0.06
Gary Payton II	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	-0.00	0.03	9	78%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	3	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Quinten Post	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	0.01	10	57%	0.03	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Gui Santos	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler III	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.04,-0.09	0.02	-0.10	0.01	17	52%	0.09	3	-0.17	6	83%	0.02
Moses Moody	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.09	0.04	-0.13	0.00	13	48%	-0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Buddy Hield	-0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	9	17%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandin Podziemski	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	9	44%	-0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.23,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.38,0.6,0.6	0.60	0.29	0.32	0.01	25	76%	0.67	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.09
Brandon Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.03	-0.00	6	86%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kylor Kelley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Naji Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.20	3	-0.23	0	0%	0.00
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	9	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Hardy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0	0%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	-0.00	19	45%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Max Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.03,-0.05,-0.1	-0.10	0.02	-0.12	0.00	12	61%	0.02	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.03
Kessler Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.05	-0.15	0.01	5	40%	-0.12	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	3.5	28.8	15.6	29.7	3.5	43.3	149.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.2	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +50.3%

GSW -0.0%

GSW -2.5%

GSW -5.1%

DAL +7.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	DAL	NBA	GSW	DAL	NBA
this game	14.2	14.8	14.4	109.2	111.0	112.6
season	14.3	14.3		112.2	115.1
opponent	14.5	14.5		112.8	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.9	15.3	15.3	12.6	14.2
DAL	15.5	13.5	15.3	15.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gui Santos	22	26	0.24	-0.74	0.99	-0.05	10	-14	24	14.3	14.2	0.05	15.0	14.8	0.15
Kevon Looney	30	32	0.24	-0.74	0.98	-0.11	12	-16	28	13.8	14.4	-0.58	14.2	15.1	-0.88
Moses Moody	56	57	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.11	8	-12	20	14.1	14.4	-0.21	14.8	15.0	-0.22
Brandin Podziemski	51	51	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.36	13	-17	30	14.6	13.9	0.74	14.0	15.7	-1.69
Gary Payton II	33	36	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.37	3	-7	10	12.2	15.2	-3.00	16.0	14.2	1.84
Stephen Curry	74	77	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.40	4	-8	12	13.7	15.8	-2.06	15.8	11.8	3.98
Quinten Post	27	25	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.08	-19	15	-34	15.4	13.8	1.67	13.1	15.4	-2.36
Draymond Green	65	65	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.26	-13	9	-22	14.6	13.6	0.99	15.1	14.4	0.74
Buddy Hield	59	59	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.03	-21	17	-38	14.5	13.8	0.73	15.2	14.4	0.78
Jimmy Butler III	73	72	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.31	-17	13	-30	14.6	13.0	1.60	14.3	16.3	-1.99

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Klay Thompson	71	69	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.15	19	-15	34	14.9	14.8	0.08	14.4	13.8	0.68
Kessler Edwards	69	66	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.26	14	-10	24	14.3	16.1	-1.76	15.2	12.2	2.99
Max Christie	82	81	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.37	7	-3	10	15.3	12.6	2.73	13.8	16.1	-2.28
Kyrie Irving	84	83	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.28	8	-4	12	14.7	15.8	-1.15	14.3	13.7	0.59
Brandon Williams	31	30	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.09	9	-5	14	13.1	15.6	-2.54	15.2	13.8	1.39
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	52	51	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.24	-1	5	-6	15.2	14.4	0.83	13.4	15.1	-1.72
Naji Marshall	63	62	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.34	-12	16	-28	15.3	14.1	1.26	13.5	15.6	-2.09
Kylor Kelley	4	4	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	8	-12	13.5	14.9	-1.41	11.0	14.4	-3.37
Jaden Hardy	9	10	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.06	-9	13	-22	13.4	15.0	-1.54	14.1	14.2	-0.15
Spencer Dinwiddie	35	34	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.10	-11	15	-26	15.8	14.3	1.46	14.9	13.9	0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.82,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.5,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.78,0.75,0.36,0.57,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 105, POR 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.65,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.94,0.83,0.75,0.29,0.78,0.58,1	90.7%
SAS 97, UTA 101	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.91,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.67,0.73,1	90.6%
ATL 110, PHX 117	0.5,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.73,1	90.3%