NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	134		Excitement	9.9 [85]		MVP	Jordan Poole (WAS): +40.6%
Washington Wizards	130		Comeback	25.3 [176]		LVP	Alex Sarr (WAS): -20.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bennedict Mathurin	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.28,0.25	0.15	0.13	0.03	19	68%	0.29	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Andrew Nembhard	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.02	0.21	-0.00	6	56%	0.24	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.10
Tyrese Haliburton	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.04	0.14	0.02	18	56%	0.21	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14	0.25	-0.05	0.06	19	76%	0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Thomas Bryant	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.06	0.00	7	60%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Aaron Nesmith	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben Sheppard	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	40%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Johnny Furphy	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	12	42%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.24,-0.24,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18	-0.05	-0.12	0.00	16	38%	-0.15	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.04

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.41,0.41	0.41	0.18	0.23	-0.00	29	66%	0.50	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.06
Corey Kispert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.21	0.00	0.03	10	105%	0.22	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyshawn George	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.04	0.00	10	67%	0.13	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.02
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	2	100%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	9	60%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tristan Vukcevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bub Carrington	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.03	0.02	11	75%	0.08	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
AJ Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justin Champagnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bilal Coulibaly	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-0.02	8	17%	-0.09	2	-0.10	2	0%	-0.03
Alex Sarr	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.09	-0.09	0.02	13	32%	-0.18	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.7	1.8	25.5	15.5	29.4	2.5	36.2	2.4	16.6	154.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	2.4	15.6	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -18.1%

IND +22.0%

IND +20.3%

IND +29.5%

WAS -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	WAS	NBA	IND	WAS	NBA
this game	15.1	13.6	14.4	121.8	117.1	113.1
season	13.8	14.0		115.1	105.3
opponent	14.1	14.7		117.6	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	14.6	17.2	13.7	16.3	13.3	15.1
WAS	13.1	14.1	12.5	15.0	14.0	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bennedict Mathurin	67	69	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.30	21	-17	38	14.9	15.5	-0.54	13.9	13.3	0.62
Ben Sheppard	50	51	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.25	13	-9	22	14.4	15.8	-1.42	13.7	13.6	0.14
Pascal Siakam	79	81	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.30	11	-7	18	14.9	15.7	-0.84	13.8	13.3	0.52
T.J. McConnell	47	46	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.09	11	-7	18	14.7	15.4	-0.72	14.1	13.3	0.82
Andrew Nembhard	59	60	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.38	-9	13	-22	15.0	15.3	-0.29	13.1	14.3	-1.19
Thomas Bryant	57	56	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.15	-3	7	-10	15.5	14.8	0.66	14.0	13.3	0.67
Obi Toppin	65	66	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.23	-7	11	-18	16.5	13.2	3.24	13.6	13.8	-0.18
Tyrese Haliburton	64	65	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.21	-7	11	-18	16.2	13.7	2.48	13.8	13.5	0.25
Johnny Furphy	16	16	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.12	4	0	4	12.4	15.6	-3.16	12.9	13.8	-0.83
Aaron Nesmith	46	45	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.29	-14	18	-32	14.5	15.6	-1.06	13.0	14.1	-1.13

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
AJ Johnson	21	21	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.07	10	-14	24	12.0	14.0	-2.03	16.7	14.8	1.95
Malcolm Brogdon	30	30	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-7	10	13.8	13.6	0.16	16.1	14.8	1.32
Tristan Vukcevic	4	4	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-4	4	16.0	13.6	2.44	17.5	15.0	2.45
Justin Champagnie	7	6	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	0	-4	15.3	13.5	1.75	15.7	15.1	0.56
Corey Kispert	56	55	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.29	3	-7	10	13.2	14.1	-0.95	15.0	15.3	-0.31
Kyshawn George	64	63	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	5	-14	13.7	13.6	0.09	15.1	15.2	-0.06
Richaun Holmes	38	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.09	-5	1	-6	13.7	13.6	0.09	16.3	14.6	1.71
Alex Sarr	69	69	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.26	0	-4	4	13.5	13.9	-0.45	14.4	16.4	-2.00
Bilal Coulibaly	74	74	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.16	-6	2	-8	14.1	12.8	1.26	15.0	15.4	-0.38
Bub Carrington	95	93	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.50	0	-4	4	13.7	13.6	0.03	15.2	14.7	0.51
Jordan Poole	89	90	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.26	-11	7	-18	13.8	12.9	0.92	14.7	17.2	-2.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.84,0.94,0.83,0.68,0.7,0.65,0.54,0.69,0.63,0.17,0.17,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.1,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 109, SEA 106	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.9,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.4,0.38,0.28,0.1,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.29,0.03,0.08,0	89.5%
MIN 113, DAL 110	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.92,0.77,0.64,0.59,0.47,0.75,0.63,0.57,0.27,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.16,0	89.4%
DAL 117, SAC 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.86,0.93,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.91,0.75,0.72,0.45,0.17,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.09,0.42,0	88.7%