NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	99		Excitement	7.4 [250]		MVP	Moses Moody (GSW): +22.5%
Golden State Warriors	104		Comeback	2.5 [384]		LVP	Paolo Banchero (ORL): -16.1%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cole Anthony	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.13	0.10	0.02	-0.01	21	60%	0.17	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Franz Wagner	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	19	51%	0.10	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Wendell Carter Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.01	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jett Howard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Black	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan da Silva	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.05	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.07	0.01	9	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	7	14%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	8	29%	-0.03	2	-0.06	5	40%	-0.04
Paolo Banchero	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	24	37%	-0.11	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Moses Moody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.13	0.09	0.00	9	77%	0.23	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	0.01	14	58%	0.13	1	-0.03	15	67%	-0.02
Brandin Podziemski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	6	67%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Quinten Post	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Draymond Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.05	-0.02	4	40%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.05
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.03	-0.00	6	75%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gui Santos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	36%	0.00	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.08	0.01	21	48%	-0.03	3	-0.05	8	100%	0.03
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	0.01	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	0.1	28.3	14.6	28.7	1.8	36.4	135.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.2	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +34.3%

GSW +11.6%

GSW +10.2%

ORL -6.3%

GSW +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	GSW	NBA	ORL	GSW	NBA
this game	15.6	14.5	14.4	103.1	109.5	112.6
season	15.3	14.3		106.9	112.2
opponent	14.5	14.4		111.2	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.6	14.9	17.2	15.0	15.6
GSW	16.5	12.8	15.5	13.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathan Isaac	22	22	0.37	-0.87	1.24	-0.19	19	-24	43	14.2	16.0	-1.85	16.0	14.1	1.95
Gary Harris	24	27	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.14	12	-17	29	17.4	15.0	2.36	15.9	14.0	1.87
Jett Howard	11	12	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.17	12	-17	29	13.4	15.9	-2.53	13.1	14.8	-1.68
Tristan da Silva	21	19	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.08	7	-12	19	14.5	15.9	-1.44	18.1	13.7	4.45
Wendell Carter Jr.	54	54	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.41	14	-19	33	14.8	16.7	-1.93	15.7	13.0	2.72
Anthony Black	35	34	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.01	-11	6	-17	15.9	15.4	0.49	13.5	15.1	-1.63
Cole Anthony	55	54	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.24	-7	2	-9	15.2	16.1	-0.90	15.1	13.8	1.35
Franz Wagner	77	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.26	-8	3	-11	15.2	17.2	-1.94	14.2	15.7	-1.50
Goga Bitadze	42	41	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.06	-19	14	-33	16.7	14.8	1.93	13.0	15.7	-2.72
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	65	65	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.18	-20	15	-35	16.3	14.1	2.18	13.7	16.5	-2.81
Paolo Banchero	74	73	-0.87	0.37	-1.24	-0.17	-24	19	-43	16.0	14.2	1.85	14.1	16.0	-1.95

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Draymond Green	61	59	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.58	9	-4	13	13.3	16.7	-3.41	16.1	14.8	1.25
Stephen Curry	70	68	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.50	8	-3	11	13.7	16.8	-3.11	16.3	13.9	2.42
Andrew Wiggins	70	69	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.27	15	-10	25	13.8	16.5	-2.68	16.5	13.4	3.06
Kevon Looney	37	38	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.39	1	4	-3	16.2	13.5	2.78	16.0	15.4	0.61
Buddy Hield	38	39	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	-10	25	13.0	15.6	-2.62	16.6	14.9	1.62
Moses Moody	46	49	0.14	0.35	-0.21	0.20	-2	7	-9	15.5	13.7	1.80	14.5	16.7	-2.19
Quinten Post	42	42	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.04	6	-1	7	13.7	15.2	-1.58	15.9	15.4	0.49
Gary Payton II	28	29	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.14	-5	10	-15	16.1	13.9	2.21	16.5	15.2	1.26
Gui Santos	5	6	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	9	-13	19.2	14.3	4.91	7.8	16.1	-8.29
Brandin Podziemski	43	43	-0.36	0.86	-1.21	-0.09	-9	14	-23	15.7	13.6	2.02	14.2	16.7	-2.53
Dennis Schroder	35	38	-0.42	0.92	-1.33	-0.15	-9	14	-23	16.2	13.6	2.62	13.9	16.7	-2.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.79,0.81,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.6,0.31,0.55,0.78,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 98, SAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.63,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.9,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.73,0.48,0.55,0.8,0.91,1	91.1%
UTA 84, LAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.78,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.84,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.65,0.54,0.31,0.55,0.78,0.98,1	90.7%
SAS 104, PHX 108	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.85,0.93,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.79,0.54,0.67,0.62,0.79,0.94,0.92,1	90.4%