NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	105		Excitement	9.1 [162]		MVP	Kyle Kuzma (WAS): +31.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	103		Comeback	2.3 [200]		LVP	Nickeil Alexander-Walker (MIN): -18.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Kuzma	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.32,0.32	0.14	0.17	-0.00	24	65%	0.44	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.08	-0.00	3	75%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04	-0.00	0.04	0.00	11	57%	0.15	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Bilal Coulibaly	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	9	61%	0.09	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.00
Anthony Gill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Champagnie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bub Carrington	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyshawn George	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	8	58%	0.06	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Jordan Poole	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.05	-0.06	0.02	13	63%	0.11	3	-0.14	4	75%	0.01
Malcolm Brogdon	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	6	21%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Kispert	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	8	50%	-0.01	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.02	0.15	0.01	12	59%	0.26	3	-0.10	3	67%	-0.00
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.12,0.05	0.05	0.12	-0.05	0.02	16	62%	0.08	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.02	-0.01	12	57%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Jaylen Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	9	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Naz Reid	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	10	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	0.00	6	83%	0.10	4	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Luka Garza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	6	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rob Dillingham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	8	39%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.19	-0.19	0.00	-0.19	0.00	14	44%	-0.17	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	26.4	14.7	33.2	2.4	32.5	136.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +71.5%

MIN -3.7%

MIN -9.5%

MIN -12.2%

WAS +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MIN	NBA	WAS	MIN	NBA
this game	14.5	14.0	14.4	102.9	103.0	113.1
season	14.0	14.7		105.3	115.4
opponent	14.6	14.1		110.3	117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.5	12.8	12.1	16.2	14.5
MIN	13.0	14.4	14.6	13.7	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Valanciunas	62	64	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.36	9	-7	16	14.1	15.1	-1.00	14.4	13.1	1.30
Kyshawn George	50	48	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.24	12	-10	22	13.7	15.4	-1.72	14.5	13.5	1.06
Jordan Poole	74	72	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	14.5	14.7	-0.24	13.9	14.1	-0.19
Kyle Kuzma	73	72	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.27	3	-1	4	14.2	15.4	-1.17	13.8	14.4	-0.54
Bilal Coulibaly	78	76	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.33	0	2	-2	14.7	14.1	0.54	14.4	12.7	1.61
Malcolm Brogdon	44	43	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.23	-5	7	-12	15.7	13.6	2.09	13.5	14.3	-0.84
Corey Kispert	61	58	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.20	-4	6	-10	14.8	14.2	0.58	13.8	14.3	-0.50
Bub Carrington	29	30	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.06	0	2	-2	14.1	14.7	-0.66	13.9	14.0	-0.05
Anthony Gill	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	2	-2	0.0	14.5	-14.54	7.0	14.0	-7.04
Justin Champagnie	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	2	-2	0.0	14.5	-14.54	7.0	14.0	-7.04
Richaun Holmes	39	35	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.08	-7	9	-16	15.4	14.0	1.45	13.3	14.3	-1.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Ingles	39	39	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.21	11	-13	24	14.3	13.8	0.55	16.2	13.5	2.70
Rob Dillingham	36	37	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.08	0	-2	2	14.3	13.8	0.48	14.0	14.9	-0.89
Luka Garza	22	22	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.05	-8	6	-14	14.6	13.8	0.85	13.7	14.8	-1.09
Naz Reid	41	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	7	-16	15.1	13.2	1.95	14.2	14.7	-0.49
Rudy Gobert	78	80	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.49	6	-8	14	13.8	14.6	-0.85	14.8	13.7	1.09
Jaden McDaniels	84	86	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.47	4	-6	10	13.5	16.2	-2.71	15.0	12.1	2.86
Mike Conley	73	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.37	-1	-1	0	13.5	15.1	-1.56	14.7	14.2	0.43
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	84	88	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.40	-2	0	-2	14.0	13.8	0.19	14.7	13.4	1.37
Jaylen Clark	43	45	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.22	-11	9	-20	13.8	14.1	-0.27	12.4	16.2	-3.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.35,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.34,0.38,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.37,0.37,0.46,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.22,0.15,0.26,0.3,0.37,0.38,0.47,0.66,0.53,0.42,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 100, SAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.28,0.29,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.09,0	91.3%
IND 91, NYK 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.21,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.47,0.53,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.45,0.28,0	91.0%
DET 122, GSW 119	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.45,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.23,0.26,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.21,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.42,0.43,0.25,0.33,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.1,0	90.9%