NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	113		Excitement	6.7 [521]		MVP	Franz Wagner (ORL): +19.2%
Orlando Magic	121		Comeback	3.0 [567]		LVP	Jalen Duren (DET): -5.6%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	8	62%	0.08	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Ronald Holland II	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	7	59%	0.07	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.05
Ausar Thompson	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	8	80%	0.11	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Malik Beasley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.11	-0.03	0.05	13	60%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Tobias Harris	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	33%	-0.01	2	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Paul Reed	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Sasser	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cade Cunningham	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.03	31	51%	0.10	5	-0.13	7	100%	0.05
Simone Fontecchio	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Duren	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	9	56%	0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Franz Wagner	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.16	0.09	0.05	22	62%	0.23	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.04
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.04	0.01	5	87%	0.16	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Paolo Banchero	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.04	-0.02	22	55%	0.13	3	-0.02	14	50%	-0.09
Jalen Suggs	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.06	0.06	-0.06	8	42%	0.12	3	-0.07	3	0%	-0.03
Tristan da Silva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	7	65%	0.06	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Trevelin Queen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jett Howard	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	117%	0.11	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	7	39%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	35.2	2.3	35.3	14.7	35.3	2.3	39.3	164.4
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +40.5%

ORL +1.7%

DET -0.0%

ORL +4.1%

ORL +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	ORL	NBA	DET	ORL	NBA
this game	13.3	14.7	14.4	108.7	118.6	113.0
season	14.1	15.4		113.7	108.3
opponent	14.4	14.5		109.1	111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	11.1	16.2	11.9	14.3	13.3
ORL	15.6	12.6	14.8	15.7	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Beasley	63	62	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.19	10	-18	28	13.1	13.6	-0.55	15.1	14.0	1.11
Paul Reed	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-8	8	17.0	13.3	3.74	24.0	14.6	9.42
Tobias Harris	38	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-6	4	13.4	13.3	0.11	15.2	14.4	0.80
Isaiah Stewart	33	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-5	2	14.2	12.9	1.38	12.6	15.6	-3.03
Ausar Thompson	64	63	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-11	14	12.8	14.0	-1.22	15.3	13.6	1.76
Cade Cunningham	81	81	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.26	4	-12	16	13.0	14.4	-1.40	15.0	13.6	1.39
Ronald Holland II	35	35	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	0	-8	13.4	13.2	0.15	13.2	15.4	-2.25
Marcus Sasser	23	21	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	2	-12	14.4	13.0	1.40	13.6	15.0	-1.39
Tim Hardaway Jr.	71	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.27	-6	-2	-4	13.3	13.2	0.13	15.2	13.5	1.76
Simone Fontecchio	38	37	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.07	-17	9	-26	14.4	12.7	1.77	12.9	15.7	-2.76
Jalen Duren	73	71	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.27	-11	3	-14	12.7	14.7	-1.97	15.4	13.1	2.22

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paolo Banchero	84	87	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.21	9	-1	10	14.8	13.9	0.89	13.3	13.5	-0.28
Jalen Suggs	34	37	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	-4	16	13.4	15.3	-1.90	13.5	13.2	0.29
Tristan da Silva	54	55	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.27	6	2	4	14.8	14.5	0.33	13.8	12.7	1.07
Franz Wagner	67	69	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	7	-6	14.2	15.6	-1.45	12.8	14.4	-1.62
Wendell Carter Jr.	70	71	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.29	1	7	-6	14.4	15.3	-0.93	12.9	14.2	-1.34
Jonathan Isaac	38	40	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.02	8	0	8	15.5	14.2	1.31	14.0	12.8	1.18
Cole Anthony	42	40	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.07	7	1	6	14.0	15.1	-1.11	14.1	12.8	1.38
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	79	79	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.22	-5	13	-18	15.6	11.5	4.13	12.9	14.6	-1.66
Anthony Black	41	41	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	7	-6	14.4	14.9	-0.48	13.3	13.3	0.07
Jett Howard	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	8	-8	24.0	14.6	9.42	17.0	13.3	3.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.29,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.42,0.58,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.62,0.75,0.87,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.93,0.84,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 75, SAC 81	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.76,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.96,1	92.7%
ORL 92, LAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.28,0.29,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.79,0.76,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.98,1	92.4%
MIL 121, CHA 126	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,0.98,1	92.4%