NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	112		Excitement	6.0 [626]		MVP	Colby Jones (WAS): +25.0%
Utah Jazz	128		Comeback	2.1 [641]		LVP	Jordan Poole (WAS): -23.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Colby Jones	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.23	0.04	0.02	11	96%	0.25	1	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Tristan Vukcevic	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	11	71%	0.12	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Alex Sarr	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.11	-0.04	0.03	14	69%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Anthony Gill	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	6	62%	0.05	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
AJ Johnson	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	10	57%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Bub Carrington	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JT Thor	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0.03	8	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jaylen Martin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	0.01	0.01	11	46%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Smart	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	6	0%	-0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Poole	-0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.18	-0.08	-0.02	11	9%	-0.21	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Filipowski	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.01	-0.01	11	81%	0.21	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.02
Brice Sensabaugh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.04	0.06	11	77%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Collier	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	0.02	10	80%	0.13	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Keyonte George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.03	0.05	12	71%	0.15	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.00	0.02	8	90%	0.15	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.07	11	54%	0.11	5	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Walker Kessler	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oscar Tshiebwe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Johnny Juzang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.00	0.05	7	64%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Micah Potter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cody Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	7	14%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	25.5	14.6	27.2	2.5	25.5	121.0
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +63.6%

WAS -5.2%

WAS -4.5%

WAS -7.2%

UTA +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	UTA	NBA	WAS	UTA	NBA
this game	14.7	13.9	14.4	110.9	128.0	113.0
season	14.0	14.8		105.3	109.6
opponent	13.7	14.1		119.0	117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.4	13.2	15.8	17.0	14.7
UTA	14.3	12.9	13.6	15.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan Vukcevic	47	47	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-16	16	13.7	15.6	-1.83	13.1	14.7	-1.63
AJ Johnson	61	61	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.15	2	-18	20	14.6	14.9	-0.25	13.6	14.5	-0.96
Jordan Poole	44	45	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-15	14	13.8	15.4	-1.56	13.0	14.7	-1.77
Bub Carrington	51	50	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	-11	6	14.2	15.2	-0.98	12.9	14.9	-1.98
Anthony Gill	46	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.06	-6	-10	4	15.4	14.2	1.19	15.5	12.7	2.79
Marcus Smart	28	27	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	-5	-6	14.5	14.8	-0.31	15.5	13.4	2.13
Alex Sarr	53	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	-9	2	14.2	15.3	-1.12	12.5	15.6	-3.10
Colby Jones	52	50	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	-2	-12	15.5	13.9	1.56	15.2	12.7	2.46
Jaylen Martin	62	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.06	-18	2	-20	15.3	13.8	1.55	14.4	13.1	1.29
JT Thor	61	60	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.09	-20	4	-24	15.4	13.6	1.82	14.4	13.1	1.30

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Collin Sexton	42	43	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	2	12	13.7	14.1	-0.45	14.4	14.9	-0.53
Jordan Clarkson	39	42	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	6	4	15.3	13.0	2.26	14.9	14.6	0.27
Oscar Tshiebwe	36	36	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.04	10	6	4	14.8	13.5	1.32	15.6	14.3	1.29
Brice Sensabaugh	45	46	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.13	16	0	16	13.9	13.9	0.01	15.5	14.1	1.35
Walker Kessler	34	35	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	14	-12	13.6	14.1	-0.43	13.9	15.2	-1.32
Keyonte George	60	60	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	11	-6	13.8	14.1	-0.28	14.7	14.7	0.07
Cody Williams	61	62	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	15	-14	13.6	14.5	-0.96	14.1	15.7	-1.58
Kyle Filipowski	47	47	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	10	-4	13.0	14.7	-1.67	14.6	14.8	-0.16
Isaiah Collier	61	59	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	10	-4	13.0	15.3	-2.26	14.6	14.9	-0.27
Johnny Juzang	45	44	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.08	6	10	-4	15.1	12.9	2.19	14.9	14.6	0.33
Micah Potter	30	31	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.02	4	12	-8	14.2	13.8	0.34	15.1	14.6	0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.71,0.6,0.73,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.85,0.85,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 82, POR 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.99,1,1,1	94.4%
UTA 91, PHI 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.1%
CHA 93, BOS 119	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.65,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%