inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 117 Excitement7.9 [302] MVPMark Williams (CHA): +37.7%
Utah Jazz 112 Comeback7.1 [322] LVPNick Smith Jr. (CHA): -15.7%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mark Williams0.380,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.380.240.150.021482%0.3800.001070%0.01
Miles Bridges0.280,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.280.150.12-0.011669%0.301-0.024100%0.03
Cody Martin0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.030.08-0.02675%0.182-0.0500%0.00
LaMelo Ball0.090,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.090.020.05-0.022160%0.216-0.123100%0.02
Josh Green0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.000.00275%0.0300.0000%0.00
Seth Curry0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Taj Gibson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Vasilije Micic-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.001100%0.022-0.0600%0.00
Tidjane Salaun-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0020%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Brandon Miller-0.120,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.06-0.07-0.011850%0.025-0.14425%-0.05
Nick Smith Jr.-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.10-0.06-0.0150%-0.131-0.0200%0.00

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.120.080.005110%0.2000.0000%0.00
Drew Eubanks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.030.07-0.00955%0.1100.00250%-0.02
Kyle Filipowski0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.01-0.01580%0.0800.0000%0.00
Brice Sensabaugh0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.030.021654%0.112-0.073100%0.01
Elijah Harkless0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.02-0.00850%0.071-0.0500%0.00
Walker Kessler0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.020.020.03-0.02-0.01761%0.071-0.05425%-0.04
Cody Williams0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.02-0.03829%0.0200.0010%-0.02
Keyonte George0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.01-0.010.08-0.050.042253%0.001-0.02560%-0.02
Micah Potter0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.01520%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Isaiah Collier0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.05-0.02-0.03861%0.105-0.132100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.52.328.314.824.01.632.3128.8
league avg25.82.328.114.928.52.332.1134.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA +12.5%
CHA +10.4%
CHA +32.9%
UTA -8.6%
CHA +2.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHAUTANBACHAUTANBA
this game13.215.114.4114.7110.9113.1
season15.014.8106.2109.6
opponent13.714.2119.0115.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA11.613.613.614.513.2
UTA14.213.617.016.115.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Miles Bridges82820.90-0.401.310.1725-204513.213.5-0.3815.712.82.83
LaMelo Ball80820.76-0.261.020.2916-112713.313.00.3715.613.12.57
Mark Williams76750.71-0.210.930.2117-122913.113.8-0.7616.112.43.71
Cody Martin50490.51-0.010.520.57-27-914.611.92.7013.416.7-3.28
Brandon Miller71710.490.010.480.1412-71913.013.7-0.7115.514.21.38
Josh Green46460.110.39-0.28-0.2111-61711.814.4-2.5817.013.63.34
Seth Curry01-0.000.50-0.51-0.0005-50.013.2-13.255.015.2-10.24
Nick Smith Jr.3633-0.130.63-0.750.26-1318-3113.513.10.4414.415.5-1.11
Vasilije Micic2322-0.250.75-0.990.02-914-2313.013.3-0.2613.115.7-2.62
Taj Gibson1615-0.290.79-1.080.18-1621-3713.713.20.5212.215.7-3.45
Tidjane Salaun3029-0.320.82-1.150.14-1621-3713.713.10.6413.016.0-2.95

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Elijah Harkless47470.16-0.660.83-0.1611-162714.515.7-1.2513.013.4-0.38
Kyle Filipowski46470.13-0.630.76-0.2212-172913.716.3-2.6514.612.12.43
Drew Eubanks4244-0.07-0.430.35-0.070-5515.215.10.1313.113.3-0.23
Brice Sensabaugh5558-0.25-0.250.01-0.519-142313.716.8-3.0614.112.11.95
Micah Potter4545-0.26-0.24-0.020.12-138-2116.813.83.0412.014.2-2.23
Patty Mills2525-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.09-72-916.714.62.0514.212.91.26
Keyonte George6465-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.28-1-4314.915.5-0.6313.412.90.55
Isaiah Collier5857-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.14-94-1315.015.3-0.3712.913.7-0.79
Walker Kessler5957-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.27-50-515.115.2-0.1313.513.00.52
Cody Williams6465-0.790.29-1.07-0.14-2217-3916.512.93.5912.215.1-2.92


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.74,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.6,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.66,0.41,0.22,0.1,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 94, SAC 860.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.02,092.2%
SAS 96, DEN 890.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.74,0.66,0.48,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.65,0.73,0.61,0.45,0.24,0.1,091.2%
MIL 92, VAN 870.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.89,0.81,0.74,0.66,0.53,0.54,0.37,0.31,0.6,0.47,0.47,0.28,0.32,0.08,091.1%