NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	114		Excitement	6.3 [579]		MVP	Devin Carter (SAC): +20.2%
Boston Celtics	97		Comeback	3.2 [96]		LVP	Jayson Tatum (BOS): -17.6%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Carter	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.06	0.13	-0.02	8	69%	0.22	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.02	15	77%	0.20	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Keegan Murray	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.18	0.02	0.11	12	79%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Malik Monk	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	-0.05	-0.08	24	45%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Keon Ellis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	46%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Huerter	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	0.09	26	42%	-0.13	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.06	0.03	15	59%	0.15	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.10	0.00	0.09	19	57%	0.04	1	-0.03	11	82%	-0.02
Xavier Tillman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Springer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Neemias Queta	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	11	41%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Hauser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	0.05	6	58%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	8	18%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	13	52%	0.05	8	-0.22	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	1.8	26.2	15.4	25.5	2.6	27.6	120.4
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +34.9%

BOS -14.8%

SAC +20.7%

SAC +9.8%

BOS -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	BOS	NBA	SAC	BOS	NBA
this game	14.8	14.0	14.4	114.0	97.0	113.0
season	14.3	15.3		115.1	118.3
opponent	14.6	14.6		109.2	114.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	11.4	15.4	15.1	18.2	14.8
BOS	14.4	14.6	13.7	13.1	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMar DeRozan	83	83	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	2	13	15.1	13.4	1.71	13.7	15.3	-1.60
Devin Carter	36	35	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.26	6	11	-5	14.7	14.9	-0.21	14.5	13.7	0.88
Trey Lyles	58	57	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.09	11	6	5	15.2	14.3	0.86	13.9	14.0	-0.09
Keegan Murray	77	79	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.00	14	3	11	14.7	15.4	-0.73	13.7	14.9	-1.12
Malik Monk	75	76	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.22	18	-1	19	15.4	13.2	2.12	14.0	13.9	0.13
Domantas Sabonis	79	79	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.20	16	1	15	15.7	11.6	4.12	14.0	13.9	0.14
Kevin Huerter	41	40	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	16	-15	13.3	15.9	-2.65	13.9	14.0	-0.03
Keon Ellis	51	51	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	13	-9	13.4	16.3	-2.85	14.4	13.6	0.78

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Xavier Tillman	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-14	11	7.0	14.3	-7.26	22.5	14.5	7.99
Jaden Springer	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-14	11	7.0	14.3	-7.26	22.5	14.5	7.99
Neemias Queta	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-14	11	7.0	14.3	-7.26	22.5	14.5	7.99
Al Horford	46	46	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-16	15	13.9	14.0	-0.15	16.2	13.7	2.49
Luke Kornet	31	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	-13	9	14.1	13.9	0.23	14.7	14.9	-0.21
Sam Hauser	26	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.05	-8	-9	1	13.2	14.2	-1.05	15.0	14.8	0.18
Derrick White	59	57	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	-8	-1	14.4	13.3	1.11	14.6	15.1	-0.46
Jayson Tatum	73	74	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.05	-11	-6	-5	14.0	14.0	-0.04	14.5	15.9	-1.43
Jaylen Brown	74	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	-8	-1	14.2	13.2	1.05	14.8	15.0	-0.18
Kristaps Porzingis	62	61	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-9	1	14.6	12.9	1.69	14.1	15.9	-1.79
Payton Pritchard	57	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.17	-8	-9	1	13.9	14.0	-0.05	14.3	15.5	-1.16
Jrue Holiday	60	60	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.00	-18	1	-19	14.3	13.5	0.74	14.2	15.8	-1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.5,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.12,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 97, CHH 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.54,0.38,0.25,0.33,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0	94.0%
ORL 109, SAC 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.64,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.38,0.29,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	93.1%
IND 112, CHA 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.52,0.51,0.63,0.56,0.34,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.02,0,0	93.1%