NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	106		Excitement	9.3 [138]		MVP	Anthony Edwards (MIN): +62.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	108		Comeback	9.2 [217]		LVP	Rudy Gobert (MIN): -22.4%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Norman Powell	0.24	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.11,0,0,0,0,0,0.25,0.24	0.06	0.20	0.02	17	57%	0.31	3	-0.08	10	90%	0.05
Derrick Jones Jr.	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	0.01	5	71%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Ivica Zubac	0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.04	0.07	-0.05	-0.01	11	68%	0.07	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.04
Nicolas Batum	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Terance Mann	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Coffey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	9	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Porter Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	64%	0.08	2	-0.10	1	0%	-0.03
Kris Dunn	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	11	36%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	22	45%	0.01	4	-0.12	5	60%	-0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Edwards	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.31,0.23,0.52,0.63	0.63	0.16	0.45	-0.01	29	60%	0.66	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.02
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.12	0.20	0.02	5	110%	0.31	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	12	58%	0.11	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	8	65%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.01	14	58%	0.09	1	-0.07	3	33%	-0.01
Joe Ingles	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Minott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.15	-0.05	-0.01	10	23%	-0.07	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	0.01	8	38%	-0.12	2	-0.10	5	40%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	28.0	15.0	27.5	1.8	37.5	136.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +79.1%

LAC -34.0%

MIN +24.4%

LAC -16.0%

LAC -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIN	NBA	LAC	MIN	NBA
this game	15.4	14.7	14.4	111.6	112.5	113.1
season	14.9	14.7		113.6	115.4
opponent	14.6	14.3		110.3	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.8	18.1	15.9	14.4	15.4
MIN	15.7	15.4	13.6	14.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terance Mann	19	18	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.02	6	-8	14	14.6	15.6	-1.00	16.0	14.4	1.56
Amir Coffey	39	38	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.13	9	-11	20	16.0	15.0	0.96	15.6	14.2	1.36
Derrick Jones Jr.	50	52	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.49	13	-15	28	14.4	16.6	-2.14	15.4	13.9	1.51
Kevin Porter Jr.	38	38	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.41	8	-10	18	14.4	16.1	-1.68	14.8	14.7	0.10
Nicolas Batum	23	24	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	2	-6	16.9	15.0	1.90	15.7	14.4	1.31
Kris Dunn	44	43	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	8	-18	15.8	15.1	0.72	13.7	15.6	-1.87
Kawhi Leonard	41	41	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.08	-17	15	-32	16.7	14.5	2.20	13.6	15.5	-1.91
Ivica Zubac	70	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.36	-2	0	-2	15.2	16.2	-1.04	14.7	14.9	-0.25
James Harden	75	76	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.36	-5	3	-8	15.2	16.2	-0.97	14.7	14.7	0.04
Norman Powell	76	78	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.43	-8	6	-14	15.6	14.6	1.00	14.4	16.0	-1.56

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	48	49	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.41	11	-9	20	14.7	14.8	-0.08	16.9	13.9	2.94
Donte DiVincenzo	65	64	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.58	1	1	0	14.5	15.2	-0.64	14.7	17.0	-2.33
Jaden McDaniels	66	65	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.30	9	-7	16	14.3	15.7	-1.36	15.6	15.0	0.68
Rudy Gobert	76	75	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.32	7	-5	12	14.7	14.8	-0.09	15.5	15.1	0.42
Anthony Edwards	76	75	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.28	4	-2	6	14.3	16.5	-2.24	15.2	16.1	-0.91
Julius Randle	50	48	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.21	2	0	2	13.9	15.6	-1.73	15.1	15.7	-0.58
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	30	30	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.17	-7	9	-16	15.7	14.3	1.36	15.4	15.5	-0.09
Josh Minott	10	9	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.07	-8	10	-18	17.8	14.4	3.43	12.8	15.7	-2.93
Naz Reid	59	60	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	-0.10	-10	12	-22	15.8	13.0	2.77	15.6	15.1	0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.48,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.62,0.57,0.74,0.81,0.75,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.71,0.88,0.79,0.6,0.61,0.19,0.54,0.41,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 92, LAC 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.73,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.68,0.58,1	87.0%
TOR 119, WAS 122	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.27,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.69,0.65,0.33,0.2,0.48,0.78,0.92,1	87.0%
ORL 111, WAS 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.62,0.48,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.31,0.42,1	86.9%