NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	104		Excitement	6.5 [554]		MVP	Jaren Jackson Jr. (MEM): +15.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	119		Comeback	3.2 [594]		LVP	P.J. Washington (DAL): -10.9%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dereck Lively II	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	11	64%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gafford	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	3	56%	0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.02	3	100%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.01	0.03	16	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jaden Hardy	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.05	-0.00	10	68%	0.12	4	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Dwight Powell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Naji Marshall	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	15	46%	0.01	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	13	35%	-0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	22	38%	-0.06	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.03	-0.00	23	60%	0.18	2	-0.02	12	67%	-0.02
Scotty Pippen Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.07	0.03	13	60%	0.13	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Jay Huff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	7	79%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	9	72%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Wells	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.01	0.05	11	52%	0.02	0	0.00	11	91%	0.04
Cam Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	6	38%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Yuki Kawamura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Clarke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Jake LaRavia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
Zach Edey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.0	28.2	14.6	28.2	1.6	29.3	132.2
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +28.6%

MEM +12.2%

MEM +0.2%

MEM +7.9%

MEM +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MEM	NBA	DAL	MEM	NBA
this game	13.7	13.5	14.4	97.2	113.3	113.0
season	14.3	13.3		113.3	115.6
opponent	14.3	14.4		112.2	114.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	12.2	14.7	15.0	12.9	13.7
MEM	13.1	13.5	12.7	14.8	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Gafford	16	18	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.05	6	-21	27	14.3	13.6	0.75	13.9	13.4	0.48
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-13	11	2.5	13.9	-11.39	21.5	13.3	8.16
Brandon Williams	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-13	11	2.5	13.9	-11.39	21.5	13.3	8.16
Dwight Powell	13	12	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.04	-2	-13	11	14.1	13.6	0.46	14.0	13.4	0.57
Jaden Hardy	45	46	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-17	19	13.2	14.0	-0.89	14.3	12.9	1.40
Maxi Kleber	49	49	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.19	3	-18	21	14.3	13.2	1.09	13.6	13.4	0.10
Quentin Grimes	56	54	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.16	-10	-5	-5	13.7	13.7	0.01	14.5	12.4	2.11
Spencer Dinwiddie	68	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	-6	-3	13.9	13.2	0.70	13.1	14.1	-1.03
Naji Marshall	73	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.17	-8	-7	-1	14.1	12.8	1.29	13.2	14.3	-1.13
Klay Thompson	62	60	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.01	-18	3	-21	13.6	13.7	-0.10	12.8	14.4	-1.58
P.J. Washington	73	72	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.01	-18	3	-21	13.6	13.8	-0.13	12.9	14.8	-1.93
Dereck Lively II	76	73	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.05	-17	2	-19	13.4	14.3	-0.82	13.4	13.6	-0.19

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jay Huff	62	64	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.01	18	-3	21	12.9	14.3	-1.37	13.6	13.7	-0.08
Jaylen Wells	76	78	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.03	18	-3	21	13.5	13.5	0.02	13.5	14.0	-0.50
Jaren Jackson Jr.	76	76	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.19	9	6	3	13.1	14.5	-1.41	13.7	13.5	0.18
Jake LaRavia	59	63	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.04	13	2	11	13.3	13.8	-0.51	13.1	14.5	-1.37
Scotty Pippen Jr.	62	61	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.06	9	6	3	13.8	13.0	0.76	13.3	14.1	-0.76
Luke Kennard	52	55	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.05	10	5	5	13.4	13.5	-0.10	14.3	13.0	1.27
John Konchar	51	50	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	15	-15	13.7	13.3	0.33	13.9	13.5	0.46
Brandon Clarke	32	34	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	11	-7	13.4	13.5	-0.17	13.0	14.0	-0.94
Yuki Kawamura	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.02	1	14	-13	17.5	13.3	4.16	15.4	13.6	1.81
Cam Spencer	24	22	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	17	-19	13.6	13.5	0.17	13.2	13.8	-0.62
Zach Edey	27	27	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.04	-5	20	-25	14.9	13.0	1.83	15.2	13.1	2.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.46,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.6,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.88,0.74,0.81,0.91,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 90, ORL 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.9,0.83,0.93,0.86,0.88,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1	93.9%
NJN 93, BOS 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.59,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.74,0.84,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.88,0.96,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.9,1,1	93.5%
MIL 92, ATL 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.93,0.87,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.87,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.4%