NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	116		Excitement	10.1 [68]		MVP	James Harden (LAC): +23.2%
New Orleans Pelicans	113		Comeback	6.2 [339]		LVP	Dejounte Murray (NOP): -31.0%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.19,0.23	0.05	0.19	0.01	14	67%	0.49	7	-0.26	12	83%	0.12
Norman Powell	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.43,0.43,0.18,0.18	0.14	0.02	-0.02	27	58%	0.37	2	-0.20	6	83%	0.03
Ivica Zubac	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.07	0.02	13	65%	0.16	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.07
Mo Bamba	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Amir Coffey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Derrick Jones Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	11	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	7	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Porter Jr.	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	9	28%	-0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Herbert Jones	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.03	0.02	10	75%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Trey Murphy III	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	-0.00	-0.00	10	82%	0.16	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.11	0.11	0.11	-0.01	-0.00	25	63%	0.27	4	-0.16	2	50%	-0.02
Javonte Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	3	117%	0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Boston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	3	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	30%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Yves Missi	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0,0,0,-0.06	-0.06	0.03	-0.10	-0.00	7	60%	0.02	1	-0.09	6	67%	-0.15
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.31	-0.31	-0.10	-0.22	-0.01	16	41%	-0.22	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.7	32.3	14.7	28.2	2.5	42.3	146.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP -25.0%

LAC +62.3%

LAC +36.9%

NOP -12.4%

NOP -11.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NOP	NBA	LAC	NOP	NBA
this game	14.9	14.2	14.4	117.2	114.1	113.1
season	14.9	14.4		113.6	109.3
opponent	14.3	14.3		118.3	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.6	13.8	15.0	16.3	14.9
NOP	16.1	13.8	12.7	14.4	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	41	42	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.45	7	-4	11	13.9	15.6	-1.76	13.8	14.5	-0.65
Derrick Jones Jr.	65	65	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.48	4	-1	5	15.4	14.1	1.30	14.3	13.9	0.41
James Harden	73	74	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.42	3	0	3	15.0	14.5	0.50	14.0	14.6	-0.61
Norman Powell	82	83	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.36	3	0	3	15.1	14.1	0.96	14.4	12.9	1.48
Kris Dunn	64	66	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.39	-5	8	-13	15.3	14.1	1.23	14.0	14.5	-0.50
Kevin Porter Jr.	34	33	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.04	6	-3	9	14.0	15.4	-1.38	14.0	14.3	-0.27
Amir Coffey	45	43	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	3	-3	14.6	15.1	-0.49	13.8	14.4	-0.61
Mo Bamba	17	17	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	2	-1	11.7	15.6	-3.87	15.4	13.9	1.48
Ivica Zubac	74	72	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.02	-4	7	-11	15.7	12.5	3.20	14.3	13.9	0.45

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Theis	22	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	0	-3	14.4	14.1	0.29	13.9	15.2	-1.30
Brandon Boston	28	28	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.06	-5	2	-7	14.4	14.1	0.29	13.2	15.6	-2.41
Jordan Hawkins	33	33	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.09	-7	4	-11	14.4	14.1	0.32	13.5	15.6	-2.09
Javonte Green	33	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	3	-9	14.2	14.2	0.09	13.7	15.5	-1.81
Herbert Jones	66	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.49	7	-10	17	14.0	14.5	-0.45	16.0	12.6	3.42
CJ McCollum	77	77	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.50	6	-9	15	14.1	14.6	-0.53	15.9	11.3	4.62
Yves Missi	73	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.41	1	-4	5	14.4	13.5	0.98	14.9	14.8	0.13
Dejounte Murray	85	86	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	-1	-1	14.1	14.5	-0.37	14.6	16.9	-2.32
Trey Murphy III	78	77	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.47	-6	3	-9	14.0	14.9	-0.92	15.3	13.7	1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.67,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.7,0.67,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.53,0.21,0.43,0.53,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 92, NJN 87	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.47,0.53,0.38,0.36,0.55,0.42,0	91.3%
POR 88, MIN 83	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.74,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.42,0	91.0%
TOR 96, NJN 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.91,0.82,0.85,0.61,0.38,0.36,0.47,0.58,0	90.0%