NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	111		Excitement	10.2 [25]		MVP	Damian Lillard (MIL): +33.3%
Chicago Bulls	116		Comeback	4.1 [159]		LVP	Zach LaVine (CHI): -23.5%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0.33	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.17	0.17	0.01	19	60%	0.33	0	0.00	10	100%	0.09
Brook Lopez	0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.26	0.06	0.19	-0.01	22	49%	0.26	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ryan Rollins	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.06	-0.01	6	58%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
AJ Green	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.07	0.00	4	62%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.16,0.28,-0.01	0.10	-0.08	0.03	15	68%	0.18	2	-0.18	1	100%	0.00
Andre Jackson Jr.	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	8	44%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.05	-0.11	0.00	17	39%	-0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Giddey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.3,0.33	0.33	0.10	0.25	0.02	15	68%	0.39	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Coby White	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.33	0.33	0.11	0.23	0.01	16	63%	0.37	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.04
Patrick Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.05	0.01	8	56%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	2	83%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lonzo Ball	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.01	5	90%	0.11	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	24	48%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matas Buzelis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Phillips	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Torrey Craig	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalen Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,-0.24,-0.23	-0.23	-0.03	-0.20	0.00	12	50%	-0.01	3	-0.23	6	67%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.8	26.0	14.6	27.3	1.8	34.4	129.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +38.4%

MIL -14.8%

CHI +43.7%

MIL -14.3%

MIL -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHI	NBA	MIL	CHI	NBA
this game	15.2	12.7	14.3	106.7	112.6	112.0
season	14.6	13.1		111.3	111.5
opponent	14.3	14.1		115.6	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.9	15.5	13.8	14.9	15.2
CHI	13.7	13.4	11.5	12.3	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taurean Prince	43	43	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.11	-1	-4	3	15.4	15.0	0.36	12.7	12.6	0.08
Andre Jackson Jr.	49	49	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-3	1	15.3	15.0	0.31	12.9	12.4	0.55
AJ Green	54	53	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-3	1	15.1	15.2	-0.03	12.3	13.1	-0.80
Ryan Rollins	45	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.30	3	-8	11	15.2	15.1	0.14	13.0	12.4	0.54
Gary Trent Jr.	35	35	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	2	-9	15.4	15.0	0.40	12.0	13.0	-0.94
Damian Lillard	77	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	-1	-3	15.1	15.5	-0.43	12.9	12.0	0.83
Brook Lopez	82	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	-1	-3	15.1	15.5	-0.43	13.0	11.5	1.46
Bobby Portis	74	73	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.41	-4	-1	-3	15.1	15.3	-0.19	12.3	13.6	-1.29
Khris Middleton	61	60	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.47	-4	-1	-3	15.0	15.4	-0.36	12.6	12.7	-0.08

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Giddey	64	67	1.02	-0.52	1.53	0.49	18	-13	31	12.2	13.5	-1.31	15.2	15.2	0.00
Coby White	76	76	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.59	12	-7	19	11.4	16.2	-4.79	15.4	14.4	1.05
Patrick Williams	61	64	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.31	13	-8	21	12.6	12.7	-0.15	15.0	15.4	-0.38
Nikola Vucevic	84	84	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.41	3	2	1	12.9	11.7	1.18	15.1	15.5	-0.42
Zach LaVine	74	75	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.29	7	-2	9	12.8	12.3	0.47	15.2	15.0	0.27
Talen Horton-Tucker	6	6	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	0	5	13.5	12.6	0.90	18.8	14.9	3.89
Julian Phillips	10	10	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	5	-5	12.4	12.7	-0.28	15.9	15.1	0.81
Matas Buzelis	28	26	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.08	-5	10	-15	12.6	12.7	-0.01	15.4	15.1	0.35
Jevon Carter	12	12	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	9	-13	13.7	12.5	1.15	16.5	15.0	1.51
Torrey Craig	23	24	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.12	-1	6	-7	12.1	12.8	-0.67	15.2	15.1	0.11
Dalen Terry	36	37	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	-0.12	-6	11	-17	13.1	12.4	0.62	14.5	15.5	-1.01
Lonzo Ball	41	39	-0.69	1.19	-1.87	-0.19	-17	22	-39	14.7	11.3	3.46	14.1	15.8	-1.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.54,0.51,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.57,0.78,0.8,0.54,0.26,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.29,0.43,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 104, TOR 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.59,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.55,0.58,1	90.2%
PHI 98, GSW 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.64,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.22,0.39,0.45,0.57,0.73,1	89.9%
LAL 84, POR 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.66,0.57,0.42,0.32,0.3,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.36,0.45,0.58,1	89.6%