NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	113		Excitement	7.9 [128]		MVP	Anthony Edwards (MIN): +44.0%
Houston Rockets	112		Comeback	624.0 [1]		LVP	Fred VanVleet (HOU): -34.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Edwards	0.44	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.44	0.09	0.35	0.00	17	65%	0.53	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.16	0.03	-0.02	12	85%	0.27	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Julius Randle	0.21	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21	0.12	0.09	0.01	16	79%	0.32	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.00
Josh Minott	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.02	0.05	9	61%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	17%	-0.10
Naz Reid	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12	0.00	-0.04	0.08	12	52%	-0.05	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.02
Jaden McDaniels	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	6	17%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alperen Sengun	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24	0.24	0.19	0.10	0.05	25	63%	0.31	2	-0.07	10	60%	-0.08
Amen Thompson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.02	0.02	12	77%	0.19	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Jae'Sean Tate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	12	50%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reed Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cam Whitmore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	15	44%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.35	-0.35	0.00	-0.34	0.01	16	51%	-0.25	3	-0.09	3	33%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	1.7	27.5	14.7	30.3	2.2	29.7	132.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +88.8%

HOU -15.4%

HOU -22.2%

HOU -2.5%

MIN +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	HOU	NBA	MIN	HOU	NBA
this game	13.9	15.9	14.3	116.5	116.7	112.0
season	14.7	14.7		110.8	111.3
opponent	14.2	14.6		105.8	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.7	15.4	13.2	12.5	13.9
HOU	16.7	14.6	15.6	17.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	60	58	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.47	13	-12	25	12.0	17.0	-5.00	17.2	14.1	3.09
Donte DiVincenzo	74	73	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.45	11	-10	21	13.3	15.7	-2.40	16.3	14.8	1.53
Julius Randle	71	72	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.54	2	-1	3	14.1	13.3	0.77	15.9	16.2	-0.29
Anthony Edwards	69	69	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.55	-1	2	-3	14.6	12.1	2.53	16.0	15.8	0.24
Jaden McDaniels	42	42	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.65	-5	6	-11	15.5	12.7	2.77	14.7	16.9	-2.24
Josh Minott	12	12	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	-5	11	11.5	14.2	-2.75	17.6	15.7	1.87
Naz Reid	49	49	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.27	14	-13	27	11.6	16.2	-4.64	17.5	14.4	3.11
Rudy Gobert	59	57	-0.50	1.00	-1.50	0.03	-18	19	-37	15.3	11.8	3.48	15.2	17.1	-1.90
Mike Conley	49	48	-0.55	1.05	-1.59	-0.05	-17	18	-35	15.7	12.1	3.57	14.0	17.9	-3.94

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Green	78	78	0.30	-0.81	1.11	0.13	6	-7	13	15.3	18.6	-3.28	14.7	10.7	4.01
Aaron Holiday	12	13	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.01	5	-6	11	12.8	16.4	-3.56	13.8	13.9	-0.07
Steven Adams	6	7	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-1	1	15.8	16.0	-0.12	12.3	14.0	-1.75
Cam Whitmore	26	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.14	-8	7	-15	17.1	15.5	1.60	10.9	14.9	-4.02
Reed Sheppard	10	10	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	5	-11	17.2	15.8	1.40	10.5	14.3	-3.80
Jabari Smith Jr.	83	85	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.51	4	-5	9	16.0	15.4	0.65	14.3	11.1	3.22
Fred VanVleet	74	74	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.53	0	-1	1	16.3	14.8	1.47	14.4	12.4	1.99
Amen Thompson	79	79	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.47	-4	3	-7	15.7	17.2	-1.49	14.2	12.4	1.80
Alperen Sengun	81	80	-0.59	0.10	-0.69	-0.42	-6	5	-11	16.1	14.9	1.20	14.1	12.9	1.17
Jae'Sean Tate	31	34	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.74	4	-5	9	16.5	15.7	0.79	12.4	14.7	-2.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.81,0.84,0.75,0.83,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,1,0.99,0.98,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 95, MIA 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.82,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.8,0.88,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.95,0.84,0.75,0.74,0	91.8%
LAC 100, DET 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.3,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.61,0.6,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.88,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0	91.1%
HOU 159, WAS 158	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.41,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.7,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.86,0.79,0.86,0.93,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.96,0.89,0.95,0.72,0	90.5%