NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	117		Excitement	6.8 [183]		MVP	Malik Beasley (DET): +28.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	114		Comeback	2.1 [99]		LVP	Cade Cunningham (DET): -14.8%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Beasley	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.29	0.15	0.12	-0.01	15	70%	0.29	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Ivey	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15	0.05	0.09	-0.01	15	60%	0.19	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Simone Fontecchio	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.00	0.00	4	118%	0.16	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.13	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.04	0.00	8	79%	0.19	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.03
Ronald Holland II	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.05	-0.00	7	71%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ausar Thompson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.00	5	80%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Duren	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	2	75%	0.04	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Paul Reed	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	10	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cade Cunningham	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.16	-0.04	-0.05	25	38%	-0.05	5	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.21	0.21	0.16	0.07	0.03	16	72%	0.26	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.02
Max Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.03	0.04	10	77%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Cam Reddish	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	3	117%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Vincent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	5	90%	0.13	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dalton Knecht	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	70%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Davis	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	-0.05	14	53%	0.08	3	-0.09	8	50%	-0.07
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	5	42%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Austin Reaves	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	9	67%	0.05	6	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	1.8	27.0	14.6	27.6	1.6	33.4	130.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +18.3%

LAL -1.6%

LAL -0.4%

DET +32.8%

DET +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	LAL	NBA	DET	LAL	NBA
this game	14.8	14.3	14.3	120.6	112.9	111.8
season	14.3	14.8		110.7	111.2
opponent	14.1	14.6		114.1	113.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.0	16.8	13.3	15.5	14.8
LAL	12.7	15.3	14.9	14.5	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Simone Fontecchio	39	40	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.14	19	-16	35	13.4	15.8	-2.38	15.4	13.5	1.88
Paul Reed	40	42	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.08	20	-17	37	13.2	16.0	-2.78	15.6	13.3	2.35
Malik Beasley	53	55	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.17	11	-8	19	14.4	15.3	-0.93	13.5	15.1	-1.58
Ronald Holland II	25	26	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.07	14	-11	25	14.3	15.0	-0.69	15.2	13.9	1.30
Jaden Ivey	58	61	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.24	5	-2	7	14.9	14.7	0.24	14.8	13.4	1.35
Ausar Thompson	33	34	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.15	-4	7	-11	15.7	14.4	1.26	13.4	14.7	-1.38
Cade Cunningham	72	75	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.34	-11	14	-25	15.0	14.3	0.69	13.9	15.2	-1.30
Tobias Harris	59	62	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	13	-23	15.3	14.1	1.24	14.0	14.7	-0.65
Tim Hardaway Jr.	49	53	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.25	-10	13	-23	15.2	14.5	0.66	13.9	14.6	-0.68
Jalen Duren	57	57	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.34	-19	22	-41	16.0	13.2	2.78	13.7	15.0	-1.30

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Davis	81	79	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.37	15	-18	33	13.5	17.2	-3.66	15.3	12.9	2.39
Austin Reaves	76	72	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.40	16	-19	35	14.2	14.6	-0.44	15.4	13.3	2.10
Max Christie	68	64	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.37	10	-13	23	14.3	14.2	0.13	16.1	12.4	3.75
Cam Reddish	38	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.05	-5	2	-7	12.8	15.1	-2.33	13.8	15.4	-1.59
D'Angelo Russell	35	34	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	10	-23	14.1	14.3	-0.23	12.8	16.0	-3.19
Rui Hachimura	60	57	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	2	-7	15.0	13.2	1.76	15.2	14.3	0.87
Dalton Knecht	31	30	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.19	-10	7	-17	16.5	13.3	3.29	15.0	14.8	0.19
LeBron James	74	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.46	-1	-2	1	14.5	13.7	0.77	14.9	14.7	0.16
Gabe Vincent	42	41	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.03	-22	19	-41	14.2	14.3	-0.17	13.0	16.2	-3.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.33,0.17,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 96, ATL 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.53,0.52,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.33,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.1,0,0	93.2%
MIA 101, BKN 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.02,0,0	93.1%
ORL 87, GSW 74	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.26,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0	92.9%