inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 105 Excitement6.2 [228] MVPShai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +30.0%
Oklahoma City Thunder 123 Comeback2.0 [477] LVPIsaiah Joe (OKC): -11.8%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jordan Poole0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.080.030.002062%0.204-0.091080%0.01
Marvin Bagley III0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.00370%0.071-0.04475%0.00
Kyshawn George0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.00679%0.113-0.092100%0.01
Richaun Holmes0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Johnny Davis0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Patrick Baldwin Jr.0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tristan Vukcevic-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Carlton Carrington-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.03-0.011158%0.084-0.132100%0.01
Corey Kispert-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.020.01944%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Justin Champagnie-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.02721%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Jonas Valanciunas-0.060,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.020.021250%0.002-0.0600%0.00
Jared Butler-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.000.00638%-0.033-0.041100%0.00
Malcolm Brogdon-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.070.01-0.040.041248%-0.041-0.031100%0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.30.300.210.08-0.022568%0.353-0.0510100%0.04
Isaiah Hartenstein0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.080.02-0.011262%0.1000.002100%0.01
Cason Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.02-0.00675%0.0900.0000%0.00
Kenrich Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.08-0.000.07-0.02750%0.101-0.0200%0.00
Ajay Mitchell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.120.000.05794%0.102-0.02367%-0.01
Jaylin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00-0.02350%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jalen Williams0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.03-0.01-0.041842%0.052-0.05475%0.01
Dillon Jones00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ousmane Dieng0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Alex Caruso0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00520%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Aaron Wiggins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.020.00844%-0.003-0.0900%0.00
Luguentz Dort0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.01-0.0160%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Isaiah Joe0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.08-0.030.01826%-0.091-0.03367%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.72.429.314.432.52.327.7136.4
league avg25.82.328.114.928.42.332.3134.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +19.8%
OKC +4.9%
WAS -0.4%
OKC +23.9%
OKC +1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASOKCNBAWASOKCNBA
this game14.013.014.398.1116.0112.0
season13.813.9105.0113.8
opponent14.713.9102.3117.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS14.514.213.514.014.0
OKC12.712.013.214.313.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Patrick Baldwin Jr.340.00-0.500.50-0.031-192013.314.0-0.7111.013.1-2.10
Tristan Vukcevic78-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-161412.014.2-2.1613.113.00.11
Richaun Holmes78-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-161412.014.2-2.1613.113.00.11
Johnny Davis78-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-161412.014.2-2.1613.113.00.11
Jared Butler1819-0.03-0.470.44-0.00-1-171612.614.3-1.6913.712.90.87
Carlton Carrington6562-0.17-0.330.150.00-6-12614.313.60.7012.913.2-0.28
Jonas Valanciunas6563-0.19-0.310.13-0.16-1-171614.213.70.5813.113.00.11
Corey Kispert5958-0.19-0.310.110.01-7-11413.714.5-0.8012.513.6-1.11
Marvin Bagley III3535-0.31-0.19-0.130.13-15-3-1214.014.0-0.0312.913.1-0.16
Malcolm Brogdon5555-0.32-0.18-0.140.03-12-6-615.712.33.4013.612.41.25
Jordan Poole8585-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.10-9-9013.914.4-0.4912.913.4-0.45
Justin Champagnie6563-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.04-13-5-814.014.1-0.1713.911.82.11
Kyshawn George6462-0.50-0.00-0.500.12-213-2413.714.5-0.7512.214.2-1.95

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander77790.67-0.170.83-0.0725-73213.112.70.4114.911.63.31
Alex Caruso33340.63-0.130.76-0.0122-42612.213.4-1.2214.313.90.40
Ajay Mitchell44450.490.010.48-0.0719-12013.612.60.9414.813.51.31
Kenrich Williams28290.460.040.43-0.0919-12012.213.3-1.1414.213.90.31
Cason Wallace63640.440.060.37-0.2423-52812.314.1-1.7713.714.5-0.82
Jaylin Williams18180.080.42-0.34-0.04414-1012.213.2-0.9613.214.2-1.02
Aaron Wiggins32300.030.47-0.450.06-119-2012.013.5-1.5012.614.6-1.97
Luguentz Dort53520.030.47-0.45-0.00117-1614.112.02.1114.413.60.82
Dillon Jones770.000.50-0.500.03-119-2013.613.00.5912.014.2-2.16
Ousmane Dieng770.000.50-0.500.03-119-2013.613.00.5912.014.2-2.16
Isaiah Hartenstein6060-0.040.54-0.580.11-523-2813.612.21.4514.213.80.34
Isaiah Joe4243-0.120.62-0.730.09-725-3213.212.90.3213.914.1-0.23
Jalen Williams6667-0.160.66-0.810.08-826-3413.013.00.0713.514.9-1.45


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.34,0.49,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.85,0.88,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 83, UTA 950.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.56,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,195.1%
LAC 74, IND 890.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,193.7%
UTA 94, PHX 1020.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.73,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.64,0.78,0.9,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,193.5%