NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	114		Excitement	7.0 [186]		MVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +25.1%
Milwaukee Bucks	124		Comeback	1.5 [474]		LVP	Andre Jackson Jr. (MIL): -20.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malcolm Brogdon	0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.22	0.05	0.02	15	78%	0.28	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.05
Corey Kispert	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.00	0.03	12	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexandre Sarr	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	8	39%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Bagley III	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	9	73%	0.14	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
Anthony Gill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlton Carrington	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bilal Coulibaly	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	8	25%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyshawn George	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Poole	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.1,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13	0.08	-0.14	0.07	23	56%	-0.00	3	-0.13	9	89%	-0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.15	0.13	0.03	24	65%	0.36	4	-0.11	17	71%	-0.03
AJ Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.04	0.00	8	72%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	6	75%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.01	0.03	4	110%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	18	62%	0.15	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.04	0.05	14	64%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.14	-0.08	-0.01	7	14%	-0.10	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.5	29.5	13.7	27.8	1.8	39.2	139.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +55.0%

WAS -14.1%

WAS -0.2%

MIL +7.3%

MIL +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MIL	NBA	WAS	MIL	NBA
this game	12.8	15.3	14.3	110.7	121.6	112.0
season	13.8	14.6		105.0	111.3
opponent	14.1	13.9		109.8	117.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.9	15.0	12.0	11.4	12.8
MIL	15.4	15.0	15.1	15.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Bagley III	8	9	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-10	10	13.0	12.7	0.25	17.3	15.2	2.18
Anthony Gill	5	4	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-6	2	17.8	12.5	5.29	14.0	15.4	-1.40
Carlton Carrington	32	31	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-7	4	13.5	12.4	1.11	16.1	15.0	1.13
Kyshawn George	41	41	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.09	-2	-8	6	12.3	13.0	-0.71	16.4	14.6	1.83
Malcolm Brogdon	65	65	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-9	8	12.5	13.2	-0.74	15.0	15.9	-0.86
Bilal Coulibaly	77	77	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-5	0	12.3	14.1	-1.75	15.3	15.6	-0.29
Jonas Valanciunas	66	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-6	2	13.3	11.8	1.45	15.4	15.3	0.11
Jordan Poole	77	76	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.20	-7	-3	-4	12.4	13.8	-1.39	14.9	16.6	-1.71
Alexandre Sarr	76	75	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.14	-9	-1	-8	13.0	12.0	1.04	15.1	15.9	-0.79
Corey Kispert	68	67	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.09	-15	5	-20	12.6	13.1	-0.44	15.2	15.6	-0.43

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damian Lillard	85	87	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.20	12	-2	14	15.0	17.3	-2.34	12.9	11.9	1.06
Giannis Antetokounmpo	81	81	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.17	9	1	8	15.1	16.2	-1.07	12.6	13.4	-0.82
Andre Jackson Jr.	58	59	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.30	3	7	-4	14.7	16.1	-1.39	12.5	13.2	-0.68
Taurean Prince	54	54	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.20	6	4	2	14.8	15.9	-1.12	12.3	13.3	-0.99
Brook Lopez	75	76	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.19	6	4	2	15.1	16.1	-1.04	13.0	12.0	0.99
Bobby Portis	48	49	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	5	0	16.1	14.6	1.52	12.7	12.9	-0.22
AJ Green	54	55	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.01	6	4	2	15.8	14.8	0.96	12.7	12.8	-0.05
Gary Trent Jr.	38	38	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.08	5	5	0	16.4	14.7	1.63	13.9	12.1	1.83
Delon Wright	17	16	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	12	-14	17.3	15.0	2.34	11.9	12.9	-1.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.69,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.79,0.73,0.63,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.72,0.75,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 102, DAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.52,0.5,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.92,0.88,0.78,0.8,0.97,1,1,1	93.8%
NJN 77, TOR 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.77,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.62,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.9,0.93,1,1,1	93.2%
MEM 86, DET 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.72,0.78,0.71,0.54,0.75,0.9,0.97,1,1	93.0%