NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	111		Excitement	3.4 [432]		MVP	Marcus Smart (MEM): +18.8%
Memphis Grizzlies	131		Comeback	2.6 [325]		LVP	Desmond Bane (MEM): -10.3%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Beasley	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.01	6	83%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Simone Fontecchio	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.15	-0.00	0.10	9	95%	0.05	2	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Marcus Sasser	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.13	0.00	0.09	13	79%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Cole Swider	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Reed	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Wendell Moore Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	4	40%	-0.02	2	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	10	45%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jaden Ivey	-0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	10	71%	0.12	7	-0.14	4	50%	-0.02
Jalen Duren	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ronald Holland II	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.11	8	70%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Stewart	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	-0.06	6	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ausar Thompson	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	5	21%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.22	0.04	0.07	12	96%	0.21	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Clarke	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.02	0.02	7	81%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jake LaRavia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.18	0.00	0.07	9	106%	0.12	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scotty Pippen Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.00	0.01	12	76%	0.12	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Santi Aldama	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	7	64%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jay Huff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.05	7	65%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
John Konchar	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yuki Kawamura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Wells	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.03	11	54%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	16	34%	-0.08	2	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Desmond Bane	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.16	-0.00	-0.06	6	17%	-0.03	5	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.6	24.5	17.4	25.8	1.8	31.6	129.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +28.8%

MEM +7.3%

MEM +1.9%

MEM +11.2%

MEM +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	MEM	NBA	DET	MEM	NBA
this game	14.7	12.5	14.3	104.7	123.6	112.0
season	14.3	13.1		110.6	116.2
opponent	14.0	14.6		108.1	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	12.5	17.7	15.0	14.0	14.7
MEM	12.3	11.1	12.1	14.2	12.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cole Swider	20	20	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-24	28	13.5	15.0	-1.50	13.5	12.2	1.35
Paul Reed	30	30	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.07	2	-22	24	15.1	14.6	0.53	13.5	12.0	1.46
Jaden Ivey	43	43	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	-17	14	13.0	15.9	-2.81	12.3	12.6	-0.29
Isaiah Stewart	41	40	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.19	-9	-11	2	14.7	14.7	0.02	12.3	12.5	-0.25
Malik Beasley	48	49	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	-13	6	13.4	15.8	-2.45	11.6	13.2	-1.56
Ausar Thompson	46	47	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.00	-6	-14	8	15.6	14.0	1.58	12.5	12.4	0.14
Ronald Holland II	55	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-16	12	14.8	14.6	0.21	12.7	12.1	0.61
Tim Hardaway Jr.	50	51	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.13	-15	-5	-10	14.5	14.9	-0.41	11.4	13.5	-2.08
Wendell Moore Jr.	45	45	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	-11	2	15.1	14.4	0.72	13.9	11.4	2.46
Jalen Duren	47	46	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.18	-17	-3	-14	14.6	14.8	-0.14	11.9	12.9	-0.99
Simone Fontecchio	48	47	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.05	-15	-5	-10	15.2	14.3	0.94	12.8	12.2	0.60
Marcus Sasser	57	57	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.17	-21	1	-22	16.0	13.2	2.78	12.2	12.8	-0.64

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Smart	42	41	0.61	-0.11	0.71	-0.13	25	-5	30	12.2	12.6	-0.40	16.5	13.6	2.89
Jake LaRavia	54	55	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.02	17	3	14	11.9	13.0	-1.07	15.2	14.2	1.00
Brandon Clarke	42	44	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.20	19	1	18	12.2	12.6	-0.36	15.4	14.2	1.14
Scotty Pippen Jr.	71	69	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.04	13	7	6	12.3	12.7	-0.43	14.8	14.6	0.19
Jay Huff	48	49	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.00	9	11	-2	13.0	12.0	0.96	14.0	15.3	-1.30
Jaren Jackson Jr.	50	49	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.09	10	10	0	12.0	12.8	-0.82	14.8	14.7	0.11
Desmond Bane	50	52	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.05	6	14	-8	11.1	13.6	-2.48	14.6	14.9	-0.27
Luke Kennard	52	52	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	17	-14	13.1	11.9	1.19	14.5	14.9	-0.39
Santi Aldama	51	50	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.11	-3	23	-26	13.3	11.7	1.62	14.1	15.3	-1.24
Jaylen Wells	56	55	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	18	-16	12.9	12.0	0.90	13.9	15.6	-1.68
John Konchar	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	21	-22	14.2	12.3	1.94	13.9	14.8	-0.91
Yuki Kawamura	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	20	-20	13.7	12.4	1.29	14.7	14.7	-0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.31,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 87, CLE 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.69,0.7,0.76,0.83,0.88,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
SAC 99, LAC 126	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
GSW 107, DEN 135	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.73,0.78,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%