NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	110		Excitement	8.6 [92]		MVP	Tyrese Haliburton (IND): +38.3%
Indiana Pacers	114		Comeback	1.6 [304]		LVP	Javonte Green (NOP): -10.4%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.18	0.04	0.13	0.00	20	55%	0.24	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.04
Yves Missi	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.05	0.12	0.01	11	57%	0.16	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.08
Daniel Theis	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	57%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	3	117%	0.15	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Boston Jr.	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	6	64%	0.05	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Trey Murphy III	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.05	0.08	-0.10	0.03	19	53%	-0.05	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.03
Jordan Hawkins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	11	64%	0.12	5	-0.21	0	0%	0.00
Javonte Green	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.07	0.03	6	58%	0.00	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.05,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.28,0.4,0.5,0.4,0.38	0.38	0.23	0.18	0.03	23	72%	0.46	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Quenton Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.10	-0.00	8	67%	0.18	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Myles Turner	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.10	0.00	11	68%	0.24	3	-0.09	3	33%	-0.02
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	-0.05	8	44%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enrique Freeman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	60%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.03	-0.00	12	43%	0.05	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Moses Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	4	75%	0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	0.02	5	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jarace Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.08	0.01	13	52%	-0.01	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.3	27.4	14.4	24.3	2.5	34.6	130.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +30.6%

IND +1.3%

NOP -0.8%

IND +17.1%

IND +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	IND	NBA	NOP	IND	NBA
this game	13.5	14.2	14.3	105.8	109.6	112.0
season	14.7	13.8		107.0	112.8
opponent	14.6	14.1		115.0	117.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.8	13.2	13.2	13.7	13.5
IND	13.3	14.5	13.5	15.7	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yves Missi	65	68	0.24	-0.74	0.98	-0.52	26	-30	56	12.9	14.4	-1.44	14.9	12.9	2.05
Elfrid Payton	65	70	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.25	10	-14	24	12.8	14.6	-1.76	14.6	13.5	1.09
Trey Murphy III	85	88	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.43	14	-18	32	13.4	13.9	-0.59	14.7	11.4	3.30
Jordan Hawkins	39	37	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.08	-1	-3	2	14.2	13.0	1.19	13.2	14.8	-1.53
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	45	42	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.14	-8	4	-12	14.3	12.8	1.50	14.5	14.0	0.45
Brandon Boston Jr.	58	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	8	-20	14.2	12.5	1.69	13.9	14.6	-0.63
Javonte Green	57	58	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.27	-6	2	-8	12.8	14.3	-1.56	14.0	14.5	-0.52
CJ McCollum	67	67	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.29	-13	9	-22	13.2	13.9	-0.75	14.0	14.6	-0.61
Daniel Theis	39	36	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	0.14	-30	26	-56	14.4	12.9	1.44	12.9	14.9	-2.05

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Myles Turner	58	62	0.92	-0.42	1.35	0.31	21	-17	38	14.0	14.5	-0.52	14.1	12.5	1.69
Tyrese Haliburton	80	80	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.37	16	-12	28	13.9	15.4	-1.49	13.2	14.5	-1.30
Quenton Jackson	69	68	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.23	19	-15	34	14.3	14.0	0.30	13.8	12.8	0.96
Pascal Siakam	80	79	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.28	4	0	4	14.4	13.7	0.68	13.5	13.4	0.13
Bennedict Mathurin	84	82	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.35	-8	12	-20	14.2	14.2	-0.02	12.8	15.9	-3.05
Obi Toppin	33	35	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.10	-2	6	-8	13.5	14.6	-1.05	14.1	13.2	0.90
Moses Brown	24	21	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	5	-6	15.8	13.8	2.03	13.0	13.6	-0.64
T.J. McConnell	41	44	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.09	-7	11	-18	14.5	14.0	0.46	13.8	13.2	0.62
Jarace Walker	38	38	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.11	-8	12	-20	14.5	14.1	0.38	14.5	12.9	1.59
Enrique Freeman	13	11	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	0.09	-14	18	-32	13.2	14.4	-1.14	8.5	14.1	-5.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.79,0.77,0.7,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.52,0.63,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.83,0.69,0.71,0.84,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 91, NJN 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.66,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.9,0.96,1	91.8%
MEM 109, POR 112	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.84,0.88,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.69,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.55,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.54,0.43,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.41,0.53,0.72,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.83,1	91.8%
GSW 91, MEM 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.75,0.78,0.9,1,1	91.4%