NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	119		Excitement	5.7 [677]		MVP	Damian Lillard (MIL): +25.5%
Milwaukee Bucks	125		Comeback	1.1 [1058]		LVP	Moussa Diabate (CHA): -7.5%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMelo Ball	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09	0.13	0.02	0.06	38	56%	0.20	4	-0.11	13	77%	-0.02
Tidjane Salaun	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Green	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	10	55%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Miller	0.05	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05	0.11	0.03	0.08	23	64%	0.14	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Taj Gibson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	57%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Seth Curry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Martin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vasilije Micic	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moussa Diabate	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.14	0.06	-0.05	21	58%	0.28	1	-0.02	11	91%	0.06
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.05	0.00	8	100%	0.20	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.05	-0.03	9	65%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
AJ Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	112%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andre Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	23	57%	0.13	4	-0.09	10	70%	-0.02
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	13	41%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.7	30.0	14.7	29.3	2.3	37.4	140.7
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +48.2%

MIL +8.2%

MIL +6.5%

CHA -10.8%

CHA -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	MIL	NBA	CHA	MIL	NBA
this game	13.5	14.0	14.4	114.4	119.0	113.1
season	15.0	14.4		106.2	114.2
opponent	14.3	14.2		112.2	115.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.6	14.4	13.0	11.2	13.5
MIL	11.0	15.6	13.6	16.1	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Seth Curry	8	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-2	-2	20.4	13.0	7.41	11.6	14.2	-2.69
Taj Gibson	8	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-2	-2	20.4	13.0	7.41	11.6	14.2	-2.69
Moussa Diabate	68	67	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-4	2	13.5	13.6	-0.15	14.2	13.8	0.40
Vasilije Micic	16	15	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.14	-13	7	-20	19.4	12.5	6.97	14.9	13.9	1.07
Grant Williams	71	72	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.31	2	-8	10	12.6	15.6	-3.03	14.1	13.8	0.38
LaMelo Ball	88	90	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.47	7	-13	20	12.5	19.4	-6.97	13.9	14.9	-1.07
Josh Green	67	68	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.25	-1	-5	4	12.4	15.6	-3.28	15.1	12.0	3.16
Cody Martin	63	65	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.47	5	-11	16	13.0	14.4	-1.41	13.9	14.2	-0.37
Tidjane Salaun	37	38	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.10	-15	9	-24	15.4	12.5	2.90	12.0	15.2	-3.21
Brandon Miller	94	92	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.31	-5	-1	-4	13.6	12.9	0.71	14.4	11.2	3.27

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Trent Jr.	64	61	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.26	13	-7	20	14.0	14.0	0.07	13.7	13.3	0.32
AJ Green	52	49	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.01	20	-14	34	14.0	14.0	-0.04	14.6	12.6	1.91
Bobby Portis	57	55	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	-6	18	13.7	14.4	-0.66	14.8	12.1	2.68
Damian Lillard	73	73	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.20	4	2	2	15.0	11.8	3.22	13.6	13.4	0.17
Brook Lopez	81	81	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.21	2	4	-2	14.8	11.2	3.59	13.3	14.4	-1.10
Giannis Antetokounmpo	72	72	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.31	-2	8	-10	13.3	15.5	-2.18	12.8	15.1	-2.25
Delon Wright	32	31	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	4	-2	11.8	15.0	-3.22	13.4	13.6	-0.17
Andre Jackson Jr.	45	47	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	11	-16	14.1	13.9	0.16	13.6	13.5	0.07
Taurean Prince	49	51	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.33	-16	22	-38	13.9	14.1	-0.19	12.4	14.7	-2.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 111, OKC 140	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.76,0.69,0.66,0.76,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
CHA 88, CHI 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.65,0.74,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.88,0.91,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
DAL 86, PHX 106	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.71,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%