NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	100		Excitement	8.1 [59]		MVP	Brook Lopez (MIL): +30.7%
Milwaukee Bucks	101		Comeback	18.0 [16]		LVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): -16.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Holiday	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.06	0.00	3	83%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.01	23	51%	0.07	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Amen Thompson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	5	77%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Jalen Green	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.06	0.08	-0.02	24	44%	0.12	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tari Eason	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	64%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith Jr.	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steven Adams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Reed Sheppard	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alperen Sengun	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.03	21	40%	-0.03	4	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01
Dillon Brooks	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.15	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	8	31%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.26	0.07	0.02	15	87%	0.31	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
AJ Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.15,0.15	0.15	-0.00	0.14	-0.02	6	42%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.13,-0.11,0.15	0.15	-0.05	0.19	-0.01	18	42%	0.22	2	-0.07	7	86%	0.02
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.02	0.00	8	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.05	-0.02	9	55%	0.04	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Andre Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	-0.04	5	17%	-0.04	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.05	-0.02	17	49%	0.06	8	-0.23	7	29%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.3	1.8	25.1	14.6	28.3	2.3	31.3	132.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +62.1%

HOU -1.4%

HOU -24.2%

HOU -10.5%

MIL +24.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MIL	NBA	HOU	MIL	NBA
this game	14.6	14.5	14.4	101.0	102.0	112.0
season	14.4	14.5		112.5	111.0
opponent	14.4	14.0		111.8	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.3	15.8	13.1	15.3	14.6
MIL	11.9	14.8	14.6	17.4	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Holiday	17	18	0.52	-1.02	1.53	0.19	11	-12	23	14.8	14.5	0.23	16.8	14.0	2.83
Tari Eason	64	64	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.30	-6	5	-11	14.3	15.1	-0.74	14.8	14.1	0.71
Jeff Green	6	7	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	2	-5	9.3	14.9	-5.58	11.7	14.7	-3.01
Reed Sheppard	10	9	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	6	-13	17.9	14.2	3.70	13.3	14.6	-1.30
Amen Thompson	59	58	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	4	-9	15.1	13.7	1.39	14.9	13.9	1.00
Alperen Sengun	78	79	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.55	11	-12	23	14.7	14.0	0.67	14.6	14.2	0.33
Steven Adams	13	13	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.09	-12	11	-23	14.8	14.5	0.31	12.1	14.9	-2.81
Jabari Smith Jr.	53	52	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.35	-2	1	-3	14.4	14.7	-0.31	13.6	15.6	-1.98
Jalen Green	83	83	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.66	8	-9	17	13.7	19.1	-5.43	14.7	13.6	1.14
Fred VanVleet	71	71	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.70	3	-4	7	14.6	14.5	0.11	14.4	14.7	-0.33
Dillon Brooks	41	41	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.69	-3	2	-5	15.6	13.8	1.76	14.9	14.3	0.62

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Trent Jr.	48	49	1.00	-0.50	1.50	0.56	15	-14	29	13.5	15.4	-1.89	15.7	13.5	2.13
AJ Green	58	60	0.88	-0.38	1.25	0.44	15	-14	29	14.0	15.2	-1.16	15.2	13.6	1.54
Giannis Antetokounmpo	72	74	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.76	-2	3	-5	14.5	14.6	-0.11	14.4	15.0	-0.57
Brook Lopez	83	82	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.10	14	-13	27	14.5	14.7	-0.28	14.7	13.8	0.98
Damian Lillard	78	75	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.36	-4	5	-9	14.3	15.2	-0.86	14.1	16.2	-2.10
Andre Jackson Jr.	11	11	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.33	-8	9	-17	13.5	14.6	-1.09	14.3	14.6	-0.34
Taurean Prince	58	57	-0.05	0.56	-0.61	0.30	-12	13	-25	14.8	14.2	0.59	13.5	16.1	-2.64
Delon Wright	44	45	-0.41	0.91	-1.33	-0.33	-3	4	-7	16.5	13.0	3.49	14.9	14.3	0.66
Bobby Portis	43	42	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	-0.16	-10	11	-21	14.7	14.4	0.24	14.5	14.6	-0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.72,0.62,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.29,0.17,0.11,0.21,0.11,0.28,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 97, PHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.37,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.56,0.66,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.1,0.16,0.27,1	90.0%
WAS 91, TOR 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.17,1	89.0%
NYK 80, MIA 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.62,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.09,1	88.4%