NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	121		Excitement	6.4 [563]		MVP	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +20.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder	119		Comeback	1.2 [367]		LVP	Cason Wallace (OKC): -9.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Washington	0.19	0,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.19	0.18	0.01	0.01	13	75%	0.19	1	-0.00	10	100%	0.05
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.03	-0.02	7	62%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jaden Hardy	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	9	68%	0.11	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Kyrie Irving	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08	0.10	-0.01	0.01	18	61%	0.14	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Quentin Grimes	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	5	71%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Naji Marshall	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.02	-0.01	-0.03	6	76%	0.16	4	-0.11	5	100%	0.03
Dereck Lively II	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	55%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Dwight Powell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Daniel Gafford	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	9	44%	0.02	3	-0.05	7	43%	-0.04
Maxi Kleber	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	100%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	-0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	11	21%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.23	-0.01	0.02	19	73%	0.23	1	-0.03	11	82%	-0.02
Dillon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.08	0.00	6	100%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Williams	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.18	0.03	0.06	17	75%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Luguentz Dort	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.02	-0.00	10	69%	0.09	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Isaiah Joe	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ousmane Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Wiggins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	9	35%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Kenrich Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	6	43%	-0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ajay Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	5	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cason Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	8	25%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	2.4	29.5	14.6	31.0	0.3	46.4	153.7
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +13.5%

DAL +22.9%

DAL +27.4%

OKC -19.1%

DAL +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	OKC	NBA	DAL	OKC	NBA
this game	15.4	13.9	14.4	122.2	122.7	113.0
season	14.3	13.8		113.3	117.4
opponent	14.7	14.4		105.6	114.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.0	15.4	16.4	17.1	15.4
OKC	14.2	15.9	12.4	13.4	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Washington	60	58	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.24	12	-10	22	14.6	16.7	-2.09	14.2	13.6	0.51
Dereck Lively II	52	53	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.16	12	-10	22	15.7	15.2	0.48	14.6	13.1	1.49
Quentin Grimes	45	46	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.11	9	-7	16	14.9	15.9	-0.94	13.2	14.6	-1.47
Jaden Hardy	52	51	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.20	6	-4	10	14.2	16.8	-2.64	13.8	14.1	-0.26
Kyrie Irving	73	70	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.38	-4	6	-10	16.0	13.9	2.04	14.1	13.4	0.70
Spencer Dinwiddie	36	35	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.20	1	1	0	15.9	15.1	0.77	13.6	14.1	-0.50
Naji Marshall	54	52	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.41	-8	10	-18	15.8	15.0	0.78	14.5	13.3	1.23
Dwight Powell	9	8	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	-4	10	10.4	15.9	-5.48	16.0	13.8	2.24
Klay Thompson	51	49	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	7	-12	16.1	14.7	1.39	13.8	14.1	-0.31
Maxi Kleber	28	29	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.15	-7	9	-16	15.8	15.3	0.55	13.6	14.1	-0.52
Daniel Gafford	35	34	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.25	-12	14	-26	16.8	14.7	2.17	12.9	14.5	-1.64

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Joe	54	52	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.11	2	-4	6	14.4	13.4	0.99	15.2	15.6	-0.41
Ousmane Dieng	5	4	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	3	-8	16.6	13.8	2.80	9.2	15.7	-6.43
Luguentz Dort	71	71	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.54	13	-15	28	14.2	13.2	1.09	15.9	14.2	1.69
Dillon Jones	31	31	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.09	-4	2	-6	14.4	13.7	0.69	16.3	15.0	1.26
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	77	80	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.45	8	-10	18	13.8	14.7	-0.95	15.3	15.8	-0.45
Aaron Wiggins	53	54	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.01	-9	7	-16	13.6	14.4	-0.76	14.7	16.3	-1.67
Kenrich Williams	34	36	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.30	0	-2	2	14.8	13.5	1.26	16.1	15.0	1.04
Cason Wallace	47	49	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-10	8	-18	14.8	13.1	1.67	16.1	14.8	1.30
Ajay Mitchell	39	42	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.33	-3	1	-4	12.5	14.9	-2.44	15.1	15.7	-0.57
Jalen Williams	74	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	0	-2	13.3	16.1	-2.86	15.2	16.3	-1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.2,0.31,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.11,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 104, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.02,0	93.5%
MIA 97, ATL 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.24,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.5%
CHA 105, CHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.29,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,0	93.4%