NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	130		Excitement	5.1 [278]		MVP	Victor Wembanyama (SAS): +43.5%
San Antonio Spurs	139		Comeback	1.5 [334]		LVP	Alexandre Sarr (WAS): -4.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Poole	0.33	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.33	0.33	0.06	0.06	22	84%	0.35	3	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Kyshawn George	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	10	55%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Corey Kispert	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01	0.16	-0.01	0.14	12	79%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Champagnie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bilal Coulibaly	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Carlton Carrington	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	11	59%	0.09	6	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.05	12	57%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Kyle Kuzma	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	9	56%	0.05	6	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Alexandre Sarr	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	14	43%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Wembanyama	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.43	0.43	0.36	0.10	0.03	29	75%	0.46	1	-0.03	9	67%	-0.01
Julian Champagnie	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	8	63%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Blake Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	5	100%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.04	5	71%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malaki Branham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	7	44%	0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	56%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Stephon Castle	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	62%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Devin Vassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	-0.04	14	50%	0.04	3	-0.04	6	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.3	27.4	14.6	32.3	1.7	40.0	142.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +33.2%

SAS +5.4%

WAS -0.9%

SAS +11.0%

SAS +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	SAS	NBA	WAS	SAS	NBA
this game	13.2	13.7	14.3	122.6	128.7	111.7
season	13.8	14.4		103.5	111.0
opponent	14.3	13.9		112.1	117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.2	12.8	15.4	10.5	13.2
SAS	13.0	13.9	11.2	16.6	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Champagnie	1	2	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.04	5	-14	19	9.0	13.3	-4.28	12.0	13.7	-1.71
Corey Kispert	73	74	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.40	9	-18	27	12.7	14.4	-1.73	14.0	13.0	0.94
Kyshawn George	70	73	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.38	7	-16	23	12.4	14.8	-2.33	14.1	12.7	1.42
Jonas Valanciunas	49	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.42	8	-17	25	13.0	13.4	-0.40	14.3	13.2	1.07
Alexandre Sarr	57	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.19	-17	8	-25	13.4	13.0	0.40	13.2	14.3	-1.07
Carlton Carrington	66	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.21	-20	11	-31	14.3	11.5	2.83	13.0	14.8	-1.86
Jordan Poole	74	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.27	-6	-3	-3	13.0	13.8	-0.83	13.9	13.2	0.73
Kyle Kuzma	55	58	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.14	-21	12	-33	14.4	12.0	2.34	12.9	14.5	-1.61
Bilal Coulibaly	85	84	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.20	-10	1	-11	13.1	14.0	-0.89	13.9	12.8	1.14

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harrison Barnes	70	69	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.08	19	-10	29	13.0	14.9	-1.96	14.0	11.9	2.11
Chris Paul	66	65	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.12	24	-15	39	13.0	14.8	-1.85	13.5	12.9	0.62
Stephon Castle	61	61	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	-2	13	13.9	13.4	0.44	12.8	13.8	-0.94
Julian Champagnie	73	74	0.35	0.14	0.21	-0.14	17	-8	25	13.3	14.4	-1.07	14.3	10.8	3.43
Victor Wembanyama	74	74	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.08	13	-4	17	13.4	14.4	-1.03	13.2	13.3	-0.11
Zach Collins	34	32	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.31	-4	13	-17	14.4	13.4	1.03	13.3	13.2	0.11
Blake Wesley	28	29	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.09	9	0	9	11.7	14.4	-2.65	14.6	12.7	1.86
Keldon Johnson	51	47	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.22	-4	13	-17	14.1	13.3	0.73	12.1	14.1	-1.99
Devin Vassell	55	53	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.46	-18	27	-45	14.9	12.4	2.55	11.8	14.7	-2.89
Malaki Branham	28	26	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.41	-22	31	-53	16.4	12.7	3.67	12.1	13.6	-1.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.53,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,1,0.98,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 91, WAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.6,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.76,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
MIL 83, MIA 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.74,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.94,0.87,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
ATL 107, BOS 112	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.92,1	93.5%