NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	121		Excitement	8.1 [151]		MVP	Trae Young (ATL): +34.9%
Detroit Pistons	122		Comeback	1.8 [293]		LVP	Onyeka Okongwu (ATL): -15.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trae Young	0.35	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.35	0.14	0.26	0.05	25	60%	0.44	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.12
Larry Nance Jr.	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.16	0.02	0.03	5	130%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dyson Daniels	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.12	0.00	0.10	-0.02	17	50%	0.18	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.02	19	50%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Garrison Mathews	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	5	62%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
David Roddy	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	1	150%	0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Keaton Wallace	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	1	100%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Zaccharie Risacher	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	7	39%	-0.00	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Clint Capela	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	10	29%	-0.07	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.03
Onyeka Okongwu	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,-0.16	0.01	-0.18	-0.01	7	57%	-0.15	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.17,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.17	0.17	0.02	13	73%	0.32	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Cade Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.25	0.25	-0.05	0.25	-0.06	17	56%	0.39	7	-0.14	5	100%	0.03
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.04	0.01	14	67%	0.17	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Jaden Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,0.14,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.02	0.09	-0.04	13	55%	0.22	4	-0.11	7	43%	-0.03
Simone Fontecchio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	6	65%	0.07	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Ronald Holland II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	45%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	8	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	58%	0.03	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.04
Paul Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	42%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.2	33.5	14.8	29.1	2.4	29.9	139.3
league avg	25.7	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.2	134.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +68.7%

ATL -16.5%

ATL -4.0%

ATL -4.9%

DET +6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DET	NBA	ATL	DET	NBA
this game	13.4	13.4	14.4	113.1	113.0	112.2
season	13.2	14.3		111.1	111.5
opponent	14.6	14.3		112.4	113.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.4	11.7	13.7	12.8	13.4
DET	11.2	13.5	14.0	14.9	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Roddy	38	37	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.06	5	-6	11	12.9	13.7	-0.81	12.4	13.9	-1.59
Zaccharie Risacher	54	55	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.10	-4	3	-7	13.6	13.2	0.44	14.5	12.3	2.23
Larry Nance Jr.	27	27	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-1	1	13.0	13.5	-0.57	15.4	12.7	2.73
Clint Capela	43	43	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.02	-4	3	-7	13.0	13.6	-0.62	13.0	13.6	-0.58
Trae Young	92	93	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.59	14	-15	29	13.0	15.5	-2.49	13.5	12.9	0.54
Dyson Daniels	88	87	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.56	10	-11	21	12.8	16.1	-3.30	13.5	13.1	0.38
Onyeka Okongwu	37	38	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.36	3	-4	7	14.1	13.0	1.14	12.3	14.0	-1.63
Keaton Wallace	15	15	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.12	-15	14	-29	15.5	13.0	2.49	12.9	13.5	-0.54
Garrison Mathews	62	63	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.50	-2	1	-3	13.8	12.8	0.95	12.7	14.4	-1.76
Jalen Johnson	79	82	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.39	-12	11	-23	13.8	12.1	1.69	13.6	12.7	0.93

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway Jr.	67	66	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.48	3	-2	5	13.6	13.1	0.52	12.3	15.1	-2.80
Tobias Harris	70	71	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.46	1	0	1	13.1	13.9	-0.85	12.8	14.5	-1.67
Malik Beasley	75	75	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.55	-3	4	-7	13.2	13.9	-0.78	13.6	12.8	0.78
Jaden Ivey	66	64	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.48	-3	4	-7	13.1	13.8	-0.67	14.6	11.6	3.03
Cade Cunningham	82	83	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	-2	5	13.5	13.0	0.58	12.7	15.8	-3.09
Paul Reed	33	32	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.25	-1	2	-3	13.0	13.6	-0.57	14.5	12.9	1.58
Simone Fontecchio	42	43	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	-4	9	13.6	13.3	0.32	14.4	12.7	1.68
Ronald Holland II	30	28	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.07	3	-2	5	14.2	13.1	1.06	13.8	13.2	0.58
Isaiah Stewart	75	73	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	4	-7	13.6	13.0	0.57	13.2	13.9	-0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.89,0.81,0.81,0.76,0.7,0.75,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.8,0.93,0.83,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.71,0.9,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 96, MEM 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.85,0.94,0.9,0.85,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.91,0.99,1	94.7%
NJN 94, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.89,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.68,0.79,0.79,0.84,0.72,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.76,0.78,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.99,1	94.3%
UTA 85, SEA 90	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.84,0.85,0.94,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.83,0.89,0.89,0.99,0.98,1	93.1%