NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	97		Excitement	7.0 [88]		MVP	Alperen Sengun (HOU): +32.0%
Houston Rockets	109		Comeback	1.3 [116]		LVP	Miles McBride (NYK): -19.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
OG Anunoby	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.15	-0.00	0.03	14	68%	0.12	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Jalen Brunson	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	-0.02	24	51%	0.06	1	-0.00	9	100%	0.06
Mikal Bridges	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.03	0.06	-0.02	14	52%	0.14	4	-0.09	1	0%	-0.03
Josh Hart	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.04	0.00	9	55%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Tyler Kolek	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jericho Sims	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	17	45%	0.02	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Miles McBride	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.14	-0.06	-0.01	9	0%	-0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alperen Sengun	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.11	0.23	0.02	15	76%	0.41	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Amen Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.05	0.01	8	67%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	9	65%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	14	63%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tari Eason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	7	44%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Reed Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	8	44%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	8	44%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Jalen Green	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	0.03	15	45%	0.00	3	-0.11	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.7	28.6	14.7	28.2	2.5	28.3	129.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +59.1%

NYK -14.4%

HOU +18.5%

NYK -15.2%

HOU +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	HOU	NBA	NYK	HOU	NBA
this game	15.1	16.1	14.4	105.4	117.2	112.0
season	15.3	14.4		121.7	112.5
opponent	14.0	14.3		103.3	115.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.2	13.8	16.0	14.2	15.1
HOU	13.8	15.5	18.3	17.1	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jericho Sims	31	30	0.37	-0.47	0.84	-0.04	14	-15	29	14.3	15.5	-1.16	15.4	15.9	-0.52
Miles McBride	52	52	0.22	-0.33	0.55	-0.07	10	-11	21	14.2	16.5	-2.34	15.5	16.1	-0.64
OG Anunoby	66	65	0.00	-0.11	0.11	-0.17	6	-7	13	15.7	12.6	3.09	15.6	16.2	-0.60
Jalen Brunson	72	71	-0.02	-0.08	0.07	-0.11	3	-4	7	15.2	14.0	1.21	15.8	15.0	0.82
Tyler Kolek	11	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	-8	4	14.0	15.2	-1.20	16.2	16.1	0.12
Mikal Bridges	67	68	-0.26	0.16	-0.42	0.03	-10	9	-19	15.4	13.6	1.84	15.6	16.2	-0.61
Josh Hart	64	65	-0.27	0.16	-0.43	-0.00	-9	8	-17	14.7	16.1	-1.37	15.9	14.9	1.03
Karl-Anthony Towns	52	53	-0.47	0.37	-0.84	-0.03	-15	14	-29	15.5	14.3	1.16	15.9	15.4	0.52

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alperen Sengun	64	65	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.17	14	-6	20	16.2	16.1	0.12	15.2	15.4	-0.25
Jalen Green	56	56	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.22	10	-2	12	17.2	14.6	2.64	16.5	13.1	3.43
Fred VanVleet	66	66	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.23	8	0	8	16.2	16.3	-0.18	15.2	15.2	0.02
Amen Thompson	59	60	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.22	7	1	6	16.8	15.0	1.88	15.4	14.9	0.48
Dillon Brooks	59	58	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.17	5	3	2	15.0	18.4	-3.39	15.1	15.5	-0.48
Tari Eason	45	45	0.26	0.23	0.03	0.15	4	4	0	16.6	15.8	0.89	14.3	16.1	-1.78
Jabari Smith Jr.	47	46	0.11	0.38	-0.27	0.11	0	8	-8	15.0	17.5	-2.42	15.2	15.2	-0.01
Steven Adams	26	25	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.10	-6	14	-20	16.1	16.2	-0.12	15.4	15.2	0.25
Reed Sheppard	28	29	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.06	-2	10	-12	16.6	16.0	0.64	14.1	15.8	-1.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.63,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.9,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 89, GSW 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.84,0.98,1,1	94.0%
PHX 85, MIA 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.75,0.72,0.53,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.91,1	93.1%
SAS 88, MEM 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.7,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.72,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.7,0.84,0.82,0.67,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.9,0.85,1	92.9%