NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	114		Excitement	8.4 [52]		MVP	Darius Garland (CLE): +75.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	116		Comeback	7.5 [69]		LVP	Donovan Mitchell (CLE): -21.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
AJ Green	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.23	0.03	0.04	9	117%	0.22	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	4	87%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.04	-0.00	21	48%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Brook Lopez	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	12	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Rollins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,-0.07,-0.07,0.27,0	0.08	-0.06	0.02	22	68%	0.35	8	-0.34	9	100%	0.04
Delon Wright	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	7	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andre Jackson Jr.	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	7	44%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Garland	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.76	0.76	0.31	0.46	0.01	22	85%	0.79	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.08	-0.01	6	75%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ty Jerome	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.01	4	67%	0.12	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Evan Mobley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	15	47%	0.09	0	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	14	47%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Luke Travers	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Merrill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.00	10	60%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.12	0.00	5	50%	-0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.08	-0.12	0.01	15	44%	-0.07	4	-0.14	2	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.3	28.5	14.6	23.3	2.3	28.3	123.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +40.0%

MIL -3.0%

MIL -7.8%

CLE +19.3%

CLE +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CLE	NBA	MIL	CLE	NBA
this game	15.3	13.0	14.4	112.9	113.7	112.0
season	14.5	13.7		111.0	122.4
opponent	14.9	14.4		110.6	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.9	16.3	15.5	15.6	15.3
CLE	13.8	11.3	14.5	12.7	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Rollins	13	14	0.29	-0.79	1.09	0.15	5	-9	14	16.2	15.3	0.89	13.1	13.2	-0.12
Pat Connaughton	47	48	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.01	6	-10	16	15.5	15.5	0.02	12.4	13.8	-1.41
Delon Wright	9	8	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.08	-8	4	-12	20.4	15.0	5.48	11.7	13.3	-1.55
Taurean Prince	30	31	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.06	-8	4	-12	15.7	15.4	0.34	13.5	13.0	0.49
Andre Jackson Jr.	54	52	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.35	5	-9	14	15.3	15.7	-0.44	13.7	12.6	1.10
AJ Green	71	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.43	3	-7	10	15.6	15.2	0.41	13.0	13.6	-0.60
Gary Trent Jr.	43	44	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.15	-19	15	-34	15.8	15.2	0.54	13.0	13.3	-0.32
Bobby Portis	81	80	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	-1	-2	15.5	15.3	0.18	13.5	12.1	1.37
Damian Lillard	78	80	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.61	1	-5	6	14.8	18.0	-3.20	13.2	13.1	0.04
Brook Lopez	74	77	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.58	-2	-2	0	15.2	16.3	-1.09	13.3	12.9	0.40

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaac Okoro	54	56	1.05	-0.55	1.61	0.38	23	-18	41	13.1	13.3	-0.18	15.3	15.6	-0.31
Darius Garland	73	72	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.48	10	-5	15	13.5	12.2	1.33	15.4	15.7	-0.35
Jarrett Allen	73	72	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.51	9	-4	13	13.5	12.2	1.33	15.4	15.7	-0.35
Donovan Mitchell	67	66	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.34	6	-1	7	12.6	14.4	-1.86	15.3	15.7	-0.42
Evan Mobley	69	68	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.39	4	1	3	12.4	14.8	-2.35	15.0	16.5	-1.53
Craig Porter Jr.	11	11	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.00	2	0	2	12.5	13.1	-0.67	18.5	15.0	3.50
Luke Travers	6	6	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	7	-9	15.2	13.1	2.11	17.2	15.4	1.82
Georges Niang	55	54	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	-0.23	-1	6	-7	13.5	12.8	0.69	16.0	14.8	1.21
Sam Merrill	58	57	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	-0.10	-11	16	-27	13.2	13.1	0.11	15.0	16.1	-1.07
Ty Jerome	39	38	-0.51	1.01	-1.51	-0.07	-15	20	-35	13.7	12.9	0.84	15.9	15.2	0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.84,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.33,0.47,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.55,0.66,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 78, LAC 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.32,0.46,0.77,0.58,1	90.0%
LAC 130, IND 131	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.86,0.8,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.28,1	89.5%
MIN 125, SAC 128	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.19,0.61,0.33,0.26,1	88.4%