NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	127		Excitement	6.9 [89]		MVP	LeBron James (LAL): +28.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	131		Comeback	3.5 [78]		LVP	Alex Len (SAC): -9.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Domantas Sabonis	0.24	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.24	0.19	0.05	0.01	14	78%	0.29	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.04
DeMar DeRozan	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1	0.17	-0.01	0.05	12	82%	0.16	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Kevin Huerter	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	9	78%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keegan Murray	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	11	58%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Malik Monk	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	14	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan McLaughlin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
De'Aaron Fox	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.11,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0.04	20	58%	0.12	6	-0.16	8	87%	0.03
Alex Len	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.02,-0.06,0.03,0.17,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.12	0.15	-0.02	22	67%	0.38	5	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.28	0.28	0.18	0.13	0.03	15	72%	0.32	2	-0.04	13	77%	-0.01
Dalton Knecht	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	7	71%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.02	13	56%	0.11	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Jaxson Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.03	0.03	11	70%	0.10	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Austin Reaves	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	12	67%	0.13	6	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Vincent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Max Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.3	31.5	14.7	29.0	1.8	35.2	137.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +40.4%

SAC -2.3%

LAL +21.6%

SAC -10.2%

LAL +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAL	NBA	SAC	LAL	NBA
this game	11.8	15.0	14.4	118.7	121.3	112.0
season	13.6	14.7		113.9	117.3
opponent	14.2	15.2		116.4	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	11.5	12.3	11.5	11.8	11.8
LAL	15.6	17.2	13.3	14.4	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Monk	42	43	0.25	-0.72	0.97	-0.04	10	-24	34	12.1	12.3	-0.21	15.1	14.9	0.16
Domantas Sabonis	60	62	0.05	-0.52	0.57	0.02	1	-15	16	12.3	11.9	0.37	15.8	13.2	2.60
Jordan McLaughlin	6	7	0.02	-0.49	0.51	0.02	0	-14	14	12.5	12.2	0.34	14.6	15.0	-0.45
Trey Lyles	39	40	-0.10	-0.37	0.28	0.11	-7	-7	0	12.8	11.7	1.15	15.2	14.8	0.48
Keegan Murray	73	71	-0.20	-0.27	0.07	-0.14	-2	-12	10	11.4	15.8	-4.36	15.3	13.9	1.37
Alex Len	24	23	-0.41	-0.06	-0.35	-0.15	-9	-5	-4	11.7	12.4	-0.71	12.1	16.0	-3.87
De'Aaron Fox	75	74	-0.43	-0.04	-0.38	0.01	-15	1	-16	11.8	14.5	-2.67	14.7	16.4	-1.63
DeMar DeRozan	63	62	-0.67	0.20	-0.86	-0.11	-19	5	-24	12.5	11.3	1.20	15.2	14.4	0.86
Kevin Huerter	58	58	-0.87	0.40	-1.28	-0.02	-29	15	-44	13.0	10.7	2.30	14.8	15.3	-0.42

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaxson Hayes	35	33	0.79	-0.32	1.11	0.09	24	-20	44	13.0	16.2	-3.12	12.9	11.2	1.67
Dalton Knecht	43	42	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.31	16	-12	28	15.6	14.6	0.97	13.0	10.9	2.12
Rui Hachimura	81	84	0.77	-0.29	1.06	0.27	17	-13	30	15.3	14.5	0.88	11.9	11.3	0.58
D'Angelo Russell	73	74	0.74	-0.26	1.00	0.24	17	-13	30	15.4	14.5	0.97	11.6	12.2	-0.61
LeBron James	79	78	0.57	-0.09	0.66	0.19	13	-9	22	14.7	16.3	-1.56	11.4	12.7	-1.33
Gabe Vincent	29	28	-0.11	0.59	-0.70	0.04	-5	9	-14	13.2	15.8	-2.64	11.4	11.9	-0.49
Austin Reaves	72	74	-0.32	0.79	-1.11	0.27	-20	24	-44	16.2	13.0	3.12	11.2	12.9	-1.67
Max Christie	40	38	-0.41	0.89	-1.30	0.17	-20	24	-44	15.1	15.1	-0.01	12.1	11.6	0.46
Anthony Davis	83	84	-0.42	0.90	-1.33	0.22	-22	26	-48	15.5	14.0	1.51	11.5	12.8	-1.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.54,0.64,0.72,0.79,0.81,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.69,0.56,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.44,0.22,0.48,0.7,0.89,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.9,0.93,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 84, SAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.64,0.68,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.63,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.46,0.48,0.62,0.87,0.96,0.97,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.0%
HOU 91, UTA 107	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.52,0.66,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	92.0%
CHA 90, CLE 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.66,0.83,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	91.0%