NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	92		Excitement	9.1 [60]		MVP	Ivica Zubac (LAC): +22.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	93		Comeback	3.2 [189]		LVP	Kris Dunn (LAC): -41.5%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ivica Zubac	0.23	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23	0.12	0.12	0.01	9	89%	0.26	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.27,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.11	0.08	0.00	7	86%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Porter Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.01	10	68%	0.23	5	-0.19	5	80%	0.01
Amir Coffey	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	10	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mo Bamba	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terance Mann	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Miller	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	5	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Derrick Jones Jr.	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	8	37%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0.07,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21	-0.06	-0.13	0.01	20	45%	-0.10	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.00
Kris Dunn	-0.42	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23,-0.42	-0.10	-0.32	-0.00	5	17%	-0.16	2	-0.25	2	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.10	-0.02	6	75%	0.18	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	7	72%	0.14	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.04
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	79%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	9	42%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Julius Randle	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	9	55%	0.04	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.16,-0.09,0.11,0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.01	0.01	21	45%	0.08	4	-0.14	5	60%	-0.05
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.11	-0.00	10	55%	-0.04	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	7	44%	-0.04	3	-0.11	4	50%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.8	26.6	15.4	25.7	2.8	30.6	130.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +14.0%

MIN +3.7%

MIN +43.9%

LAC -8.1%

LAC -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIN	NBA	LAC	MIN	NBA
this game	14.7	15.8	14.3	97.9	97.9	111.7
season	14.9	14.7		110.0	109.9
opponent	14.5	14.0		107.9	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.0	14.8	14.1	14.9	14.7
MIN	16.3	15.8	14.7	16.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terance Mann	41	41	0.42	-0.92	1.35	0.13	10	-11	21	13.9	15.3	-1.36	14.7	16.6	-1.93
Jordan Miller	26	25	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.04	2	-3	5	12.3	15.6	-3.24	13.7	16.5	-2.85
Ivica Zubac	65	65	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.43	7	-8	15	14.4	15.3	-0.94	16.4	14.3	2.11
Derrick Jones Jr.	46	46	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.04	-7	6	-13	15.1	14.3	0.86	16.5	15.1	1.48
Nicolas Batum	48	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.43	6	-7	13	14.3	15.1	-0.86	15.1	16.5	-1.48
Mo Bamba	29	30	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	7	-15	15.3	14.4	0.94	14.3	16.4	-2.11
Kevin Porter Jr.	49	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	0	-1	14.8	14.5	0.30	15.1	16.6	-1.55
Amir Coffey	46	46	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.21	-3	2	-5	14.7	14.7	0.05	16.4	15.2	1.19
James Harden	68	70	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.51	-3	2	-5	15.6	12.3	3.24	16.5	13.7	2.85
Kris Dunn	52	52	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.60	-8	7	-15	15.1	14.1	0.99	16.8	14.5	2.27

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	65	64	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.63	7	-6	13	16.2	14.8	1.48	15.0	14.0	1.02
Rudy Gobert	84	82	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.49	9	-8	17	16.2	12.7	3.45	15.1	12.2	2.89
Julius Randle	57	57	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.63	-5	6	-11	16.5	14.7	1.74	14.8	14.6	0.20
Anthony Edwards	69	69	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.41	-5	6	-11	16.0	15.3	0.70	14.7	14.7	0.02
Donte DiVincenzo	48	47	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	-3	7	14.2	17.4	-3.17	14.0	15.4	-1.38
Jaden McDaniels	44	46	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.18	-2	3	-5	17.5	14.3	3.12	16.0	13.5	2.52
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	59	56	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.13	-1	2	-3	15.1	16.9	-1.88	13.8	15.9	-2.11
Naz Reid	49	49	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.17	-2	3	-5	14.3	17.4	-3.08	14.0	15.5	-1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.61,0.72,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.69,0.53,0.79,0.81,0.73,0.32,0.46,0.75,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 102, POR 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.53,0.53,0.7,0.8,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.84,1	91.4%
SEA 91, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.96,1	91.1%
NYK 93, CHH 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.76,0.92,1	90.0%