NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	88		Excitement	3.6 [421]		MVP	De'Aaron Fox (SAC): +7.2%
LA Clippers	104		Comeback	1.4 [203]		LVP	Kevin Huerter (SAC): -9.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Aaron Fox	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	20	58%	0.11	3	-0.04	10	80%	0.01
Colby Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	17	63%	0.12	6	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Trey Lyles	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan McLaughlin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keon Ellis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	12%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DeMar DeRozan	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	0.02	-0.04	19	35%	-0.01	2	-0.04	8	50%	-0.02
Keegan Murray	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	11	45%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	13	55%	0.07	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Amir Coffey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	9	61%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terance Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.03	6	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.06	8	62%	0.05	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	16	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Bamba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	6	46%	0.04	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	18	48%	0.05	4	-0.06	10	100%	0.03
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.02	-0.02	11	23%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.0	27.2	14.6	28.7	2.7	27.7	129.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +23.9%

LAC +1.8%

LAC +11.1%

LAC +12.6%

LAC +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAC	NBA	SAC	LAC	NBA
this game	13.3	15.3	14.3	87.1	104.0	112.0
season	13.8	15.0		114.1	108.8
opponent	14.0	14.9		108.0	113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.0	13.9	10.9	12.6	13.3
LAC	12.8	14.9	16.8	16.8	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug McDermott	5	5	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-15	14	22.2	12.9	9.32	13.6	15.4	-1.82
Colby Jones	16	13	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.22	-13	-3	-10	12.4	13.5	-1.07	13.2	15.6	-2.41
Kevin Huerter	65	62	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.14	-3	-13	10	12.4	15.0	-2.54	15.6	14.9	0.66
Jordan McLaughlin	14	14	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	-6	-4	16.3	12.9	3.42	15.8	15.3	0.53
Keegan Murray	87	85	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-12	8	12.8	16.8	-4.00	15.2	15.8	-0.55
De'Aaron Fox	91	91	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-12	8	12.8	17.9	-5.06	15.4	15.0	0.36
Keon Ellis	31	32	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.03	-11	-5	-6	15.7	12.3	3.42	15.6	15.2	0.34
DeMar DeRozan	76	76	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-8	-8	0	13.0	14.4	-1.47	15.4	15.1	0.27
Trey Lyles	37	37	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.16	-17	1	-18	14.8	12.5	2.37	15.2	15.4	-0.18
Domantas Sabonis	83	85	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.08	-9	-7	-2	13.1	14.4	-1.35	15.4	14.7	0.78

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	75	77	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	2	12	15.1	16.0	-0.84	13.5	12.9	0.55
Nicolas Batum	38	38	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.11	7	9	-2	15.6	15.2	0.36	14.2	12.8	1.44
Derrick Jones Jr.	63	63	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.02	11	5	6	15.2	15.6	-0.42	13.2	13.5	-0.26
Kevin Porter Jr.	51	53	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	4	8	15.5	15.2	0.33	14.0	12.6	1.32
Mo Bamba	31	33	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.01	9	7	2	17.0	14.6	2.47	14.5	12.8	1.75
Amir Coffey	52	53	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.04	7	9	-2	14.8	15.9	-1.13	12.8	13.9	-1.15
Terance Mann	37	38	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.01	8	8	0	15.6	15.2	0.46	13.9	13.0	0.98
Ivica Zubac	67	66	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.02	8	8	0	14.8	16.5	-1.68	12.8	14.4	-1.67
Jordan Miller	27	27	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	13	-10	16.2	15.0	1.17	12.8	13.5	-0.76
Kris Dunn	59	57	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.06	1	15	-14	15.1	15.6	-0.52	12.4	14.5	-2.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.89,0.86,0.74,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 98, OKC 119	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
POR 79, PHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.77,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
NYK 95, PHX 113	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.83,0.81,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.5%