inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 130 Excitement10.2 [61] MVPAnthony Edwards (MIN): +59.8%
Sacramento Kings 126 Comeback11.6 [147] LVPKeon Ellis (SAC): -32.2%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Edwards0.600,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.04,0.3,0.3,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.60.190.460.052764%0.672-0.082100%0.06
Julius Randle0.200,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.07,0.04,0.20.010.16-0.032054%0.314-0.118100%0.08
Nickeil Alexander-Walker0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.070.040.01683%0.191-0.0900%0.00
Naz Reid0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.10-0.000.021267%0.0700.0000%0.00
Donte DiVincenzo0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01437%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rob Dillingham0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joe Ingles0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rudy Gobert-0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.07-0.050.03773%0.011-0.031100%0.00
Jaden McDaniels-0.030,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.021350%0.053-0.07250%-0.01
Mike Conley-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0,0,0,0,0,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.150.06-0.22-0.001252%-0.1500.00367%-0.00

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
De'Aaron Fox0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.24,0.21,0.36,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.4,0.35,0.26,0.4,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.63,0.530.530.330.280.083574%0.786-0.251191%0.05
Domantas Sabonis0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.10.100.070.060.041570%0.204-0.103100%0.01
Doug McDermott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.01667%0.0400.0000%0.00
Keegan Murray0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.01,0.010.010.020.010.021547%0.0100.0000%0.00
Alex Len0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00-0.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jordan McLaughlin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00442%-0.0100.00475%0.02
Kevin Huerter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.060.03-0.00729%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Trey Lyles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.03-0.07-0.01839%-0.091-0.012100%0.01
Keon Ellis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.32-0.32-0.03-0.30-0.00437%-0.081-0.2400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.70.629.47.028.80.730.91.814.0138.0
league avg25.92.328.214.928.62.332.22.315.6135.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +7.0%
MIN +23.0%
SAC -9.8%
MIN +23.6%
MIN +6.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINSACNBAMINSACNBA
this game16.113.514.4120.4118.9113.1
season14.714.3114.8115.1
opponent14.614.7114.9110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIN17.517.014.216.216.316.1
SAC13.015.711.512.619.113.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Julius Randle85850.78-0.281.070.2817-133015.319.4-4.1213.214.9-1.63
Anthony Edwards87850.71-0.210.920.2416-122815.717.9-2.1813.613.10.50
Mike Conley75740.58-0.080.650.2810-61616.415.50.8713.314.1-0.74
Rudy Gobert84820.56-0.060.630.2411-71816.714.32.3313.613.40.17
Jaden McDaniels76750.220.28-0.060.1040416.016.4-0.4113.613.40.23
Nickeil Alexander-Walker40400.170.33-0.170.22-26-816.116.10.0014.213.21.05
Rob Dillingham77-0.010.51-0.510.05-26-816.616.10.458.613.9-5.33
Donte DiVincenzo3937-0.170.67-0.830.24-1418-3216.715.80.9313.913.40.49
Naz Reid4745-0.350.85-1.190.24-2024-4416.815.61.1714.113.10.94

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jordan McLaughlin32320.31-0.811.120.049-132214.913.01.9517.715.52.19
Keon Ellis4344-0.04-0.460.43-0.123-71014.612.81.7816.016.3-0.33
Doug McDermott3234-0.05-0.450.41-0.164-81212.414.0-1.5915.316.5-1.20
Alex Len1820-0.31-0.19-0.120.10-1410-2410.814.1-3.3417.715.81.90
De'Aaron Fox9192-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.371-5612.917.5-4.5716.016.9-0.93
Trey Lyles8182-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.6710-142413.912.51.4015.418.5-3.05
Domantas Sabonis7879-0.510.01-0.52-0.37-51-614.111.92.2016.515.31.15
Keegan Murray9294-0.530.03-0.56-0.32-73-1012.917.6-4.6416.314.91.48
Kevin Huerter6363-0.650.15-0.81-0.04-2117-3814.212.61.5515.916.4-0.51


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.16,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.18,0.38,0.37,0.53,0.4,0.67,0.47,0.63,0.85,0.58,0.46,0.55,0.21,0.14,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 127, BKN 1220.5,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.29,0.42,0.59,0.65,0.54,0.75,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.46,0.38,0.46,0.32,0.28,089.8%
LAC 105, DET 1030.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.46,0.61,0.45,0.33,0.72,088.1%
CLE 117, SAS 1090.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.39,0.27,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.25,0.13,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.6,0.72,0.8,0.9,0.78,0.84,0.46,0.31,0.29,0.1,0.16,087.2%