NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	120		Excitement	8.8 [183]		MVP	Austin Reaves (LAL): +41.9%
San Antonio Spurs	115		Comeback	2.5 [561]		LVP	Cam Reddish (LAL): -10.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Reaves	0.42	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.42,0.42	0.15	0.25	-0.03	12	73%	0.42	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Anthony Davis	0.38	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.19,0.35,0.35,0.47,0.38	0.17	0.22	0.01	26	62%	0.42	2	-0.04	12	83%	-0.01
D'Angelo Russell	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.06	-0.02	11	57%	0.17	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Dalton Knecht	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.04	0.00	11	64%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Max Christie	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	7	69%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gabe Vincent	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	4	60%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Christian Koloko	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.09	-0.10	0.02	0.01	12	54%	0.12	7	-0.21	4	50%	-0.07
Cam Reddish	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	3	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Castle	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.26,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.08	0.00	12	69%	0.24	1	-0.04	8	62%	0.02
Devin Vassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.07	0.09	-0.02	13	58%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	-0.00	10	57%	0.13	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.00	3	80%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Julian Champagnie	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	8	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	100%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Victor Wembanyama	0,0,0,0,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	25	56%	0.12	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Sandro Mamukelashvili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.07	0.00	6	73%	0.17	2	-0.19	3	100%	0.03
Malaki Branham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Blake Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.1	0.7	27.8	15.0	24.2	4.3	33.5	136.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +33.1%

SAS -7.0%

LAL +15.9%

LAL +8.9%

SAS -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAS	NBA	LAL	SAS	NBA
this game	15.3	14.4	14.4	123.7	118.6	113.1
season	14.9	14.2		114.3	113.0
opponent	14.5	14.2		115.6	113.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.7	13.7	15.8	17.4	15.3
SAS	14.7	13.4	14.8	14.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Max Christie	61	60	1.07	-0.57	1.64	0.39	23	-18	41	14.1	17.3	-3.15	14.8	13.8	0.98
Anthony Davis	70	71	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.29	12	-7	19	15.7	14.2	1.54	14.8	13.3	1.53
LeBron James	79	79	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.49	3	2	1	14.8	17.5	-2.70	14.4	14.5	-0.13
D'Angelo Russell	59	60	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.06	13	-8	21	15.7	14.7	1.01	14.9	13.6	1.25
Austin Reaves	64	64	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.52	-8	13	-21	16.1	13.8	2.29	14.2	14.8	-0.69
Gabe Vincent	39	39	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.17	13	-8	21	14.6	15.7	-1.10	15.1	13.9	1.19
Dalton Knecht	53	51	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.15	-9	14	-23	15.6	14.9	0.67	14.1	14.7	-0.66
Christian Koloko	22	21	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.03	-6	11	-17	15.0	15.4	-0.33	13.9	14.5	-0.68
Cam Reddish	38	40	-0.34	0.84	-1.19	0.13	-16	21	-37	15.9	14.9	0.98	12.8	15.5	-2.71

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harrison Barnes	53	54	0.30	-0.80	1.10	-0.11	14	-19	33	14.2	14.6	-0.36	16.1	14.3	1.87
Stephon Castle	67	66	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.43	17	-22	39	14.1	14.9	-0.78	16.1	13.6	2.48
Zach Collins	27	27	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.13	-4	-1	-3	14.6	14.3	0.28	16.9	14.7	2.20
Julian Champagnie	66	64	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-5	5	14.6	14.0	0.58	15.0	15.9	-0.88
Sandro Mamukelashvili	13	14	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	1	-7	15.2	14.3	0.88	14.3	15.5	-1.18
Malaki Branham	13	14	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	1	-7	15.2	14.3	0.88	14.3	15.5	-1.18
Chris Paul	60	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.43	5	-10	15	14.2	14.7	-0.55	15.1	15.6	-0.52
Blake Wesley	17	17	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.07	-16	11	-27	14.8	14.3	0.45	13.1	15.8	-2.72
Victor Wembanyama	70	70	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.48	-1	-4	3	14.3	14.6	-0.28	14.7	16.9	-2.20
Devin Vassell	44	44	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.22	-13	8	-21	14.2	14.5	-0.26	15.9	14.8	1.12
Keldon Johnson	55	55	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.31	-15	10	-25	14.5	14.3	0.23	14.8	15.9	-1.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.53,0.37,0.66,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 95, SAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.46,0.68,0.28,0	93.3%
HOU 98, OKC 96	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.32,0.26,0	90.1%
LAL 90, POR 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.39,0.54,0.45,0.42,0	90.0%