NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	116		Excitement	7.7 [326]		MVP	Scottie Barnes (TOR): +32.1%
Charlotte Hornets	119		Comeback	3.9 [205]		LVP	Gary Trent Jr. (TOR): -10.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Barnes	0.32	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.34,0.32	0.12	0.18	-0.02	18	70%	0.40	5	-0.08	8	50%	-0.13
Pascal Siakam	0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.17	0.05	0.03	15	74%	0.21	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Malachi Flynn	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.00	0.09	-0.01	7	50%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Precious Achiuwa	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	10	85%	0.17	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	4	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Boucher	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	-0.01	9	47%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.02	-0.02	10	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
OG Anunoby	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	12	38%	-0.08	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Gary Trent Jr.	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	7	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Rozier	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.09,-0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.26	0.26	0.07	0.18	-0.00	15	60%	0.33	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.05
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.13	0.10	0.00	15	67%	0.24	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.10	0.01	15	71%	0.26	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Brandon Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.21,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.06	-0.03	15	62%	0.18	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Nick Richards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.00	7	75%	0.14	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.01
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	7	79%	0.11	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryce McGowens	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.4	26.4	15.4	24.6	2.4	43.3	137.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +53.1%

CHA +5.6%

CHA +3.4%

TOR -11.9%

TOR -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CHA	NBA	TOR	CHA	NBA
this game	13.8	15.3	14.5	117.2	120.2	113.9
season	14.0	14.8		111.3	108.3
opponent	14.5	14.7		118.7	117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.8	13.4	14.2	13.7	13.8
CHA	14.5	15.4	15.8	15.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Boucher	29	29	0.37	-0.87	1.25	0.05	11	-14	25	12.5	14.3	-1.77	15.1	15.4	-0.31
Malachi Flynn	36	36	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.02	8	-11	19	13.4	14.0	-0.55	15.9	15.0	0.89
Precious Achiuwa	47	45	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.07	4	-7	11	13.3	14.2	-0.81	15.2	15.5	-0.31
Otto Porter Jr.	12	11	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	4	-11	14.6	13.7	0.93	16.0	15.2	0.76
Gary Trent Jr.	40	40	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.08	-7	4	-11	14.7	13.1	1.56	15.2	15.4	-0.21
Scottie Barnes	74	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.39	1	-4	5	13.6	14.3	-0.74	15.5	14.7	0.87
OG Anunoby	75	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.41	0	-3	3	14.0	13.1	0.85	15.0	16.5	-1.50
Jakob Poeltl	52	53	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.28	-7	4	-11	14.2	13.3	0.81	15.8	14.8	0.93
Dennis Schroder	61	62	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.47	-9	6	-15	13.9	13.6	0.26	15.2	15.6	-0.39
Pascal Siakam	69	68	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.50	-9	6	-15	13.7	14.0	-0.29	15.1	15.7	-0.56

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Richards	51	53	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.53	7	-4	11	15.3	15.4	-0.06	14.1	13.4	0.70
Terry Rozier	80	80	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.33	5	-2	7	15.7	13.9	1.77	13.9	13.1	0.88
Miles Bridges	80	80	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.39	2	1	1	15.6	14.3	1.31	13.6	14.4	-0.74
Brandon Miller	74	73	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.38	2	1	1	15.1	16.1	-1.01	14.0	13.0	1.04
Gordon Hayward	72	71	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.37	2	1	1	15.2	15.6	-0.42	13.8	13.8	-0.03
Mark Williams	43	42	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	-2	7	15.4	15.3	0.13	13.6	13.9	-0.34
Ish Smith	31	32	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.09	1	2	-1	13.6	16.1	-2.44	12.2	14.5	-2.38
Bryce McGowens	13	13	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	5	-7	18.7	14.8	3.88	15.2	13.6	1.60
P.J. Washington	51	51	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.09	-7	10	-17	15.1	15.6	-0.55	13.8	13.7	0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.87,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.47,0.21,0.33,0.53,0.71,0.67,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 95, CLE 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.62,0.79,0.69,0.92,1	91.1%
BOS 101, ATL 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.72,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.84,0.92,1	91.0%
BOS 95, ORL 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.8,0.77,0.84,0.81,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.68,0.73,0.64,0.6,0.39,0.69,0.79,0.89,0.91,1	90.6%