NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	118		Excitement	4.6 [868]		MVP	Kristaps Porzingis (BOS): +22.5%
Charlotte Hornets	104		Comeback	1.7 [1279]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (BOS): -14.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kristaps Porzingis	0.22	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.14	0.07	-0.01	10	71%	0.25	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Sam Hauser	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.24	0.00	0.06	13	96%	0.18	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	11	68%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	15	61%	0.11	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Jayson Tatum	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	19	61%	0.12	4	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Luke Kornet	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Tillman	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Oshae Brissett	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jrue Holiday	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.16	-0.01	-0.03	11	9%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Miller	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	-0.00	-0.03	15	59%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Grant Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	0.02	0.05	16	68%	0.11	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Vasilije Micic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.00	-0.06	13	46%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marques Bolden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.03	0.03	23	53%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.04	6	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JT Thor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Bryce McGowens	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aleksej Pokusevski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	7	21%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tre Mann	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.3	23.9	14.8	24.5	2.3	23.5	113.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +34.6%

BOS +5.7%

BOS +12.5%

CHA -5.0%

BOS +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHA	NBA	BOS	CHA	NBA
this game	15.9	14.7	14.5	126.9	109.5	113.9
season	14.9	14.8		120.7	108.3
opponent	14.5	14.7		118.7	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.3	14.7	16.0	18.9	15.9
CHA	15.0	15.3	16.0	12.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jayson Tatum	67	67	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.02	14	0	14	15.9	16.1	-0.25	14.9	14.4	0.51
Derrick White	70	70	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.02	13	1	12	15.6	16.8	-1.18	15.4	12.7	2.76
Kristaps Porzingis	57	59	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	3	8	16.4	15.2	1.25	14.8	14.6	0.12
Al Horford	45	48	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.05	8	6	2	15.8	16.1	-0.35	16.9	12.5	4.45
Payton Pritchard	55	56	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.11	6	8	-2	15.5	16.6	-1.09	14.5	15.0	-0.44
Oshae Brissett	27	27	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.02	8	6	2	14.8	16.4	-1.63	12.9	15.4	-2.55
Sam Hauser	50	49	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.01	7	7	0	16.5	15.3	1.22	13.1	16.5	-3.42
Jrue Holiday	57	60	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	8	-2	16.7	14.7	2.07	15.2	13.8	1.45
Luke Kornet	27	27	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	13	-12	14.8	16.4	-1.58	14.0	15.0	-0.95
Xavier Tillman	8	9	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.08	-2	16	-18	17.1	15.8	1.30	13.2	14.9	-1.65
Svi Mykhailiuk	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	20.0	15.8	4.15	5.0	15.0	-10.03

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Smith Jr.	3	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-16	18	5.0	15.0	-10.03	20.0	15.8	4.15
Bryce McGowens	3	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-16	18	5.0	15.0	-10.03	20.0	15.8	4.15
JT Thor	11	10	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.02	-1	-13	12	13.3	14.9	-1.63	14.8	16.1	-1.27
Aleksej Pokusevski	32	30	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.06	-3	-11	8	13.6	15.3	-1.74	15.8	16.0	-0.15
Grant Williams	65	64	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.15	0	-14	14	15.6	12.9	2.65	16.2	15.2	1.01
Vasilije Micic	72	71	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-13	12	15.2	13.3	1.92	16.4	14.4	2.00
Brandon Miller	79	79	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-9	4	15.1	12.7	2.44	16.0	15.4	0.60
Marques Bolden	30	29	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.06	-14	0	-14	12.9	15.6	-2.65	15.2	16.2	-1.01
Davis Bertans	44	44	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	1	-16	14.8	14.7	0.11	16.5	15.4	1.11
Miles Bridges	84	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.07	-13	-1	-12	14.9	13.3	1.63	16.1	14.8	1.27
Tre Mann	52	51	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.10	-22	8	-30	15.2	14.1	1.14	14.4	17.8	-3.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 100, MIN 85	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
PHI 107, NJN 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.25,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
HOU 123, SAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%