NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	98		Excitement	8.3 [234]		MVP	Jalen Brunson (NYK): +25.5%
Sacramento Kings	91		Comeback	2.5 [340]		LVP	OG Anunoby (NYK): -24.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.21,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.21,0.25	0.17	0.10	0.01	28	70%	0.41	6	-0.16	4	75%	-0.03
Alec Burks	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.02	10	55%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Isaiah Hartenstein	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.05	0.01	3	100%	0.13	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Donte DiVincenzo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	16	43%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Josh Hart	0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	7	45%	0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Miles McBride	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.06,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	11	41%	0.03	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	-0.25	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.15	-0.11	-0.01	8	12%	-0.12	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keegan Murray	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.08	0.00	12	39%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	13	53%	0.10	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Keon Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	-0.00	14	58%	0.07	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Chris Duarte	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kessler Edwards	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davion Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	19	42%	-0.06	3	-0.07	10	80%	0.03
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19	-0.19	-0.01	-0.19	-0.01	16	57%	0.04	5	-0.23	5	40%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.5	30.2	14.7	37.3	1.6	29.7	141.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +49.5%

SAC -7.6%

NYK +18.1%

SAC -13.1%

NYK +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SAC	NBA	NYK	SAC	NBA
this game	16.1	13.6	14.5	101.0	93.8	113.9
season	15.6	14.0		116.8	115.6
opponent	14.8	14.4		113.6	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.5	15.3	17.5	16.0	16.1
SAC	12.7	16.0	13.2	12.8	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alec Burks	36	38	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.18	13	-6	19	15.1	16.6	-1.58	14.7	13.0	1.67
Isaiah Hartenstein	58	56	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.34	5	2	3	15.7	16.6	-0.90	13.5	13.8	-0.24
Bojan Bogdanovic	49	48	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.22	7	0	7	16.2	15.9	0.27	14.0	13.3	0.63
OG Anunoby	66	67	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.16	6	1	5	15.7	16.8	-1.11	14.0	12.9	1.02
Jalen Brunson	72	73	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.17	5	2	3	16.1	16.0	0.07	13.8	13.2	0.57
Josh Hart	79	79	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.21	1	6	-5	16.3	15.1	1.15	13.2	15.7	-2.49
Miles McBride	25	24	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	5	-3	16.0	16.1	-0.07	13.2	13.8	-0.57
Precious Achiuwa	39	41	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	5	-3	16.6	15.7	0.90	13.8	13.5	0.24
Donte DiVincenzo	61	59	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.12	-6	13	-19	16.6	15.1	1.58	13.0	14.7	-1.67

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Len	15	13	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.08	6	-13	19	15.0	13.4	1.61	17.8	15.8	2.07
Chris Duarte	1	0	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.03	0	-7	7	1.0	13.8	-12.77	0.0	16.1	-16.05
Kessler Edwards	2	1	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-7	7	11.0	13.7	-2.69	10.0	16.1	-6.11
Kevin Huerter	31	32	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-6	5	14.1	13.4	0.72	16.2	16.0	0.16
De'Aaron Fox	74	74	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.18	0	-7	7	13.6	13.8	-0.19	16.1	16.0	0.07
Malik Monk	58	58	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-5	3	12.9	14.8	-1.89	16.3	15.6	0.73
Keon Ellis	60	57	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.13	-4	-3	-1	13.7	13.5	0.20	16.4	15.6	0.81
Davion Mitchell	24	24	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.16	-7	0	-7	14.1	13.5	0.59	15.7	16.2	-0.40
Keegan Murray	68	69	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.21	-8	1	-9	13.9	13.0	0.86	15.6	17.1	-1.48
Harrison Barnes	72	74	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.37	-6	-1	-5	13.8	13.2	0.65	16.0	16.2	-0.22
Domantas Sabonis	80	83	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.35	-13	6	-19	13.4	14.5	-1.08	15.8	17.3	-1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.26,0.34,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.62,0.59,0.71,0.44,0.22,0.36,0.22,0.05,0.1,0.17,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 97, NYK 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.33,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.41,0.47,0.38,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.08,0	92.1%
DET 98, DEN 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.35,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.31,0.29,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.1,0.04,0	91.9%
PHX 91, NYK 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.47,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.04,0	91.6%