NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	98		Excitement	7.5 [364]		MVP	Buddy Hield (PHI): +20.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	109		Comeback	1.4 [988]		LVP	Vasilije Micic (CHA): -15.0%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Davis Bertans	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.07	0.02	8	80%	0.19	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Nick Richards	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	5	85%	0.14	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Grant Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.00	-0.03	10	70%	0.19	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Tre Mann	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	16	54%	0.13	2	-0.08	7	57%	-0.01
Brandon Miller	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	7	43%	-0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nick Smith Jr.	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	15	41%	0.00	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.02
Aleksej Pokusevski	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	7	36%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vasilije Micic	-0.15	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.04	0.01	12	46%	0.05	5	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.04	0.13	-0.03	12	58%	0.22	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.09	0.02	20	58%	0.19	2	-0.04	12	92%	0.06
Paul Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.07	0.02	9	48%	0.08	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	7	71%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
KJ Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	86%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	16	59%	0.14	4	-0.11	5	100%	0.02
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0.03	7	57%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	5	42%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Mo Bamba	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	2	75%	0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.3	31.5	15.3	22.4	0.2	36.2	133.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +13.2%

PHI +10.3%

PHI +12.0%

PHI +13.0%

PHI +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	PHI	NBA	CHA	PHI	NBA
this game	15.2	15.3	14.5	103.2	116.0	113.9
season	14.8	14.9		108.3	115.6
opponent	14.5	14.5		112.6	118.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.2	14.0	16.4	15.0	15.2
PHI	14.8	16.7	14.2	15.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Richards	60	59	0.37	-0.87	1.24	0.05	11	-22	33	15.8	14.1	1.62	15.5	15.1	0.40
Nick Smith Jr.	12	14	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.04	6	-17	23	15.1	15.2	-0.10	15.9	15.2	0.64
Tre Mann	74	71	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-8	5	14.8	16.4	-1.56	15.6	14.4	1.21
Brandon Miller	30	30	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.02	-8	-3	-5	16.0	14.8	1.22	15.5	15.2	0.23
Davis Bertans	62	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-3	-5	14.7	16.0	-1.32	15.5	14.9	0.66
Aleksej Pokusevski	40	40	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.19	-6	-5	-1	15.2	15.2	0.01	15.1	15.4	-0.28
Vasilije Micic	67	66	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.17	-14	3	-17	15.6	14.1	1.50	14.7	16.8	-2.10
Miles Bridges	79	77	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.17	-16	5	-21	15.0	16.2	-1.23	15.1	16.3	-1.20
Grant Williams	51	52	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.23	-17	6	-23	14.8	15.6	-0.83	15.5	15.1	0.34

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	71	74	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.08	23	-12	35	15.1	16.1	-1.03	15.5	13.9	1.62
Tyrese Maxey	78	80	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.24	15	-4	19	14.9	17.5	-2.64	15.4	13.8	1.63
Kyle Lowry	57	59	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.14	15	-4	19	15.1	15.6	-0.47	14.7	16.0	-1.29
Paul Reed	37	39	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.28	10	1	9	15.1	15.4	-0.29	15.1	15.2	-0.20
Kelly Oubre Jr.	66	68	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	7	-3	15.5	14.8	0.69	15.3	14.7	0.60
Cameron Payne	38	37	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	11	-11	16.2	14.7	1.43	14.4	15.7	-1.34
Buddy Hield	39	37	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.18	-5	16	-21	15.1	15.4	-0.31	15.9	14.7	1.23
Mo Bamba	57	56	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.10	1	10	-9	15.4	15.1	0.29	15.2	15.1	0.20
KJ Martin	27	25	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.05	-8	19	-27	16.2	14.9	1.28	14.1	15.6	-1.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.79,0.76,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.52,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.69,0.72,0.84,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 96, POR 103	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.69,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.85,0.84,0.84,1	92.0%
NOH 84, IND 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.73,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.94,1,1	91.8%
PHX 89, HOU 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.81,0.81,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.79,0.99,0.98,1	91.7%