NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	122		Excitement	9.3 [129]		MVP	D'Angelo Russell (LAL): +109.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	123		Comeback	19.1 [74]		LVP	Rui Hachimura (LAL): -15.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pat Connaughton	0.47	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.41,0.47,0.47	0.18	0.28	-0.00	7	106%	0.47	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.29	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.29	0.13	0.13	-0.03	23	64%	0.48	4	-0.18	7	71%	-0.01
Brook Lopez	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.01	0.01	6	92%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	13	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Malik Beasley	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.04	0.01	12	58%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.32,0	0.12	-0.13	-0.01	23	56%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Danilo Gallinari	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	5	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Beverley	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.43,0.39,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.6,1.1	1.10	0.37	0.73	0.00	25	86%	1.15	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.02
Austin Reaves	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	12	64%	0.19	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	7	57%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	21	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Jaxson Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	80%	0.06	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cam Reddish	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Max Christie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	16	35%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	3.5	28.2	15.4	24.6	3.5	41.9	141.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +42.7%

MIL -0.2%

MIL -11.2%

LAL +13.4%

LAL +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	LAL	NBA	MIL	LAL	NBA
this game	14.3	15.1	14.5	123.2	126.8	113.9
season	14.3	14.1		117.0	114.4
opponent	14.3	14.3		114.3	114.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.8	15.8	12.9	14.6	14.3
LAL	15.6	14.2	14.8	16.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damian Lillard	81	78	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.48	13	-14	27	14.1	14.7	-0.57	15.0	15.8	-0.80
Danilo Gallinari	5	6	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	5	-11	17.2	14.1	3.10	17.7	15.0	2.69
Jae Crowder	45	44	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.06	-3	2	-5	15.1	13.6	1.49	13.8	16.2	-2.39
Brook Lopez	66	67	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.57	13	-14	27	13.9	15.0	-1.12	14.6	16.4	-1.87
Malik Beasley	72	72	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.53	11	-12	23	13.3	16.7	-3.42	15.0	15.5	-0.45
Bobby Portis	52	50	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	10	-21	14.7	13.8	0.89	15.5	14.7	0.82
Pat Connaughton	62	60	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	1	-3	14.0	14.7	-0.72	15.8	14.1	1.76
Giannis Antetokounmpo	80	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.36	-4	3	-7	14.3	14.1	0.18	15.4	14.2	1.19
Patrick Beverley	32	31	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.01	-16	15	-31	15.5	13.6	1.89	15.9	14.8	1.07

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaxson Hayes	34	35	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.40	7	-6	13	16.2	14.6	1.63	14.1	14.4	-0.30
Cam Reddish	29	30	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.45	0	1	-1	15.5	15.0	0.53	15.2	13.8	1.41
Anthony Davis	84	86	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.53	-3	4	-7	14.8	17.2	-2.32	13.8	17.2	-3.34
Rui Hachimura	77	77	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.45	-2	3	-5	15.1	15.5	-0.45	14.8	12.2	2.60
Spencer Dinwiddie	70	71	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.51	-5	6	-11	14.5	16.7	-2.16	14.4	13.8	0.60
Max Christie	6	5	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.04	6	-5	11	17.7	15.0	2.69	17.2	14.1	3.10
D'Angelo Russell	77	79	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	0	1	15.2	14.9	0.24	14.2	14.6	-0.50
Austin Reaves	76	79	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	2	-3	14.7	16.7	-2.00	13.9	15.7	-1.88
Taurean Prince	32	33	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.07	2	-1	3	16.5	14.5	1.98	13.7	14.5	-0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.76,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.76,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.83,0.62,0.54,0.23,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 103, OKC 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.67,0.59,0.62,0.73,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.32,0.27,1	91.2%
MIL 89, MIA 91	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.65,0.77,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.53,0.65,0.62,0.39,0.37,0.23,0.27,1	90.5%
DEN 106, MEM 109	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.65,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.37,0.22,0.27,1	90.3%