NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	100		Excitement	6.7 [491]		MVP	Deni Avdija (WAS): +30.9%
Washington Wizards	112		Comeback	8.8 [189]		LVP	Grant Williams (CHA): -11.3%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Miles Bridges	0.31	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.12	0.16	-0.03	27	54%	0.31	0	0.00	5	100%	0.05
Nick Richards	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	0.00	6	83%	0.14	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
JT Thor	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	2	150%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Miller	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.04	0.02	19	51%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Nick Smith Jr.	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	6	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryce McGowens	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Vasilije Micic	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	14	47%	-0.02	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Davis Bertans	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.03	14	39%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Williams	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	10	22%	-0.11	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.04

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deni Avdija	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.07	0.22	-0.02	14	58%	0.31	1	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.05	0.05	5	100%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.05	0.04	23	54%	0.12	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Corey Kispert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	7	65%	0.06	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	7	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eugene Omoruyi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bilal Coulibaly	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	7	69%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Johnny Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	17	42%	-0.00	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.2	28.6	14.6	23.0	0.2	34.0	126.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +39.1%

WAS +4.7%

WAS +15.5%

CHA -11.7%

WAS +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	WAS	NBA	CHA	WAS	NBA
this game	14.8	14.5	14.5	102.0	113.1	113.9
season	14.8	13.7		108.3	109.8
opponent	14.1	14.5		118.7	118.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.2	14.1	13.2	15.7	14.8
WAS	14.3	13.1	16.8	13.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JT Thor	23	21	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.04	6	-18	24	14.7	14.8	-0.12	15.6	14.1	1.48
Nick Smith Jr.	29	29	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-13	14	16.9	13.9	3.00	15.9	13.9	1.99
Bryce McGowens	23	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	-8	4	14.6	14.9	-0.29	12.0	15.2	-3.20
Grant Williams	76	80	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.14	-2	-10	8	14.3	16.4	-2.03	14.5	14.1	0.50
Miles Bridges	85	85	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	-2	-8	14.3	18.2	-3.88	14.2	15.9	-1.72
Davis Bertans	65	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.25	-7	-5	-2	15.0	14.3	0.77	13.9	15.4	-1.50
Vasilije Micic	69	70	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.09	-13	1	-14	13.9	16.9	-3.00	13.9	15.9	-1.99
Nick Richards	60	59	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.04	-15	3	-18	16.1	12.7	3.35	15.2	13.4	1.77
Brandon Miller	60	63	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.07	-16	4	-20	14.6	15.0	-0.39	15.0	13.4	1.59

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richaun Holmes	72	73	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.15	23	-11	34	14.4	14.5	-0.09	15.2	13.6	1.54
Kyle Kuzma	82	82	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.11	21	-9	30	14.1	16.3	-2.22	15.0	13.9	1.09
Corey Kispert	59	59	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.15	19	-7	26	14.3	14.6	-0.29	15.6	13.5	2.16
Deni Avdija	75	71	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.28	9	3	6	14.4	14.6	-0.22	14.8	14.7	0.16
Jordan Poole	71	70	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.14	8	4	4	14.2	15.1	-0.86	14.6	15.3	-0.70
Bilal Coulibaly	55	56	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.05	0	12	-12	14.6	14.3	0.33	14.8	14.7	0.13
Eugene Omoruyi	13	12	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.09	-6	18	-24	16.8	14.1	2.66	15.2	14.7	0.53
Anthony Gill	5	5	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.04	-3	15	-18	15.2	14.4	0.79	10.2	15.0	-4.83
Johnny Davis	16	15	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.02	-7	19	-26	15.9	14.2	1.77	13.1	15.1	-1.95
Tyus Jones	47	47	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.09	-4	16	-20	14.4	14.5	-0.18	13.9	15.6	-1.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.74,0.83,0.76,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.54,0.68,0.63,0.72,0.61,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.21,0.19,0.11,0.21,0.29,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.81,0.98,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 97, DAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.56,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.22,0.11,0.1,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.41,0.54,0.54,0.69,0.89,0.95,0.92,1	90.9%
NOH 85, HOU 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.24,0.32,0.41,0.59,0.33,0.53,0.85,1,1,1	90.8%
NYK 108, CLE 121	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.52,0.38,0.44,0.34,0.25,0.28,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.33,0.27,0.53,0.6,0.73,0.85,0.99,1,1,1	90.8%