NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	123		Excitement	4.9 [803]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +13.4%
Washington Wizards	112		Comeback	2.2 [980]		LVP	Jordan Poole (WAS): -17.3%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.15	0.02	0.04	16	76%	0.17	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Jonathan Kuminga	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	0.00	0.03	13	75%	0.10	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Gary Payton II	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	10	65%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Moses Moody	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.00	7	86%	0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	6	75%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Trayce Jackson-Davis	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	83%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Draymond Green	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.01	-0.06	4	50%	0.06	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Lester Quinones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Robinson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandin Podziemski	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	8	44%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	21	41%	-0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.15	0.03	0.07	11	80%	0.14	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Landry Shamet	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	0.00	0.05	13	59%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Corey Kispert	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.04	15	65%	0.10	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	11	61%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Johnny Davis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	21	61%	0.13	6	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	12%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eugene Omoruyi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.03	17	35%	-0.04	6	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.5	25.3	15.3	25.6	2.4	27.3	120.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +29.5%

WAS -0.4%

GSW +4.1%

GSW +14.1%

GSW +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	WAS	NBA	GSW	WAS	NBA
this game	13.9	13.6	14.5	116.0	107.7	113.9
season	14.3	13.7		116.2	109.8
opponent	14.1	14.4		118.7	114.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	16.0	12.3	11.6	15.9	13.9
WAS	12.8	14.9	14.6	11.8	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	49	47	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.10	17	-6	23	12.7	14.9	-2.18	14.5	12.8	1.78
Kevon Looney	22	22	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.24	20	-9	29	12.5	14.2	-1.67	14.6	13.3	1.31
Brandin Podziemski	59	60	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.11	14	-3	17	13.7	14.1	-0.43	13.8	13.2	0.65
Gary Payton II	39	40	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	4	3	13.9	13.9	0.01	13.9	13.3	0.56
Klay Thompson	63	59	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	7	-3	13.7	14.2	-0.54	13.5	13.7	-0.19
Moses Moody	51	49	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.35	-4	15	-19	14.6	13.1	1.50	13.0	14.0	-0.98
Stephen Curry	65	65	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	10	-9	14.0	13.7	0.22	13.7	13.4	0.32
Jonathan Kuminga	61	60	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.11	10	1	9	13.5	14.4	-0.85	13.6	13.5	0.18
Dario Saric	31	30	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.26	-3	14	-17	14.4	13.7	0.73	13.3	13.7	-0.41
Trayce Jackson-Davis	20	19	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.21	-3	14	-17	14.9	13.6	1.27	12.9	13.7	-0.81
Draymond Green	64	63	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.20	-6	17	-23	14.0	13.7	0.33	13.4	13.8	-0.41
Lester Quinones	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	12	-13	21.0	13.7	7.34	5.3	13.8	-8.47
Jerome Robinson	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	12	-13	21.0	13.7	7.34	5.3	13.8	-8.47

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Kispert	74	73	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.12	1	-12	13	13.3	14.3	-1.04	13.8	14.1	-0.32
Jordan Poole	64	66	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.33	8	-19	27	12.9	14.6	-1.69	14.4	13.0	1.43
Eugene Omoruyi	16	16	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.14	-10	-1	-9	13.6	13.6	0.01	13.1	14.0	-0.88
Johnny Davis	16	18	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.21	-13	2	-15	13.4	13.6	-0.14	12.9	14.1	-1.11
Richaun Holmes	25	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.26	-16	5	-21	13.4	13.6	-0.21	12.9	14.2	-1.25
Jared Butler	23	24	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.23	-16	5	-21	15.2	13.1	2.13	12.1	14.4	-2.25
Marvin Bagley III	72	74	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.50	8	-19	27	14.0	12.6	1.35	14.0	13.6	0.39
Tyus Jones	79	79	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.43	5	-16	21	13.5	13.9	-0.42	14.2	12.9	1.31
Kyle Kuzma	81	82	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.07	-16	5	-21	13.7	13.2	0.49	13.8	14.2	-0.44
Landry Shamet	70	72	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.43	-6	-5	-1	13.6	13.5	0.04	14.4	12.7	1.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.26,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 116, MEM 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.49,0.48,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
POR 100, VAN 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.25,0.21,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
TOR 115, BOS 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.22,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%