NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	116		Excitement	4.5 [880]		MVP	Jaylen Brown (BOS): +21.8%
New York Knicks	102		Comeback	1.4 [1002]		LVP	Donte DiVincenzo (NYK): -8.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaylen Brown	0.22	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.15	0.02	-0.05	24	59%	0.22	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Derrick White	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.03	-0.02	8	81%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0.15	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.18	0.04	0.06	11	81%	0.15	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.01
Sam Hauser	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	2	150%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.01	10	60%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	7	71%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	15	56%	0.07	4	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Jaden Springer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.06	0.01	10	70%	0.17	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	7	79%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.01	0.01	25	61%	0.15	4	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	7	47%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	11	32%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jericho Sims	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DaQuan Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacob Toppin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.04	-0.03	0.09	12	50%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.8	26.1	15.7	27.2	3.4	26.2	126.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +54.7%

NYK -9.2%

NYK -8.6%

BOS +16.0%

NYK -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NYK	NBA	BOS	NYK	NBA
this game	16.4	18.1	14.5	138.1	122.9	113.9
season	14.9	15.6		120.7	116.8
opponent	14.4	14.7		113.0	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.5	15.4	15.2	18.5	16.4
NYK	17.8	18.9	20.9	15.0	18.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jayson Tatum	77	76	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.04	15	-1	16	16.3	17.4	-1.10	17.9	20.4	-2.56
Jaylen Brown	59	59	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.01	15	-1	16	16.4	16.4	0.08	18.9	16.0	2.87
Kristaps Porzingis	55	53	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	2	10	15.9	17.4	-1.52	19.2	16.1	3.16
Jrue Holiday	63	63	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.03	14	0	14	16.8	15.4	1.38	17.3	20.4	-3.05
Derrick White	55	54	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.14	7	7	0	16.0	17.2	-1.15	19.2	15.9	3.31
Al Horford	46	45	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.05	11	3	8	15.9	17.0	-1.07	18.4	17.8	0.59
Payton Pritchard	28	28	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.05	3	11	-8	17.1	16.1	1.09	15.9	19.2	-3.25
Sam Hauser	18	17	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	15	-16	16.9	16.3	0.67	17.8	18.2	-0.33
Jaden Springer	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	22.0	16.3	5.72	11.0	18.3	-7.26
Luke Kornet	17	18	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	18	-22	17.4	16.2	1.17	15.7	18.7	-3.02

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles McBride	28	30	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-18	22	15.6	19.4	-3.79	17.6	15.8	1.79
DaQuan Jeffries	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-16	18	11.0	18.3	-7.26	22.0	16.3	5.72
Jacob Toppin	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-16	18	11.0	18.3	-7.26	22.0	16.3	5.72
Jericho Sims	24	24	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-9	4	18.2	18.0	0.17	16.0	16.6	-0.64
Alec Burks	35	34	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.14	-13	-1	-12	18.0	18.2	-0.20	15.5	17.0	-1.49
Donte DiVincenzo	53	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-9	4	18.3	17.7	0.55	16.9	15.5	1.37
Bojan Bogdanovic	33	33	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.14	-14	0	-14	17.7	18.3	-0.64	16.2	16.5	-0.29
Isaiah Hartenstein	43	43	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	-6	-2	18.2	18.0	0.16	16.3	16.6	-0.33
Josh Hart	73	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.15	-8	-6	-2	17.9	19.7	-1.84	16.5	15.7	0.81
Precious Achiuwa	58	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	-13	-1	-12	19.6	14.6	5.04	15.9	17.6	-1.74
Jalen Brunson	64	65	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.13	-12	-2	-10	18.5	16.7	1.82	16.3	16.7	-0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.12,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 108, MIN 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
LAL 116, GSW 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
CHI 102, BKN 84	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.33,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%