NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	130		Excitement	7.9 [283]		MVP	Norman Powell (LAC): +51.1%
Golden State Warriors	125		Comeback	19.4 [60]		LVP	Brandon Boston Jr. (LAC): -7.2%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Norman Powell	0.51	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.39,0.51,0.51,0.51	0.16	0.34	-0.01	13	81%	0.53	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17	0.20	-0.01	0.02	12	79%	0.18	1	-0.00	9	89%	0.02
Amir Coffey	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.12,0.14	0.09	0.06	0.01	7	78%	0.17	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.05
Paul George	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.00	17	57%	0.16	2	-0.09	8	87%	0.02
Mason Plumlee	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	6	53%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Ivica Zubac	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.01	7	72%	0.12	3	-0.13	4	75%	-0.00
Terance Mann	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	45%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Russell Westbrook	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	14	45%	0.02	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Brandon Boston Jr.	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandin Podziemski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.28	0.28	0.19	0.07	-0.01	12	83%	0.31	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.05
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.04,0.12,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.05	0.05	0.17	-0.10	0.01	31	64%	0.22	4	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Moses Moody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lester Quinones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Kuminga	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	13	48%	0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Draymond Green	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	12	37%	0.04	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	14	39%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	3.3	25.9	16.0	32.3	3.4	42.5	152.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +30.0%

LAC +19.6%

LAC +3.7%

GSW -3.6%

LAC +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	GSW	NBA	LAC	GSW	NBA
this game	14.3	13.6	14.5	126.2	120.2	113.9
season	14.9	14.3		116.6	116.2
opponent	14.4	14.4		114.1	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.2	13.6	13.5	13.9	14.3
GSW	12.2	14.1	13.2	14.9	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ivica Zubac	60	62	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.34	13	-8	21	13.2	15.7	-2.50	14.3	12.5	1.71
James Harden	87	87	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.32	13	-8	21	14.0	15.5	-1.47	14.2	10.3	3.91
Norman Powell	65	65	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.38	9	-4	13	14.6	13.8	0.79	13.5	13.7	-0.16
Russell Westbrook	67	68	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.41	8	-3	11	14.6	13.7	0.92	13.1	14.5	-1.43
Amir Coffey	53	53	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.31	-5	10	-15	14.2	14.3	-0.03	12.5	14.7	-2.23
Paul George	69	72	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.08	0	5	-5	14.4	14.0	0.39	13.8	13.0	0.82
Mason Plumlee	35	33	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.02	-5	10	-15	15.5	13.6	1.94	13.6	13.5	0.06
Brandon Boston Jr.	19	19	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.03	-4	9	-13	13.8	14.4	-0.58	13.7	13.5	0.14
Terance Mann	60	61	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.07	-4	9	-13	14.2	14.3	-0.07	13.2	14.1	-0.98

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moses Moody	18	18	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.05	4	-9	13	13.3	13.6	-0.28	14.5	14.2	0.29
Kevon Looney	22	24	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.12	7	-12	19	13.5	13.6	-0.03	16.0	13.7	2.32
Gary Payton II	29	30	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.05	3	-8	11	14.3	13.3	0.98	13.5	14.6	-1.12
Dario Saric	10	11	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.03	0	-5	5	17.1	13.2	3.91	15.0	14.2	0.83
Lester Quinones	16	15	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.04	-1	-4	3	13.9	13.5	0.44	18.0	13.6	4.37
Klay Thompson	65	64	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.02	-7	2	-9	13.7	13.4	0.33	14.4	14.0	0.38
Brandin Podziemski	68	68	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.35	5	-10	15	13.5	13.7	-0.24	14.7	13.5	1.18
Jonathan Kuminga	76	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.23	-9	4	-13	13.6	13.5	0.04	14.4	13.9	0.56
Draymond Green	72	68	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.26	-12	7	-19	13.1	14.7	-1.57	13.5	15.7	-2.20
Stephen Curry	77	77	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.45	-6	1	-7	13.3	14.3	-0.93	13.6	16.2	-2.63
Andrew Wiggins	67	66	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.45	-9	4	-13	13.5	13.8	-0.29	13.8	15.2	-1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.71,0.8,0.86,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.88,0.95,0.81,0.64,0.59,0.39,0.75,0.46,0.09,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 128, MIN 125	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.45,0.51,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.77,0.64,0.53,0.66,0.61,0.39,0.1,0.08,0	91.0%
PHX 79, SAS 76	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.73,0.83,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.76,0.66,0.55,0.45,0.23,0.09,0	90.7%
ATL 82, MIA 79	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.76,0.63,0.53,0.46,0.6,0.69,0.36,0.24,0.15,0	90.4%