NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	123		Excitement	8.5 [211]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (CHI): +38.4%
Chicago Bulls	129		Comeback	26.8 [29]		LVP	Alex Caruso (CHI): -19.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.09,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.17	0.09	0.01	22	67%	0.29	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.02
Anthony Edwards	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	26	60%	0.22	5	-0.11	11	82%	-0.01
Rudy Gobert	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1	0.01	0.06	-0.03	6	55%	0.13	1	-0.03	10	60%	-0.06
Mike Conley	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.00	7	64%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Naz Reid	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.02	11	45%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan McLaughlin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19	-0.02	-0.18	-0.01	11	59%	-0.05	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.06,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.39,0.38	0.38	0.12	0.29	0.02	19	59%	0.40	1	-0.02	18	94%	0.13
Coby White	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,0,0.08,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.33,0.52,0.52,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.18	0.20	0.04	21	70%	0.43	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.03
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26	0.26	0.16	0.09	-0.01	16	71%	0.26	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.17,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.12	-0.01	13	53%	0.17	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	46%	0.01	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Julian Phillips	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Torrey Craig	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	58%	0.03	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Alex Caruso	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.11	-0.08	0.01	5	30%	-0.09	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	25.4	15.3	26.4	1.7	38.0	2.5	23.4	159.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.4	15.1	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +12.3%

CHI +37.1%

MIN -7.1%

CHI +6.7%

CHI +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CHI	NBA	MIN	CHI	NBA
this game	16.3	14.0	14.5	116.0	124.0	113.9
season	14.9	14.5		114.4	113.4
opponent	15.0	14.7		115.1	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIN	13.3	16.8	16.2	20.0	15.6	16.3
CHI	13.3	15.2	13.8	14.3	12.8	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Naz Reid	44	42	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.06	3	-9	12	14.7	17.3	-2.57	13.4	14.4	-1.05
Jordan McLaughlin	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.06	-2	-4	2	14.8	16.5	-1.69	15.4	13.8	1.57
Kyle Anderson	36	34	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.08	-4	-2	-2	15.7	16.5	-0.76	12.8	14.6	-1.81
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	42	41	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.17	-8	2	-10	17.0	15.8	1.23	12.3	15.1	-2.83
Mike Conley	58	58	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-3	0	17.3	15.0	2.33	14.9	12.9	1.97
Jaden McDaniels	77	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.42	1	-7	8	16.0	16.9	-0.88	14.8	11.8	2.96
Anthony Edwards	88	86	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.35	-4	-2	-2	15.6	19.3	-3.71	13.9	14.4	-0.46
Karl-Anthony Towns	73	72	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.50	1	-7	8	16.9	14.8	2.04	14.5	13.0	1.46
Rudy Gobert	88	87	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.32	-8	2	-10	16.8	13.7	3.05	14.0	14.2	-0.20

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Caruso	69	70	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.16	19	-13	32	13.5	15.0	-1.54	17.2	14.4	2.74
DeMar DeRozan	82	82	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.32	12	-6	18	14.7	11.3	3.47	16.7	14.6	2.11
Coby White	81	81	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.38	7	-1	8	14.5	12.3	2.13	16.8	14.5	2.32
Nikola Vucevic	85	86	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.38	5	1	4	14.0	14.1	-0.12	15.5	19.3	-3.82
Andre Drummond	67	70	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.34	4	2	2	14.8	12.6	2.20	17.2	14.4	2.83
Torrey Craig	42	44	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.12	-2	8	-10	13.2	14.6	-1.41	16.5	16.1	0.42
Jevon Carter	13	13	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	8	-10	15.3	13.8	1.48	16.9	16.2	0.76
Julian Phillips	20	22	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.01	-4	10	-14	11.6	14.6	-2.98	13.3	17.0	-3.76
Ayo Dosunmu	61	62	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	-0.05	-9	15	-24	13.2	15.1	-1.85	14.5	18.7	-4.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.18,0.29,0.37,0.21,0.2,0.1,0.2,0.36,0.77,0.84,0.46,0.75,0.55,0.83,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 108, NJN 112	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.54,0.9,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.68,0.96,1	91.3%
NOP 111, DEN 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.13,0.11,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.14,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.63,0.78,0.42,0.54,0.53,0.36,0.68,0.72,1	89.2%
MIN 90, SAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.29,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.21,0.33,0.32,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.32,0.55,0.56,0.72,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.9,0.93,1	89.1%