inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 127 Excitement11.7 [25] MVPLuguentz Dort (OKC): +45.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder 135 Comeback44.7 [94] LVPRJ Barrett (TOR): -15.2%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jakob Poeltl0.190,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.120.100.03986%0.222-0.03475%-0.07
Gary Trent Jr.0.130,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.06,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.130.040.08-0.011553%0.171-0.0300%0.00
Dennis Schroder0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.10.050.04-0.011650%0.1000.006100%0.03
Thaddeus Young0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.040.050.00475%0.0900.0000%0.00
Immanuel Quickley0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.21,0.17,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06-0.040.07-0.042040%0.261-0.20250%-0.05
Gradey Dick0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.002100%0.0600.002100%0.01
Scottie Barnes-0.020,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.03-0.020.031561%0.053-0.0710%-0.01
Bruce Brown-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.00420%-0.0400.002100%0.01
RJ Barrett-0.150,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.150.04-0.20-0.011664%0.004-0.16475%-0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luguentz Dort0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.28,0.28,0.46,0.46,0.460.460.070.36-0.031956%0.522-0.061100%0.02
Aaron Wiggins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.30.300.080.220.011759%0.321-0.0200%0.00
Chet Holmgren0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.26,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.250.250.090.14-0.021765%0.362-0.1100%0.00
Josh Giddey0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.37,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.230.230.140.120.031571%0.272-0.044100%0.01
Lindy Waters III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.001150%0.0400.0000%0.00
Kenrich Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.030.03462%0.0300.0000%0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.08-0.030.031762%0.062-0.043100%0.02
Cason Wallace0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.02-0.000.02850%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jaylin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.01530%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Vasilije Micic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00437%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Ousmane Dieng0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.02333%-0.031-0.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2Total
this game24.61.725.914.724.52.327.71.811.31.614.6150.7
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.42.415.02.415.0135.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +54.9%
OKC +6.7%
TOR -31.7%
OKC +28.2%
TOR -8.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTOROKCNBATOROKCNBA
this game15.617.114.5118.7127.4113.9
season14.013.8111.3117.6
opponent14.714.7109.5117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
TOR14.014.415.218.820.815.9
OKC14.218.418.417.219.117.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gradey Dick20190.12-0.620.740.004-121616.315.40.9217.117.1-0.04
Thaddeus Young3130-0.02-0.480.46-0.082-101217.914.73.2018.316.61.74
Bruce Brown3232-0.04-0.460.41-0.102-101216.115.40.6618.116.61.45
Scottie Barnes8282-0.04-0.460.41-0.164-121614.818.2-3.3416.718.5-1.78
Jakob Poeltl6564-0.15-0.350.200.03-6-2-415.515.7-0.1916.218.4-2.11
Immanuel Quickley8082-0.16-0.340.19-0.13-1-7614.917.6-2.6716.618.6-1.99
RJ Barrett7573-0.500.00-0.51-0.12-135-1814.318.7-4.4516.418.5-2.12
Gary Trent Jr.7272-0.560.06-0.61-0.29-91-1015.515.8-0.3417.616.11.47
Dennis Schroder6262-1.150.65-1.79-0.47-2315-3816.414.51.8417.716.21.54

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kenrich Williams45450.87-0.371.240.4016-82418.216.21.9816.015.30.62
Chet Holmgren79810.69-0.190.890.4010-21215.621.5-5.9515.814.90.94
Luguentz Dort74750.53-0.030.560.3371617.017.2-0.1915.914.81.12
Josh Giddey74750.400.100.31-0.0917-92617.117.10.0315.715.30.36
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander87880.310.190.120.1071617.117.2-0.0915.416.5-1.06
Vasilije Micic25250.220.28-0.060.1626-417.517.00.5217.415.02.35
Aaron Wiggins60610.030.47-0.45-0.0635-217.316.80.5015.715.50.25
Ousmane Dieng1414-0.050.55-0.600.04-311-1418.516.91.6315.615.60.05
Lindy Waters III1010-0.080.58-0.650.01-311-1417.017.1-0.0915.415.6-0.22
Jaylin Williams2525-0.190.69-0.87-0.01-614-2019.216.42.7715.015.8-0.78
Cason Wallace3736-0.240.74-0.980.06-1018-2816.517.4-0.8813.216.8-3.62


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.16,0.27,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.39,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.54,0.47,0.63,0.66,0.27,0.46,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.17,0.46,0.62,0.78,0.91,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 113, CHH 1200.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.53,0.53,0.28,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.66,0.47,0.46,0.69,0.85,0.84,0.98,185.3%
MEM 118, PHX 1230.5,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.27,0.28,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.21,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.69,0.84,0.91,0.83,185.1%
PHX 115, SAS 1170.5,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.32,0.45,0.57,0.16,0.46,0.45,0.28,0.1,0.08,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.71,184.6%