NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	105		Excitement	8.9 [159]		MVP	Jalen Smith (IND): +41.1%
New York Knicks	109		Comeback	5.3 [270]		LVP	Precious Achiuwa (NYK): -21.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Smith	0.41	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.41,0.41,0.41	0.17	0.26	0.02	11	87%	0.43	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.05
Tyrese Haliburton	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	10	71%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	10	55%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ben Sheppard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	0.00	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.01
Aaron Nesmith	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.05	-0.07	0.02	13	61%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Nembhard	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	0.04	12	38%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Buddy Hield	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	8	19%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.15,-0.18	-0.10	-0.06	0.01	19	45%	-0.02	5	-0.16	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.07,0.2,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.11	0.05	30	56%	0.33	2	-0.15	11	82%	-0.07
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.09	0.00	13	59%	0.18	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.05	0.00	8	71%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Jericho Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.16,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	26	38%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.00	0.01	6	28%	-0.05	2	-0.05	6	83%	-0.02
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.21,-0.22	-0.22	-0.12	-0.10	0.00	16	33%	-0.18	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	1.8	26.0	14.8	27.3	2.4	37.3	137.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -27.6%

NYK +10.1%

NYK +68.5%

NYK +1.6%

IND -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	13.4	15.7	14.5	106.1	110.1	113.9
season	13.7	15.6		120.0	116.8
opponent	14.4	14.7		112.7	117.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.2	12.8	14.5	14.5	13.4
NYK	15.0	16.0	16.1	15.5	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Obi Toppin	45	44	0.17	-0.67	0.85	0.09	3	-7	10	13.2	13.6	-0.47	15.9	15.5	0.37
Tyrese Haliburton	48	48	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.03	5	-9	14	13.3	13.6	-0.32	14.9	16.4	-1.52
Aaron Nesmith	75	75	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-6	8	13.7	12.5	1.29	16.2	13.9	2.30
Jalen Smith	50	50	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.15	2	-6	8	13.1	13.8	-0.64	15.1	16.2	-1.08
Ben Sheppard	45	47	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.25	3	-7	10	11.9	14.7	-2.87	15.4	15.9	-0.48
Myles Turner	49	49	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.23	-6	2	-8	13.8	13.1	0.64	16.2	15.1	1.08
Andrew Nembhard	51	51	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.35	-9	5	-14	13.6	13.3	0.32	16.4	14.9	1.52
Pascal Siakam	72	73	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.39	-10	6	-16	13.5	13.2	0.29	15.5	16.0	-0.47
Buddy Hield	60	58	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.46	-10	6	-16	14.3	12.1	2.24	15.1	16.4	-1.25

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Hartenstein	73	73	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.42	9	-5	14	15.6	15.8	-0.26	13.6	13.0	0.64
Precious Achiuwa	88	88	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.39	7	-3	10	15.8	14.5	1.35	13.7	11.1	2.64
Jalen Brunson	75	74	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.45	4	0	4	15.9	15.0	0.87	13.4	13.5	-0.11
Miles McBride	58	57	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.17	10	-6	16	16.3	14.7	1.66	13.7	13.0	0.71
Josh Hart	77	78	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.43	0	4	-4	15.7	15.4	0.32	13.7	12.4	1.34
Donte DiVincenzo	82	83	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.13	-4	8	-12	14.8	19.8	-4.96	13.0	15.9	-2.91
Malachi Flynn	16	16	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.04	-1	5	-6	15.4	15.7	-0.34	11.9	13.7	-1.79
Jericho Sims	26	26	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.03	-5	9	-14	15.8	15.6	0.26	13.0	13.6	-0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.18,0.3,0.35,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.43,0.33,0.23,0.36,0.46,0.73,0.9,0.79,0.45,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 101, IND 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.41,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.18,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.39,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.55,0.85,1	91.3%
CHA 118, BKN 120	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.14,0.25,0.35,0.42,0.45,0.32,0.26,0.31,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.19,0.29,0.38,0.23,0.53,0.59,0.67,0.89,0.89,0.67,0.96,1	90.5%
CHI 95, LAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.16,0.19,0.12,0.2,0.14,0.18,0.28,0.21,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.38,0.44,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.53,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.88,0.91,0.91,1	90.1%