NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	118		Excitement	6.7 [481]		MVP	Jordan Nwora (TOR): +29.0%
Chicago Bulls	107		Comeback	6.0 [86]		LVP	Scottie Barnes (TOR): -14.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Nwora	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.19	0.10	-0.00	7	100%	0.29	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Gary Trent Jr.	0.16	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.04	15	80%	0.20	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.09	0.00	13	63%	0.19	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Thaddeus Young	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.01	13	62%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen McDaniels	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Boucher	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gradey Dick	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jontay Porter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	0.00	0.01	11	55%	0.07	6	-0.14	7	86%	0.02
Scottie Barnes	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.01	-0.01	14	38%	-0.02	5	-0.12	6	83%	-0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Coby White	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.01	10	59%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	4	70%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	-0.04	0.01	11	87%	0.21	4	-0.16	2	50%	-0.02
Julian Phillips	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.11	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	17	54%	0.17	5	-0.15	12	75%	-0.01
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.02	11	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dalen Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	9	46%	-0.06	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	27.4	14.6	28.4	2.3	37.6	136.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +23.5%

TOR +6.4%

TOR +10.9%

TOR +8.6%

TOR +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CHI	NBA	TOR	CHI	NBA
this game	15.4	13.4	14.5	116.8	108.1	113.9
season	14.0	14.5		111.3	113.4
opponent	15.0	14.7		115.1	117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.0	15.7	14.8	15.2	15.4
CHI	12.2	14.3	14.0	13.0	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruce Brown	79	76	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.05	18	-7	25	14.9	17.0	-2.05	13.8	12.0	1.86
Thaddeus Young	67	65	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.12	15	-4	19	15.6	15.0	0.60	13.8	12.6	1.21
Gary Trent Jr.	69	66	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.04	12	-1	13	15.9	14.2	1.72	12.8	14.6	-1.83
Scottie Barnes	77	75	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.08	10	1	9	15.3	15.8	-0.57	13.0	14.5	-1.47
Jalen McDaniels	30	28	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.10	6	5	1	15.7	15.3	0.48	13.0	13.5	-0.49
Gradey Dick	41	41	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	9	-7	15.5	15.3	0.24	13.7	13.1	0.59
Dennis Schroder	73	72	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	5	1	15.3	15.5	-0.19	13.2	13.8	-0.54
Garrett Temple	6	6	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.02	4	7	-3	14.8	15.4	-0.60	12.8	13.4	-0.59
Jordan Nwora	39	40	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.18	-6	17	-23	15.1	15.6	-0.56	13.7	13.2	0.53
Chris Boucher	14	15	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	16	-21	15.3	15.4	-0.13	15.5	13.0	2.53
Jontay Porter	10	11	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.03	-7	18	-25	15.5	15.4	0.12	10.8	13.7	-2.89

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Caruso	70	71	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.13	7	-18	25	12.1	16.5	-4.43	15.9	14.2	1.75
Andre Drummond	30	29	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.16	4	-15	19	14.7	12.8	1.94	13.9	16.0	-2.15
Dalen Terry	19	18	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.11	-1	-10	9	11.7	13.8	-2.04	16.3	15.2	1.07
Jevon Carter	25	25	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-5	-1	15.6	12.6	2.91	14.6	15.7	-1.11
Julian Phillips	40	41	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.13	-7	-4	-3	14.7	12.5	2.21	14.7	15.9	-1.20
Nikola Vucevic	74	76	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	0	-11	13.1	14.2	-1.15	15.9	13.8	2.12
Ayo Dosunmu	83	84	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	-1	-9	13.0	15.1	-2.08	15.6	14.5	1.11
DeMar DeRozan	85	88	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.06	-14	3	-17	13.4	13.3	0.11	15.2	16.8	-1.58
Coby White	69	73	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.02	-17	6	-23	13.7	12.6	1.08	15.5	15.2	0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.76,0.86,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.28,0.19,0.26,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 107, CLE 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.25,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0	92.8%
BOS 90, PHI 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.25,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.02,0.07,0	92.6%
DEN 117, SAC 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.5,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.42,0.21,0.11,0.07,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.04,0	92.6%