NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	129		Excitement	9.0 [149]		MVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (DAL): +66.7%
Dallas Mavericks	131		Comeback	10.7 [211]		LVP	Josh Green (DAL): -5.2%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Black	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.19	0.05	-0.01	9	100%	0.27	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Franz Wagner	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.21,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18	0.12	0.06	-0.00	16	60%	0.18	0	0.00	3	67%	0.03
Cole Anthony	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.04	0.13	0.00	4	73%	0.22	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.09
Moritz Wagner	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.05	-0.01	12	67%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Suggs	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.03	8	69%	0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.00	7	47%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.05
Jonathan Isaac	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paolo Banchero	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.18,0.12,0.04,-0.04,0	0.11	-0.05	0.06	25	59%	0.06	3	-0.06	11	55%	-0.08
Goga Bitadze	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chuma Okeke	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.72,0.67	0.67	0.31	0.36	-0.00	17	80%	0.72	1	-0.06	11	82%	0.06
Luka Doncic	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.53	0.53	0.20	0.33	0.00	23	67%	0.61	4	-0.07	21	86%	0.08
Jaden Hardy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.20	0.03	0.02	9	111%	0.23	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dereck Lively II	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.12	0.03	9	74%	0.25	2	-0.07	9	44%	-0.13
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Grant Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Josh Green	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.03	-0.01	6	17%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.4	30.5	14.6	29.3	2.4	48.6	155.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +53.1%

DAL +26.1%

ORL -14.9%

ORL -12.2%

ORL -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	DAL	NBA	ORL	DAL	NBA
this game	15.5	13.6	14.5	130.3	132.3	113.9
season	15.1	14.3		111.8	115.6
opponent	14.6	14.4		113.6	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.0	16.7	17.1	15.6	15.5
DAL	13.2	12.8	12.4	16.5	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathan Isaac	18	17	0.29	-0.79	1.08	-0.15	15	-17	32	12.4	16.1	-3.76	14.7	13.4	1.30
Chuma Okeke	17	18	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.00	4	-6	10	16.0	15.4	0.65	14.4	13.5	0.93
Wendell Carter Jr.	56	57	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-3	4	17.0	13.4	3.58	13.7	13.5	0.26
Anthony Black	60	63	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.08	-10	8	-18	16.2	14.3	1.99	13.1	14.6	-1.55
Paolo Banchero	82	81	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.34	3	-5	8	15.3	16.5	-1.21	13.6	13.9	-0.32
Joe Ingles	35	35	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	7	-16	14.7	15.9	-1.12	11.8	14.6	-2.78
Franz Wagner	63	65	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.46	3	-5	8	15.1	16.1	-0.93	14.3	12.4	1.94
Cole Anthony	56	54	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.46	2	-4	6	15.3	15.7	-0.37	14.7	12.3	2.37
Moritz Wagner	54	52	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.39	-5	3	-8	14.8	16.3	-1.55	13.4	13.9	-0.51
Jalen Suggs	54	53	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.32	-14	12	-26	15.9	15.0	0.93	13.2	14.2	-0.98

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway Jr.	76	74	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.48	13	-11	24	14.0	12.3	1.78	15.3	15.8	-0.50
Dereck Lively II	81	79	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.39	13	-11	24	13.9	12.3	1.65	16.7	10.6	6.03
Luka Doncic	87	89	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.42	3	-1	4	13.5	14.7	-1.28	15.6	14.1	1.52
Maxi Kleber	47	49	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.20	3	-1	4	12.7	14.5	-1.84	15.1	15.8	-0.68
Jaden Hardy	55	55	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.06	7	-5	12	13.5	13.8	-0.39	15.4	15.6	-0.19
Seth Curry	12	10	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	-1	4	13.3	13.7	-0.33	14.1	15.6	-1.52
Richaun Holmes	7	8	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.02	1	1	0	10.9	13.8	-2.98	16.0	15.4	0.58
Dwight Powell	2	2	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.03	-2	4	-6	15.5	13.6	1.91	3.0	15.7	-12.72
Grant Williams	60	59	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.32	-13	15	-28	14.4	12.4	2.05	14.6	16.8	-2.24
Josh Green	68	70	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.31	-18	20	-38	13.4	14.2	-0.78	15.6	15.2	0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.43,0.31,0.35,0.45,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.26,0.35,0.28,0.41,0.63,0.72,0.78,0.7,0.48,0.52,0.68,0.47,0.76,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 104, MIA 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.24,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.28,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.72,0.85,0.96,1	90.7%
DEN 103, HOU 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.23,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.74,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.53,0.7,0.9,0.96,1	90.4%
POR 79, WAS 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.44,0.55,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.69,0.63,0.94,0.99,1	90.1%